NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Golden State Warriors	92		Excitement	8.7 [175]		MVP	Carmelo Anthony (DEN): +24.6%
Denver Nuggets	95		Comeback	2.2 [750]		LVP	Derek Fisher (GSW): -21.9%

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Zarko Cabarkapa	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	0	100%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Ike Diogu	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.22,0.27,0.12,0.02,0.1,0.1,0.01	0.04	-0.06	-0.03	11	76%	0.31	5	-0.30	3	100%	0.03
Will Bynum	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.00	4	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Calbert Cheaney	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mickael Pietrus	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	0.00	9	32%	-0.03	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.02
Mike Dunleavy	-0.05	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	0.00	-0.06	-0.01	15	50%	-0.01	2	-0.04	6	100%	0.03
Monta Ellis	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.11,0.11,0.04,-0.06,-0.06	0.00	-0.05	0.01	14	43%	-0.06	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Adonal Foyle	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	4	30%	-0.04	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Troy Murphy	-0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.03	-0.00	8	42%	-0.02	2	-0.06	3	67%	-0.07
Derek Fisher	-0.22	0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.14,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.18,-0.22	-0.08	-0.14	0.01	17	46%	-0.05	5	-0.17	7	86%	-0.00

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Carmelo Anthony	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.04,0.12,0.01,0.25,0.25	0.25	0.11	0.15	0.01	16	61%	0.27	1	-0.02	14	71%	-0.01
Francisco Elson	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.12	0.02	0.01	7	87%	0.13	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Howard Eisley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.06	0.01	0.00	8	65%	0.07	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Ruben Patterson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	-0.01	0.05	-0.03	10	43%	0.11	1	-0.04	8	25%	-0.11
DerMarr Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.01	0.05	-0.00	4	62%	0.09	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Greg Buckner	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.05,0.05,0.01,-0.09,-0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.04	0.00	11	50%	0.10	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Camby	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12	-0.12	-0.13	0.00	-0.01	10	23%	-0.08	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Reggie Evans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.11	-0.03	-0.02	2	29%	-0.08	3	-0.05	10	40%	-0.12
Andre Miller	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.16,-0.17	-0.17	-0.10	-0.09	-0.01	8	30%	-0.13	2	-0.04	4	50%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.5	2.0	27.5	15.6	25.6	2.7	42.2	138.1
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DEN +49.6%

GSW -11.6%

GSW -23.6%

DEN +33.3%

DEN +2.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	GSW	DEN	NBA	GSW	DEN	NBA
this game	16.2	14.1	15.6	95.8	101.1	104.4
season	14.8	14.4		102.9	103.5
opponent	15.9	15.5		103.5	104.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
GSW	16.5	17.5	15.7	15.2	16.2
DEN	15.5	12.5	15.0	13.6	14.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Zarko Cabarkapa	15	16	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.00	0	-3	3	16.4	16.2	0.21	13.2	14.2	-0.99
Will Bynum	27	29	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.00	-3	0	-3	15.4	16.6	-1.18	12.7	14.7	-2.00
Calbert Cheaney	13	13	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	0.05	-7	4	-11	17.2	16.1	1.08	16.2	13.7	2.50
Monta Ellis	63	62	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.41	8	-11	19	15.3	17.9	-2.62	13.7	14.8	-1.17
Ike Diogu	46	47	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.26	2	-5	7	15.8	16.6	-0.84	14.1	14.0	0.06
Adonal Foyle	48	45	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.06	-5	2	-7	17.2	15.2	1.98	14.6	13.6	1.01
Derek Fisher	79	75	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.39	3	-6	9	16.1	16.6	-0.45	14.5	12.4	2.14
Mickael Pietrus	39	38	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.04	-9	6	-15	17.5	15.3	2.18	14.3	13.9	0.45
Troy Murphy	81	78	-0.50	-0.00	-0.50	-0.41	-3	0	-3	16.2	16.4	-0.21	14.2	13.2	0.99
Mike Dunleavy	69	67	-0.57	0.07	-0.64	-0.54	-1	-2	1	16.2	16.4	-0.21	13.6	15.2	-1.61

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Greg Buckner	66	68	0.72	-0.22	0.94	0.51	7	-4	11	14.2	13.9	0.31	16.7	15.1	1.62
Francisco Elson	60	62	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.31	7	-4	11	13.7	14.7	-0.99	16.8	15.2	1.52
Andre Miller	60	63	0.49	0.01	0.47	0.43	2	1	1	12.9	16.1	-3.25	16.3	16.1	0.15
Marcus Camby	72	75	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.42	-3	6	-9	14.4	12.9	1.58	16.0	17.1	-1.12
DerMarr Johnson	20	19	0.29	0.21	0.07	0.08	7	-4	11	13.8	14.1	-0.35	17.8	15.8	1.96
Carmelo Anthony	69	72	0.20	0.30	-0.11	0.37	-6	9	-15	14.1	13.9	0.21	15.9	17.1	-1.21
Reggie Evans	40	40	0.04	0.46	-0.42	-0.02	2	1	1	14.3	13.9	0.44	15.8	16.5	-0.63
Ruben Patterson	44	43	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.01	-1	4	-5	13.8	14.3	-0.57	15.7	16.7	-0.99
Howard Eisley	39	38	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	-0.05	0	3	-3	15.7	12.9	2.81	15.7	16.6	-0.88

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.48,0.5,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.59,0.65,0.6,0.64,0.65,0.64,0.62,0.62,0.71,0.67,0.65,0.68,0.76,0.84,0.85,0.84,0.82,0.79,0.72,0.82,0.85,0.84,0.77,0.83,0.81,0.79,0.7,0.75,0.62,0.62,0.51,0.67,0.68,0.69,0.71,0.46,0.32,0.63,0.57,0.84,1
Game		Similarity Score
OKC 110, LAC 118	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.55,0.52,0.63,0.61,0.67,0.63,0.6,0.58,0.56,0.6,0.6,0.51,0.58,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.64,0.73,0.77,0.77,0.75,0.82,0.84,0.82,0.78,0.67,0.78,0.84,0.83,0.86,0.87,0.78,0.75,0.66,0.66,0.62,0.67,0.77,0.59,0.6,0.61,0.53,0.55,0.66,0.84,1	91.9%
OKC 115, PHX 122	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.46,0.44,0.43,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.62,0.62,0.66,0.69,0.63,0.61,0.61,0.68,0.75,0.73,0.64,0.75,0.77,0.74,0.82,0.85,0.88,0.89,0.83,0.72,0.77,0.71,0.75,0.62,0.48,0.47,0.67,0.58,0.68,0.46,0.54,0.45,0.46,0.55,0.72,1	91.8%
SAS 84, MIA 88	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.53,0.57,0.54,0.6,0.64,0.63,0.65,0.65,0.64,0.68,0.6,0.58,0.6,0.71,0.69,0.72,0.77,0.76,0.77,0.67,0.73,0.75,0.74,0.74,0.8,0.76,0.73,0.65,0.62,0.69,0.66,0.63,0.64,0.58,0.58,0.62,0.67,0.58,0.59,0.65,0.53,0.53,0.54,0.57,0.84,1	91.8%