NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Brooklyn Nets	118		Excitement	9.9 [70]		MVP	Eric Gordon (HOU): +31.7%
Houston Rockets	122		Comeback	3.6 [653]		LVP	Sean Kilpatrick (BKN): -31.1%

Brooklyn Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brook Lopez	0.14	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.11,0.07,0.11,0.17,0.15,0.14	0.07	0.06	-0.01	17	62%	0.32	4	-0.18	8	100%	0.06
Trevor Booker	0.10	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1	-0.03	0.12	-0.01	8	53%	0.20	3	-0.10	3	67%	0.02
Joe Harris	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09	0.02	0.08	0.01	7	50%	0.09	0	0.00	4	100%	0.03
Rondae Hollis-Jefferson	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.02	0.01	4	79%	0.09	0	0.00	6	83%	0.00
Anthony Bennett	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.04	0.03	0.00	3	75%	0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Isaiah Whitehead	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.05,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.02	0.00	8	72%	0.13	3	-0.09	2	50%	-0.01
Caris LeVert	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.04	-0.01	0.01	5	58%	0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Bojan Bogdanovic	0.01	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	8	41%	0.01	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.02
Luis Scola	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Spencer Dinwiddie	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jeremy Lin	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,-0.07	-0.00	-0.07	-0.00	8	50%	-0.05	1	-0.02	4	25%	-0.05
Sean Kilpatrick	-0.31	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.17,-0.31	-0.00	-0.30	0.01	8	85%	0.12	7	-0.43	4	75%	-0.00

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Eric Gordon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.12,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.31,0.32	0.32	0.03	0.28	-0.01	15	67%	0.46	6	-0.14	6	67%	-0.04
Ryan Anderson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.14	0.03	0.01	11	70%	0.17	0	0.00	5	80%	0.01
Clint Capela	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.02	0.01	4	67%	0.05	0	0.00	4	0%	-0.08
Sam Dekker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.02	-0.02	5	50%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
James Harden	0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0.01,-0.01,0,-0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.22,0.07,0.1,0.05	0.05	0.06	-0.02	-0.00	27	55%	0.15	4	-0.11	12	67%	-0.05
Patrick Beverley	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	-0.01	-0.01	11	50%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Montrezl Harrell	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nene	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	8	55%	0.02	2	-0.04	6	67%	-0.10
Trevor Ariza	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	8	37%	0.00	1	-0.04	3	33%	-0.02
Corey Brewer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	2	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.4	2.5	25.4	14.8	30.2	1.8	42.2	141.4
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +13.7%

BKN -22.9%

HOU +7.4%

HOU +51.8%

HOU +0.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BKN	HOU	NBA	BKN	HOU	NBA
this game	13.1	13.6	14.8	110.3	111.9	107.7
season	13.7	13.7		103.2	113.2
opponent	14.9	14.4		108.1	109.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BKN	15.4	12.6	11.4	12.9	13.1
HOU	12.3	15.6	13.8	12.8	13.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Brooklyn Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jeremy Lin	44	46	0.10	-0.60	0.69	-0.40	17	-21	38	11.9	13.9	-2.00	14.3	13.0	1.30
Spencer Dinwiddie	7	7	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-6	8	14.9	12.9	1.92	12.1	13.7	-1.55
Brook Lopez	71	73	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.41	14	-18	32	12.4	14.3	-1.91	14.1	12.5	1.64
Anthony Bennett	40	39	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.00	-3	-1	-2	12.2	13.6	-1.38	13.9	13.4	0.43
Rondae Hollis-Jefferson	35	35	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	-0.15	2	-6	8	14.3	12.4	1.90	12.2	14.3	-2.10
Luis Scola	10	10	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	0.01	-4	0	-4	15.1	12.9	2.24	12.0	13.8	-1.76
Caris LeVert	33	34	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	0.01	-6	2	-8	12.8	13.2	-0.31	13.9	13.4	0.50
Joe Harris	49	49	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	-0.44	8	-12	20	13.2	13.0	0.22	13.1	14.0	-0.94
Sean Kilpatrick	68	71	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	-0.37	3	-7	10	13.0	13.2	-0.14	14.0	12.9	1.08
Trevor Booker	72	74	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.17	-11	7	-18	13.2	12.9	0.27	13.7	13.5	0.21
Bojan Bogdanovic	50	51	-0.57	0.07	-0.63	-0.01	-19	15	-34	13.3	12.8	0.52	13.5	13.6	-0.09
Isaiah Whitehead	56	56	-0.60	0.10	-0.69	0.08	-23	19	-42	13.8	12.3	1.47	13.2	14.1	-0.90

