NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Jersey Nets	94		Excitement	7.9 [254]		MVP	Brook Lopez (NJN): +25.6%
Chicago Bulls	103		Comeback	2.2 [665]		LVP	Devin Harris (NJN): -22.7%

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brook Lopez	0.26	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.17,0.26,0.26,0.26	0.11	0.16	0.01	10	74%	0.32	2	-0.06	7	86%	-0.00
Jarvis Hayes	0.25	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25	0.08	0.14	-0.03	10	70%	0.27	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Chris Douglas-Roberts	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.07,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	6	64%	0.10	2	-0.10	2	50%	-0.01
Keyon Dooling	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01	0.00	-0.02	-0.01	11	59%	0.09	4	-0.10	5	100%	0.02
Bobby Simmons	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	3	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Josh Boone	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	3	0%	-0.07	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Vince Carter	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.10	-0.01	-0.01	10	18%	-0.11	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Ryan Anderson	-0.14	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.03,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,-0.03,-0.14,-0.14	-0.02	-0.14	-0.02	16	47%	-0.08	2	-0.06	4	100%	0.03
Devin Harris	-0.23	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.2,-0.23	-0.05	-0.19	-0.00	9	54%	-0.00	4	-0.23	8	75%	0.01

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brad Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.09	0.09	0.01	7	72%	0.17	0	0.00	4	100%	0.07
Tim Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.10	0.02	0.00	4	100%	0.14	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
John Salmons	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.14,0.14,0.06,0.09,0.09	0.09	-0.00	0.09	-0.01	16	50%	0.17	2	-0.09	2	50%	-0.03
Joakim Noah	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.04	0.00	7	57%	0.10	2	-0.05	7	86%	0.03
Derrick Rose	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	12	60%	0.16	2	-0.11	1	100%	0.00
Ben Gordon	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.03	0.03	-0.05	0.08	-0.01	14	45%	0.15	3	-0.12	12	83%	0.02
Tyrus Thomas	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	-0.02	0.02	8	41%	-0.03	1	-0.04	6	83%	-0.00
Kirk Hinrich	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	8	39%	-0.05	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.7	2.3	34.3	14.8	28.2	2.4	35.2	144.0
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +6.3%

CHI +30.9%

NJN -1.8%

CHI +12.8%

CHI +1.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NJN	CHI	NBA	NJN	CHI	NBA
this game	17.1	13.7	15.5	100.0	110.8	106.4
season	16.0	14.8		106.5	106.3
opponent	15.7	15.5		107.2	108.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NJN	17.1	17.5	16.2	17.5	17.1
CHI	13.6	13.0	14.4	13.8	13.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Douglas-Roberts	33	32	0.07	-0.57	0.64	-0.05	4	-13	17	18.4	16.3	2.02	14.1	13.5	0.55
Bobby Simmons	26	27	-0.02	-0.48	0.47	0.01	-1	-8	7	19.5	16.1	3.38	13.4	13.8	-0.40
Josh Boone	26	27	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	0.08	-4	-5	1	17.3	17.0	0.30	12.7	14.1	-1.40
Jarvis Hayes	46	44	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	-0.17	-3	-6	3	17.2	16.9	0.36	13.5	13.9	-0.40
Vince Carter	54	55	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	-0.08	-6	-3	-3	16.9	17.2	-0.34	13.9	13.5	0.44
Devin Harris	70	69	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.16	-10	1	-11	16.2	19.5	-3.34	13.5	14.3	-0.81
Brook Lopez	68	66	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.31	-5	-4	-1	17.0	17.3	-0.30	14.1	12.7	1.40
Ryan Anderson	68	66	-0.48	-0.02	-0.47	-0.25	-8	-1	-7	16.1	19.5	-3.38	13.8	13.4	0.40
Keyon Dooling	79	79	-0.61	0.11	-0.72	-0.26	-12	3	-15	17.3	16.0	1.25	13.8	13.6	0.19

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Derrick Rose	66	67	0.67	-0.17	0.83	0.26	14	-5	19	14.0	13.0	1.03	17.3	16.4	0.91
John Salmons	76	78	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.29	8	1	7	13.6	14.4	-0.76	17.1	16.7	0.44
Ben Gordon	77	77	0.51	-0.01	0.51	0.13	13	-4	17	13.6	14.4	-0.85	16.6	19.1	-2.45
Brad Miller	54	53	0.39	0.11	0.27	0.24	5	4	1	13.7	13.8	-0.15	18.3	15.5	2.78
Tyrus Thomas	54	57	0.34	0.16	0.18	-0.01	12	-3	15	13.6	13.8	-0.20	16.4	18.1	-1.65
Joakim Noah	63	64	0.21	0.29	-0.07	0.21	0	9	-9	14.3	12.5	1.87	16.1	19.0	-2.86
Kirk Hinrich	46	46	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.04	-3	12	-15	13.7	13.8	-0.16	17.5	16.6	0.83
Tim Thomas	29	28	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	0.03	-4	13	-17	12.9	14.1	-1.21	17.9	16.7	1.15

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.55,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.61,0.63,0.61,0.62,0.62,0.65,0.68,0.76,0.71,0.75,0.67,0.68,0.71,0.78,0.79,0.86,0.78,0.78,0.79,0.79,0.85,0.83,0.86,0.79,0.78,0.72,0.82,0.81,0.68,0.66,0.62,0.62,0.71,0.77,0.59,0.53,0.6,0.68,0.54,0.45,0.85,1
Game		Similarity Score
SEA 74, MIA 82	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.6,0.62,0.64,0.59,0.62,0.65,0.73,0.74,0.74,0.76,0.75,0.75,0.78,0.84,0.81,0.76,0.78,0.82,0.8,0.8,0.77,0.8,0.8,0.81,0.71,0.71,0.71,0.79,0.73,0.72,0.64,0.7,0.7,0.74,0.79,0.65,0.64,0.59,0.78,0.69,0.45,0.33,0.84,1	92.9%
GSW 89, DEN 97	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.56,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.6,0.6,0.65,0.68,0.71,0.62,0.67,0.75,0.72,0.7,0.75,0.74,0.73,0.7,0.67,0.68,0.72,0.72,0.85,0.84,0.82,0.71,0.65,0.66,0.67,0.6,0.54,0.62,0.75,0.76,0.68,0.69,0.64,0.66,0.55,0.63,0.57,0.91,1	92.3%
OKC 110, LAC 118	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.55,0.52,0.63,0.61,0.67,0.63,0.6,0.58,0.56,0.6,0.6,0.51,0.58,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.64,0.73,0.77,0.77,0.75,0.82,0.84,0.82,0.78,0.67,0.78,0.84,0.83,0.86,0.87,0.78,0.75,0.66,0.66,0.62,0.67,0.77,0.59,0.6,0.61,0.53,0.55,0.66,0.84,1	92.0%