NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Oklahoma City Thunder	110		Excitement	9.2 [153]		MVP	Lou Williams (LAC): +43.8%
LA Clippers	118		Comeback	1.5 [731]		LVP	Dennis Schroder (OKC): -18.7%

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Russell Westbrook	0.30	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.22,0.39,0.3	0.17	0.16	0.02	23	59%	0.39	1	-0.09	8	75%	0.02
Markieff Morris	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.16,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.04	0.06	-0.00	10	55%	0.11	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Abdel Nader	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.06,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.03	0.08	-0.00	4	67%	0.15	1	-0.04	1	100%	0.01
Jerami Grant	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.05	-0.01	0.03	9	57%	0.02	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Nerlens Noel	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.00	5	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Donte Grantham	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steven Adams	-0.06	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.01	-0.04	0.01	5	50%	-0.03	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.03
Paul George	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.15,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.04,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.12	-0.03	-0.01	16	42%	0.06	5	-0.19	4	50%	-0.02
Terrance Ferguson	-0.19	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.18,-0.19	-0.05	-0.10	0.03	9	33%	-0.16	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Dennis Schroder	-0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.19	-0.13	-0.08	-0.02	20	34%	-0.15	2	-0.04	4	75%	0.01

LA Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Lou Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.24,0.22,0.22,0.28,0.24,0.15,0.15,0.08,0.09,0.3,0.39,0.44	0.44	0.19	0.26	0.01	24	63%	0.50	2	-0.06	15	67%	-0.11
Danilo Gallinari	0,0,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.17,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.20	0.04	0.09	19	64%	0.15	0	0.00	15	80%	-0.05
Landry Shamet	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.01	0.09	-0.02	9	50%	0.13	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.04
Ivica Zubac	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.00	0.00	8	64%	0.08	2	-0.05	6	33%	-0.05
Sindarius Thornwell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
JaMychal Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.01	-0.00	4	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.02	-0.03	0.02	7	56%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Tyrone Wallace	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Patrick Beverley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	3	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Garrett Temple	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.02	-0.00	3	0%	-0.05	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Montrezl Harrell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.04	-0.09	-0.00	7	44%	-0.07	2	-0.06	4	50%	-0.05

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	33.0	2.5	29.6	15.2	29.7	2.4	35.6	148.0
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +33.6%

OKC -8.8%

LAC +10.0%

LAC +13.7%

LAC +1.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	OKC	LAC	NBA	OKC	LAC	NBA
this game	13.3	14.0	14.3	103.8	112.4	109.3
season	12.9	13.9		108.9	111.3
opponent	14.1	14.9		110.7	106.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
OKC	13.3	12.5	14.2	13.1	13.3
LAC	15.0	13.2	14.6	13.6	14.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nerlens Noel	33	33	0.26	-0.76	1.03	-0.12	13	-21	34	15.0	12.5	2.49	14.4	13.9	0.51
Markieff Morris	35	35	0.22	-0.72	0.94	-0.01	8	-16	24	14.8	12.5	2.35	14.0	14.1	-0.07
Abdel Nader	43	42	0.08	-0.58	0.67	-0.03	4	-12	16	13.9	12.8	1.10	12.0	15.4	-3.49
Donte Grantham	1	1	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.00	0	-8	8	8.0	13.3	-5.30	1.0	14.2	-13.17
Terrance Ferguson	72	72	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	-0.07	-8	0	-8	13.5	12.7	0.85	14.8	12.4	2.41
Dennis Schroder	77	74	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	-0.39	2	-10	12	12.8	14.4	-1.64	13.0	16.5	-3.41
Russell Westbrook	67	68	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	-0.30	-4	-4	0	13.0	13.7	-0.73	15.2	11.8	3.41
Paul George	60	60	-0.49	-0.01	-0.49	-0.02	-16	8	-24	13.2	13.4	-0.20	14.7	13.2	1.56
Jerami Grant	70	69	-0.75	0.25	-1.01	-0.23	-18	10	-28	12.6	14.5	-1.89	13.9	14.4	-0.52
Steven Adams	72	71	-0.76	0.26	-1.02	-0.15	-21	13	-34	12.5	14.8	-2.22	14.1	14.0	0.07

LA Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Landry Shamet	68	71	0.84	-0.34	1.17	0.25	20	-12	32	14.3	13.6	0.70	12.5	14.7	-2.18
Patrick Beverley	60	59	0.83	-0.33	1.15	0.18	22	-14	36	14.4	13.6	0.82	13.2	13.4	-0.23
Danilo Gallinari	76	77	0.62	-0.12	0.75	0.24	13	-5	18	14.4	13.1	1.26	12.3	15.7	-3.40
Lou Williams	77	78	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.41	3	5	-2	13.3	16.2	-2.95	13.0	14.0	-0.96
Ivica Zubac	51	53	0.40	0.10	0.30	-0.01	14	-6	20	14.4	13.8	0.59	13.0	13.5	-0.43
Montrezl Harrell	54	53	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.28	-6	14	-20	13.8	14.4	-0.59	13.5	13.0	0.43
Sindarius Thornwell	8	8	0.05	0.45	-0.40	-0.01	2	6	-4	11.2	14.3	-3.03	14.7	13.1	1.62
Tyrone Wallace	11	11	-0.06	0.56	-0.63	0.02	-3	11	-14	16.7	13.7	2.99	10.8	13.5	-2.72
JaMychal Green	29	29	-0.12	0.62	-0.75	0.02	-5	13	-18	13.1	14.4	-1.26	15.7	12.3	3.40
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander	53	54	-0.23	0.73	-0.96	-0.11	-4	12	-16	14.3	13.8	0.48	14.5	12.0	2.46
Garrett Temple	38	37	-0.42	0.92	-1.33	0.05	-16	24	-40	14.1	14.0	0.13	14.0	12.9	1.10

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.55,0.52,0.63,0.61,0.67,0.63,0.6,0.58,0.56,0.6,0.6,0.51,0.58,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.64,0.73,0.77,0.77,0.75,0.82,0.84,0.82,0.78,0.67,0.78,0.84,0.83,0.86,0.87,0.78,0.75,0.66,0.66,0.62,0.67,0.77,0.59,0.6,0.61,0.53,0.55,0.66,0.84,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHA 107, NYK 109	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.48,0.48,0.53,0.6,0.64,0.61,0.57,0.63,0.58,0.58,0.52,0.53,0.62,0.55,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.63,0.73,0.86,0.91,0.86,0.86,0.86,0.84,0.8,0.83,0.81,0.85,0.93,0.92,0.91,0.86,0.79,0.62,0.78,0.66,0.58,0.53,0.69,0.76,0.73,0.39,0.64,0.67,0.96,1	92.1%
NJN 94, CHI 103	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.55,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.61,0.63,0.61,0.62,0.62,0.65,0.68,0.76,0.71,0.75,0.67,0.68,0.71,0.78,0.79,0.86,0.78,0.78,0.79,0.79,0.85,0.83,0.86,0.79,0.78,0.72,0.82,0.81,0.68,0.66,0.62,0.62,0.71,0.77,0.59,0.53,0.6,0.68,0.54,0.45,0.85,1	92.0%
GSW 92, DEN 95	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.48,0.5,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.59,0.65,0.6,0.64,0.65,0.64,0.62,0.62,0.71,0.67,0.65,0.68,0.76,0.84,0.85,0.84,0.82,0.79,0.72,0.82,0.85,0.84,0.77,0.83,0.81,0.79,0.7,0.75,0.62,0.62,0.51,0.67,0.68,0.69,0.71,0.46,0.32,0.63,0.57,0.84,1	91.9%