NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	74		Excitement	7.5 [322]		MVP	Tyrone Hill (PHI): +11.4%
Philadelphia 76ers	77		Comeback	2.1 [463]		LVP	Antoine Walker (BOS): -44.7%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Paul Pierce	0.08	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,0.01,0.19,0.08,0.08	-0.04	0.12	-0.00	18	54%	0.19	4	-0.10	5	40%	-0.01
Adrian Griffin	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.00	0.02	0.00	3	50%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Doug Overton	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.00	0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.05	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Pervis Ellison	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eric Williams	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	-0.00	4	60%	0.03	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.02
Dana Barros	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Walter McCarty	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	1	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Vitaly Potapenko	-0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Calbert Cheaney	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Tony Battie	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	0.03	-0.08	0.02	14	53%	-0.06	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.11
Kenny Anderson	-0.17	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.16,-0.16,-0.05,-0.05,-0.17	-0.10	-0.07	-0.00	13	33%	-0.15	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.07
Antoine Walker	-0.45	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.2,-0.2,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.45	-0.18	-0.26	0.02	19	37%	-0.18	6	-0.27	0	0%	0.00

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tyrone Hill	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,0.11,0.11	0.11	-0.06	0.16	-0.01	8	70%	0.24	6	-0.13	4	50%	0.03
Todd MacCulloch	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	2	100%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bruce Bowen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.04	0.03	-0.04	5	20%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
George Lynch	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.01	10	59%	0.04	3	-0.07	2	50%	-0.06
Billy Owens	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	8	37%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Larry Hughes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	6	62%	0.01	3	-0.08	4	100%	0.01
Kevin Ollie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Aaron McKie	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,0.05,-0.01,-0.12,-0.13	-0.13	-0.07	-0.07	-0.00	10	40%	-0.10	1	-0.04	5	60%	-0.02
Eric Snow	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.01,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.18	-0.18	-0.07	-0.11	-0.00	7	37%	-0.01	2	-0.17	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.8	2.3	29.5	15.8	23.3	2.5	38.5	134.6
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +21.3%

PHI +12.0%

PHI +14.5%

BOS -5.3%

PHI +7.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	PHI	NBA	BOS	PHI	NBA
this game	16.5	18.0	15.2	88.1	92.8	101.7
season	14.7	15.0		102.4	99.5
opponent	15.5	15.1		98.1	103.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	17.0	14.6	17.1	17.2	16.5
PHI	17.3	19.0	18.1	17.9	18.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Doug Overton	10	10	0.09	-0.59	0.68	-0.03	4	-7	11	15.8	16.5	-0.74	22.3	17.5	4.83
Vitaly Potapenko	32	31	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	0.03	-3	0	-3	17.1	16.0	1.09	19.0	17.5	1.57
Pervis Ellison	3	3	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	0.05	-4	1	-5	19.3	16.3	2.99	11.3	18.3	-6.97
Eric Williams	47	46	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.06	-1	-2	1	15.5	17.6	-2.14	19.6	16.1	3.50
Walter McCarty	12	12	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	0.08	-8	5	-13	15.7	16.6	-0.82	20.7	17.6	3.06
Dana Barros	10	9	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	0.01	-6	3	-9	13.5	16.9	-3.35	19.4	17.9	1.57
Calbert Cheaney	12	13	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	0.00	-6	3	-9	16.2	16.5	-0.24	22.9	17.1	5.78
Paul Pierce	72	70	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	-0.41	3	-6	9	16.5	16.2	0.24	17.1	22.9	-5.78
Antoine Walker	62	61	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	-0.48	5	-8	13	16.7	15.8	0.86	17.3	20.0	-2.66
Tony Battie	59	59	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	-0.49	4	-7	11	15.8	17.9	-2.03	18.1	18.0	0.07
Adrian Griffin	37	37	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	-0.33	-2	-1	-1	17.6	15.5	2.14	16.1	19.6	-3.50
Kenny Anderson	64	64	-0.44	-0.06	-0.39	-0.41	-1	-2	1	17.0	14.6	2.37	17.2	20.9	-3.76

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bruce Bowen	31	30	0.75	-0.25	1.00	0.54	7	-4	11	19.0	17.5	1.52	16.8	16.3	0.54
Aaron McKie	54	55	0.54	-0.04	0.59	0.34	7	-4	11	16.1	21.6	-5.49	17.3	14.9	2.43
Eric Snow	60	60	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.45	1	2	-1	17.2	20.3	-3.12	17.0	15.0	2.03
Tyrone Hill	61	60	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.43	1	2	-1	17.1	20.6	-3.46	16.9	15.3	1.63
George Lynch	68	69	0.33	0.17	0.17	0.42	-3	6	-9	17.8	19.1	-1.24	16.7	15.5	1.12
Billy Owens	43	45	0.19	0.31	-0.11	-0.01	7	-4	11	18.5	17.5	1.01	15.8	17.2	-1.41
Kevin Ollie	23	24	0.05	0.45	-0.41	-0.01	2	1	1	20.3	17.2	3.12	15.0	17.0	-2.03
Larry Hughes	29	29	-0.04	0.54	-0.59	0.07	-4	7	-11	21.6	16.1	5.49	14.9	17.3	-2.43
Todd MacCulloch	13	16	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	-0.12	2	1	1	19.5	17.8	1.77	12.2	17.4	-5.19

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.62,0.64,0.65,0.65,0.65,0.71,0.74,0.8,0.83,0.84,0.83,0.87,0.8,0.79,0.78,0.81,0.77,0.8,0.8,0.77,0.69,0.78,0.73,0.79,0.82,0.77,0.76,0.73,0.8,0.75,0.62,0.7,0.62,0.71,0.63,0.74,0.71,0.67,0.62,0.72,0.33,0.73,1
Game		Similarity Score
SEA 74, MIA 82	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.6,0.62,0.64,0.59,0.62,0.65,0.73,0.74,0.74,0.76,0.75,0.75,0.78,0.84,0.81,0.76,0.78,0.82,0.8,0.8,0.77,0.8,0.8,0.81,0.71,0.71,0.71,0.79,0.73,0.72,0.64,0.7,0.7,0.74,0.79,0.65,0.64,0.59,0.78,0.69,0.45,0.33,0.84,1	92.7%
UTA 89, MEM 91	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.55,0.55,0.59,0.62,0.64,0.6,0.63,0.69,0.77,0.79,0.83,0.85,0.82,0.82,0.86,0.83,0.74,0.75,0.73,0.74,0.7,0.75,0.75,0.79,0.77,0.67,0.78,0.7,0.77,0.75,0.66,0.69,0.63,0.7,0.66,0.78,0.74,0.79,0.77,0.74,0.71,0.67,0.8,0.64,0.45,0.53,1	92.5%
DAL 95, MIL 96	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.53,0.57,0.63,0.67,0.68,0.73,0.7,0.68,0.8,0.71,0.75,0.71,0.74,0.82,0.83,0.8,0.82,0.82,0.9,0.81,0.77,0.75,0.76,0.73,0.74,0.75,0.78,0.7,0.67,0.75,0.66,0.78,0.75,0.72,0.81,0.83,0.88,0.8,0.75,0.71,0.43,0.58,1	91.9%