NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	85		Excitement	6.8 [445]		MVP	Al Horford (ATL): +31.4%
Atlanta Hawks	91		Comeback	1.8 [973]		LVP	KJ McDaniels (PHI): -21.2%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jerami Grant	0.28	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28	0.16	0.13	0.01	4	130%	0.28	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Nerlens Noel	0.10	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.01	0.09	0.00	8	61%	0.14	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Luc Mbah a Moute	0.07	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,0.09,0.16,0.16,0.07,0.07	0.01	0.06	0.01	12	46%	0.07	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.03
Hollis Thompson	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.08	-0.01	0.02	9	67%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Larry Drew	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	-0.00	1	150%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Furkan Aldemir	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Carter-Williams	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	13	46%	-0.00	3	-0.08	2	50%	-0.01
Henry Sims	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.07	-0.02	-0.00	4	25%	-0.03	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Robert Covington	-0.10	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.13,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1	-0.09	0.01	0.01	15	32%	-0.06	2	-0.04	1	100%	0.01
JaKarr Sampson	-0.11	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.09	-0.03	-0.00	3	12%	-0.04	2	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01
KJ McDaniels	-0.21	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.16,-0.16,-0.22,-0.21	-0.12	-0.11	-0.02	12	27%	-0.17	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.02

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Al Horford	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.17,0.25,0.25,0.31	0.31	0.10	0.21	0.00	16	64%	0.34	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.01
Dennis Schroder	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.04,0.11,0.09,0.06,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.23,0.23	0.23	0.02	0.20	-0.01	11	62%	0.31	3	-0.08	2	50%	-0.01
Kyle Korver	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.10	0.01	0.03	9	70%	0.08	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
John Jenkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.08	0.00	0.01	5	90%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike Muscala	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Elton Brand	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Mike Scott	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	5	20%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Teague	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.10	0.01	-0.03	12	38%	0.01	4	-0.07	2	100%	0.02
Paul Millsap	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.01	-0.07	0.01	13	50%	-0.03	2	-0.06	4	100%	0.01
Kent Bazemore	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.10	-0.07	0.00	6	19%	-0.15	1	-0.03	4	25%	-0.11

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.3	1.5	26.6	15.6	24.2	2.5	31.2	127.8
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +26.2%

ATL +2.9%

ATL +8.0%

ATL +11.0%

ATL +2.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	ATL	NBA	PHI	ATL	NBA
this game	16.0	15.8	15.1	94.4	100.0	104.2
season	14.9	14.9		94.3	106.7
opponent	15.4	14.8		101.8	103.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	17.5	15.1	15.6	15.8	16.0
ATL	14.0	14.2	15.7	20.2	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Furkan Aldemir	6	5	0.04	-0.54	0.59	-0.13	6	-12	18	14.7	16.1	-1.40	18.2	15.7	2.49
Robert Covington	56	57	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.17	4	-10	14	15.7	16.4	-0.74	14.5	18.0	-3.49
Hollis Thompson	51	49	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	-0.15	2	-8	10	16.6	15.1	1.54	16.5	15.1	1.44
Larry Drew	21	20	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	-0.10	-1	-5	4	17.1	15.6	1.52	13.5	16.5	-2.94
Henry Sims	21	20	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	0.01	-8	2	-10	16.5	15.8	0.65	16.1	15.8	0.39
JaKarr Sampson	25	29	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	0.01	-9	3	-12	14.8	16.4	-1.58	14.3	16.6	-2.25
KJ McDaniels	39	40	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	-0.27	0	-6	6	15.2	16.6	-1.36	18.2	14.0	4.16
Jerami Grant	47	46	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.16	-6	0	-6	15.9	16.0	-0.09	17.4	14.3	3.08
Michael Carter-Williams	69	71	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	-0.23	-5	-1	-4	15.6	17.1	-1.52	16.5	13.5	2.94
Nerlens Noel	56	56	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	-0.22	-6	0	-6	15.6	16.5	-0.89	14.7	17.7	-2.99
Luc Mbah a Moute	59	62	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	-0.22	-7	1	-8	17.0	14.1	2.87	15.4	16.9	-1.54

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kyle Korver	63	64	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.22	11	-5	16	15.3	17.0	-1.67	16.1	15.6	0.51
Jeff Teague	60	59	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.34	3	3	0	15.9	15.8	0.11	16.8	14.4	2.38
Dennis Schroder	51	49	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.22	7	-1	8	16.8	14.6	2.27	15.8	16.2	-0.49
Al Horford	62	61	0.38	0.12	0.27	0.27	4	2	2	15.7	16.1	-0.43	16.4	15.1	1.29
Paul Millsap	65	64	0.33	0.17	0.15	0.33	0	6	-6	16.3	14.7	1.67	16.3	15.1	1.27
Mike Scott	29	29	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.00	6	0	6	14.5	16.5	-1.95	15.1	16.4	-1.29
Elton Brand	20	20	0.14	0.36	-0.21	-0.03	6	0	6	16.6	15.6	0.97	15.8	16.0	-0.23
John Jenkins	41	41	0.06	0.44	-0.39	0.09	-1	7	-8	15.7	16.0	-0.30	14.2	17.5	-3.32
Kent Bazemore	58	57	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.11	-2	8	-10	15.6	16.3	-0.67	16.5	15.2	1.30
Mike Muscala	6	6	-0.04	0.54	-0.57	0.08	-4	10	-14	16.0	15.8	0.16	12.7	16.2	-3.55

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.58,0.52,0.52,0.53,0.53,0.61,0.61,0.66,0.7,0.74,0.78,0.76,0.77,0.77,0.81,0.86,0.89,0.91,0.92,0.88,0.87,0.88,0.84,0.77,0.78,0.83,0.84,0.82,0.8,0.82,0.83,0.74,0.72,0.7,0.78,0.82,0.71,0.77,0.7,0.6,0.73,0.61,0.45,0.44,0.92,1
Game		Similarity Score
SEA 74, MIA 82	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.6,0.62,0.64,0.59,0.62,0.65,0.73,0.74,0.74,0.76,0.75,0.75,0.78,0.84,0.81,0.76,0.78,0.82,0.8,0.8,0.77,0.8,0.8,0.81,0.71,0.71,0.71,0.79,0.73,0.72,0.64,0.7,0.7,0.74,0.79,0.65,0.64,0.59,0.78,0.69,0.45,0.33,0.84,1	93.3%
NJN 94, CHI 103	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.55,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.61,0.63,0.61,0.62,0.62,0.65,0.68,0.76,0.71,0.75,0.67,0.68,0.71,0.78,0.79,0.86,0.78,0.78,0.79,0.79,0.85,0.83,0.86,0.79,0.78,0.72,0.82,0.81,0.68,0.66,0.62,0.62,0.71,0.77,0.59,0.53,0.6,0.68,0.54,0.45,0.85,1	92.0%
BOS 74, PHI 77	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.62,0.64,0.65,0.65,0.65,0.71,0.74,0.8,0.83,0.84,0.83,0.87,0.8,0.79,0.78,0.81,0.77,0.8,0.8,0.77,0.69,0.78,0.73,0.79,0.82,0.77,0.76,0.73,0.8,0.75,0.62,0.7,0.62,0.71,0.63,0.74,0.71,0.67,0.62,0.72,0.33,0.73,1	91.4%