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Eric Gordon	66	66	0.95	-0.45	1.41	0.72	8	-4	12	12.2	15.7	-3.55	13.8	11.9	1.85
Trevor Ariza	83	81	0.56	-0.06	0.61	0.44	4	0	4	14.2	11.5	2.70	12.8	14.0	-1.18
James Harden	87	85	0.37	0.13	0.23	0.43	-2	6	-8	14.0	12.1	1.83	12.6	14.9	-2.26
Nene	59	58	0.34	0.16	0.19	0.34	0	4	-4	13.0	14.3	-1.26	12.1	14.2	-2.06
Patrick Beverley	75	73	0.27	0.23	0.05	0.19	3	1	2	13.7	13.3	0.40	12.4	14.4	-2.02
Corey Brewer	22	22	0.13	0.37	-0.23	-0.04	6	-2	8	12.1	14.0	-1.83	14.9	12.6	2.26
Clint Capela	40	40	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.05	2	2	0	14.0	13.3	0.68	14.2	12.4	1.89
Montrezl Harrell	10	9	0.05	0.45	-0.40	-0.01	2	2	0	15.3	13.4	1.88	13.9	13.0	0.90
Sam Dekker	36	36	-0.01	0.51	-0.53	0.01	-1	5	-6	12.4	14.2	-1.76	14.1	12.6	1.49
Ryan Anderson	67	65	-0.27	0.77	-1.04	-0.21	-2	6	-8	14.7	11.9	2.79	12.9	13.4	-0.48

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.46,0.44,0.51,0.59,0.63,0.71,0.65,0.63,0.62,0.63,0.62,0.69,0.68,0.79,0.78,0.78,0.79,0.73,0.77,0.77,0.73,0.78,0.77,0.78,0.79,0.73,0.79,0.84,0.81,0.76,0.88,0.9,0.85,0.7,0.62,0.67,0.71,0.71,0.79,0.93,0.87,0.81,0.71,0.32,0.85,1
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 95, MIL 96	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.53,0.57,0.63,0.67,0.68,0.73,0.7,0.68,0.8,0.71,0.75,0.71,0.74,0.82,0.83,0.8,0.82,0.82,0.9,0.81,0.77,0.75,0.76,0.73,0.74,0.75,0.78,0.7,0.67,0.75,0.66,0.78,0.75,0.72,0.81,0.83,0.88,0.8,0.75,0.71,0.43,0.58,1	91.5%
BOS 74, PHI 77	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.62,0.64,0.65,0.65,0.65,0.71,0.74,0.8,0.83,0.84,0.83,0.87,0.8,0.79,0.78,0.81,0.77,0.8,0.8,0.77,0.69,0.78,0.73,0.79,0.82,0.77,0.76,0.73,0.8,0.75,0.62,0.7,0.62,0.71,0.63,0.74,0.71,0.67,0.62,0.72,0.33,0.73,1	91.4%
SEA 91, LAL 99	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.59,0.64,0.64,0.7,0.67,0.64,0.65,0.6,0.62,0.64,0.65,0.65,0.68,0.75,0.78,0.77,0.82,0.78,0.75,0.63,0.63,0.61,0.64,0.73,0.82,0.83,0.82,0.79,0.84,0.75,0.66,0.67,0.71,0.62,0.68,0.78,0.76,0.73,0.61,0.55,0.55,0.96,1	91.0%