NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Seattle SuperSonics	74		Excitement	7.4 [336]		MVP	Rafer Alston (MIA): +41.8%
Miami Heat	82		Comeback	3.4 [511]		LVP	Jerome James (SEA): -14.2%

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ray Allen	0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.05,-0.11,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.02	-0.08	0.08	-0.03	17	41%	0.06	2	-0.04	5	80%	0.02
Calvin Booth	-0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	0	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Reggie Evans	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	4	60%	0.02	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Ansu Sesay	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	4	50%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Rashard Lewis	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.10	0.05	-0.02	19	40%	0.04	3	-0.08	2	100%	0.03
Ronald Murray	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,-0.04,-0.06	-0.00	-0.06	-0.00	11	62%	0.15	3	-0.21	4	75%	0.02
Antonio Daniels	-0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	4	25%	-0.03	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Brent Barry	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	6	33%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Vladimir Radmanovic	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.09	0.00	-0.01	3	0%	-0.04	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Luke Ridnour	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.01	-0.00	3	0%	-0.04	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jerome James	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.02	-0.12	0.00	5	64%	0.04	2	-0.18	4	75%	-0.02

Miami Heat
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rafer Alston	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0,0,0.42,0.42	0.42	0.04	0.35	-0.03	12	58%	0.45	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Eddie Jones	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.13,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	-0.00	0.01	15	61%	0.14	3	-0.11	1	100%	0.01
Malik Allen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	2	100%	0.04	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Lamar Odom	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.14,-0.14,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	9	58%	0.06	2	-0.07	8	50%	-0.05
Brian Grant	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	2	33%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Caron Butler	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	5	40%	0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Dwyane Wade	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.10	0.03	-0.01	9	33%	0.02	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Rasual Butler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.03	-0.00	7	36%	-0.02	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Udonis Haslem	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.07	-0.04	-0.01	11	44%	-0.03	2	-0.07	5	80%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.8	2.7	25.8	16.6	25.8	0.6	32.7	130.9
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIA +61.5%

SEA -13.8%

SEA -22.0%

MIA +25.4%

SEA -1.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SEA	MIA	NBA	SEA	MIA	NBA
this game	15.8	15.0	15.7	78.7	88.2	100.5
season	15.6	16.2		105.0	99.3
opponent	15.9	15.7		98.8	105.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SEA	15.5	17.5	16.3	14.2	15.8
MIA	15.1	15.2	15.7	14.0	15.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Reggie Evans	42	42	0.03	-0.53	0.56	-0.12	5	-13	18	16.5	15.2	1.29	16.1	14.0	2.10
Antonio Daniels	20	21	0.02	-0.52	0.54	0.02	0	-8	8	18.9	15.0	3.93	16.3	14.6	1.74
Ansu Sesay	37	39	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.15	5	-13	18	16.5	15.4	1.07	14.9	15.0	-0.11
Calvin Booth	16	16	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	0.04	-5	-3	-2	15.1	16.0	-0.90	14.8	15.0	-0.21
Vladimir Radmanovic	17	16	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	0.05	-6	-2	-4	15.7	15.8	-0.13	16.7	14.6	2.05
Luke Ridnour	30	30	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	-0.01	-6	-2	-4	17.3	15.1	2.14	14.9	15.0	-0.18
Rashard Lewis	71	69	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.28	-3	-5	2	16.2	14.5	1.70	14.9	15.1	-0.18
Ray Allen	66	65	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	-0.23	-5	-3	-2	15.1	17.5	-2.46	14.7	15.7	-1.09
Jerome James	49	47	-0.44	-0.06	-0.37	-0.17	-9	1	-10	15.4	16.3	-0.92	14.6	15.4	-0.75
Brent Barry	57	55	-0.47	-0.03	-0.43	-0.20	-9	1	-10	14.6	17.6	-2.95	14.6	15.5	-0.91
Ronald Murray	65	65	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.28	-7	-1	-6	15.2	17.2	-1.97	14.5	16.1	-1.65

Miami Heat
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dwyane Wade	46	47	0.79	-0.29	1.07	0.46	11	-3	14	14.7	15.2	-0.49	15.3	16.3	-1.06
Eddie Jones	72	71	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.30	9	-1	10	14.9	15.2	-0.26	15.5	16.9	-1.40
Rafer Alston	79	81	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.16	13	-5	18	14.9	15.4	-0.52	16.1	13.8	2.37
Udonis Haslem	79	79	0.53	-0.03	0.57	0.33	7	1	6	14.5	17.6	-3.12	14.7	21.9	-7.21
Lamar Odom	56	57	0.26	0.24	0.01	0.23	1	7	-6	15.2	14.7	0.52	16.2	15.2	1.07
Brian Grant	37	37	0.16	0.34	-0.18	-0.07	8	0	8	15.6	14.6	1.05	17.3	14.9	2.41
Malik Allen	14	15	0.05	0.45	-0.41	0.05	0	8	-8	15.1	15.0	0.18	16.7	15.6	1.02
Caron Butler	34	35	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.01	0	8	-8	15.9	14.5	1.41	16.4	15.5	0.94
Rasual Butler	48	48	-0.40	0.90	-1.31	-0.14	-9	17	-26	14.8	15.2	-0.37	15.9	15.8	0.09

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.6,0.62,0.64,0.59,0.62,0.65,0.73,0.74,0.74,0.76,0.75,0.75,0.78,0.84,0.81,0.76,0.78,0.82,0.8,0.8,0.77,0.8,0.8,0.81,0.71,0.71,0.71,0.79,0.73,0.72,0.64,0.7,0.7,0.74,0.79,0.65,0.64,0.59,0.78,0.69,0.45,0.33,0.84,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 85, ATL 91	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.58,0.52,0.52,0.53,0.53,0.61,0.61,0.66,0.7,0.74,0.78,0.76,0.77,0.77,0.81,0.86,0.89,0.91,0.92,0.88,0.87,0.88,0.84,0.77,0.78,0.83,0.84,0.82,0.8,0.82,0.83,0.74,0.72,0.7,0.78,0.82,0.71,0.77,0.7,0.6,0.73,0.61,0.45,0.44,0.92,1	93.3%
NJN 94, CHI 103	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.55,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.61,0.63,0.61,0.62,0.62,0.65,0.68,0.76,0.71,0.75,0.67,0.68,0.71,0.78,0.79,0.86,0.78,0.78,0.79,0.79,0.85,0.83,0.86,0.79,0.78,0.72,0.82,0.81,0.68,0.66,0.62,0.62,0.71,0.77,0.59,0.53,0.6,0.68,0.54,0.45,0.85,1	92.9%
BOS 74, PHI 77	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.62,0.64,0.65,0.65,0.65,0.71,0.74,0.8,0.83,0.84,0.83,0.87,0.8,0.79,0.78,0.81,0.77,0.8,0.8,0.77,0.69,0.78,0.73,0.79,0.82,0.77,0.76,0.73,0.8,0.75,0.62,0.7,0.62,0.71,0.63,0.74,0.71,0.67,0.62,0.72,0.33,0.73,1	92.7%