NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	89		Excitement	9.3 [88]		MVP	Paul Millsap (UTA): +15.8%
Memphis Grizzlies	91		Comeback	2.4 [527]		LVP	Carlos Boozer (UTA): -38.1%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Paul Millsap	0.16	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.09	0.08	0.01	8	71%	0.20	1	-0.04	5	100%	0.05
Mehmet Okur	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.08	0.03	0.01	8	67%	0.13	1	-0.02	8	100%	0.05
Ronnie Brewer	0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.1,0.09	-0.01	0.08	-0.01	9	56%	0.16	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Andrei Kirilenko	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	-0.02	0.07	-0.02	7	47%	0.10	2	-0.04	5	60%	-0.04
Kyle Korver	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.05	-0.00	0.00	5	91%	0.11	2	-0.07	1	100%	0.01
Kyrylo Fesenko	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.01	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sundiata Gaines	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	1	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.02
Ronnie Price	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.05	0.02	-0.09	-0.02	9	56%	-0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Wesley Matthews	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.09	-0.03	-0.01	9	22%	-0.09	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
CJ Miles	-0.25	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.25	-0.13	-0.13	-0.01	7	0%	-0.21	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Carlos Boozer	-0.38	0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.17,-0.38,-0.38	-0.13	-0.25	0.00	18	32%	-0.33	2	-0.05	4	25%	-0.07

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
O.J. Mayo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.15,-0.15,0.14	0.14	0.00	0.13	-0.00	11	54%	0.27	2	-0.13	4	75%	-0.05
DeMarre Carroll	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.02	0.00	2	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	0.00	4	50%	0.02	0	0.00	4	100%	0.03
Rudy Gay	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.08,0.08,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.07	-0.05	0.01	15	61%	0.09	2	-0.08	6	100%	0.03
Sam Young	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steven Hunter	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Hasheem Thabeet	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marc Gasol	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	0.00	5	57%	0.06	4	-0.12	4	50%	-0.06
Zach Randolph	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.18,0.12,0.12,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	0.01	-0.10	-0.01	22	49%	-0.03	2	-0.04	15	73%	-0.02
Mike Conley	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.17	-0.17	-0.12	-0.06	-0.01	9	38%	-0.02	5	-0.15	3	67%	-0.05

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.4	2.4	31.4	16.4	27.2	2.6	41.4	145.9
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MEM +25.7%

MEM +14.4%

MEM +29.1%

UTA -18.6%

UTA -0.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	MEM	NBA	UTA	MEM	NBA
this game	16.3	15.2	15.3	96.7	100.0	106.0
season	15.3	15.4		109.5	106.8
opponent	15.0	15.0		108.4	104.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	18.6	13.6	16.9	16.6	16.3
MEM	12.7	14.1	16.6	17.7	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kyrylo Fesenko	20	21	0.05	-0.55	0.61	-0.12	6	-8	14	12.1	17.5	-5.32	13.1	15.8	-2.61
Ronnie Brewer	45	47	0.02	-0.52	0.53	-0.07	3	-5	8	17.2	15.5	1.64	16.4	13.8	2.63
Sundiata Gaines	9	8	-0.02	-0.48	0.45	-0.08	2	-4	6	16.2	16.3	-0.10	17.7	14.9	2.85
Carlos Boozer	58	60	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	-0.37	11	-13	24	16.5	16.0	0.55	15.6	14.2	1.41
Wesley Matthews	27	27	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.14	-1	-1	0	16.9	16.1	0.86	15.8	14.9	0.94
Kyle Korver	32	32	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.35	6	-8	14	14.2	17.5	-3.31	14.7	15.4	-0.72
CJ Miles	49	49	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.11	-6	4	-10	16.4	16.2	0.29	13.9	16.6	-2.72
Ronnie Price	78	77	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.27	-1	-1	0	16.0	18.3	-2.32	14.8	17.4	-2.60
Mehmet Okur	50	48	-0.48	-0.02	-0.47	-0.07	-14	12	-26	16.9	15.6	1.24	14.2	16.2	-2.05
Andrei Kirilenko	36	34	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.30	-7	5	-12	17.3	15.7	1.67	15.5	14.9	0.55
Paul Millsap	56	52	-0.57	0.07	-0.65	-0.31	-9	7	-16	17.1	15.1	1.98	16.2	13.7	2.56

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Marc Gasol	74	73	0.60	-0.10	0.71	0.54	2	0	2	15.2	15.1	0.04	16.5	15.4	1.13
Zach Randolph	86	85	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.34	8	-6	14	14.9	19.6	-4.70	16.1	18.6	-2.44
Rudy Gay	78	79	0.37	0.13	0.23	0.37	0	2	-2	14.8	17.5	-2.69	16.3	16.6	-0.35
O.J. Mayo	80	80	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.36	0	2	-2	14.9	16.6	-1.69	16.1	17.8	-1.75
Mike Conley	63	62	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.19	3	-1	4	15.6	14.1	1.56	16.3	16.3	0.02
DeMarre Carroll	9	9	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.21	0	2	-2	18.2	14.8	3.41	18.3	16.1	2.24
Sam Young	15	16	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.07	4	-2	6	16.4	14.9	1.49	16.6	16.3	0.30
Marcus Williams	28	30	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.13	-1	3	-4	14.1	15.6	-1.56	16.3	16.3	-0.02
Hasheem Thabeet	8	11	0.01	0.49	-0.49	0.09	-3	5	-8	13.1	15.3	-2.22	17.0	16.2	0.78
Steven Hunter	14	15	-0.18	0.68	-0.86	-0.09	-3	5	-8	17.9	14.7	3.19	15.7	16.4	-0.70

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.55,0.55,0.59,0.62,0.64,0.6,0.63,0.69,0.77,0.79,0.83,0.85,0.82,0.82,0.86,0.83,0.74,0.75,0.73,0.74,0.7,0.75,0.75,0.79,0.77,0.67,0.78,0.7,0.77,0.75,0.66,0.69,0.63,0.7,0.66,0.78,0.74,0.79,0.77,0.74,0.71,0.67,0.8,0.64,0.45,0.53,1
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 74, PHI 77	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.62,0.64,0.65,0.65,0.65,0.71,0.74,0.8,0.83,0.84,0.83,0.87,0.8,0.79,0.78,0.81,0.77,0.8,0.8,0.77,0.69,0.78,0.73,0.79,0.82,0.77,0.76,0.73,0.8,0.75,0.62,0.7,0.62,0.71,0.63,0.74,0.71,0.67,0.62,0.72,0.33,0.73,1	92.5%
DAL 95, MIL 96	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.53,0.57,0.63,0.67,0.68,0.73,0.7,0.68,0.8,0.71,0.75,0.71,0.74,0.82,0.83,0.8,0.82,0.82,0.9,0.81,0.77,0.75,0.76,0.73,0.74,0.75,0.78,0.7,0.67,0.75,0.66,0.78,0.75,0.72,0.81,0.83,0.88,0.8,0.75,0.71,0.43,0.58,1	92.1%
TOR 88, NYK 92	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.57,0.58,0.63,0.68,0.72,0.72,0.76,0.8,0.83,0.78,0.73,0.78,0.75,0.75,0.73,0.82,0.81,0.8,0.8,0.79,0.75,0.75,0.71,0.66,0.72,0.7,0.64,0.71,0.77,0.76,0.79,0.74,0.68,0.85,0.78,0.66,0.76,0.88,0.83,0.81,0.83,0.81,0.78,0.67,0.59,1	91.7%