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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Seattle SuperSonics 91 Excitement7.2 [368] MVPDevean George (LAL): +17.5%
Los Angeles Lakers 99 Comeback1.3 [838] LVPRay Allen (SEA): -25.5%


Seattle SuperSonics
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Ansu Sesay0.140,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.140.070.070.003100%0.1400.002100%0.02
Vitaly Potapenko0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.040.040.011258%0.101-0.0300%0.00
Jerome James-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.030.00-0.0320%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Reggie Evans-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.000.0010%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Vladimir Radmanovic-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.01-0.01333%0.001-0.0300%0.00
Luke Ridnour-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.01-0.0010%-0.011-0.0300%0.00
Antonio Daniels-0.060,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.05-0.01-0.01623%-0.0600.001100%0.00
Ronald Murray-0.140,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.05,-0.07,-0.12,-0.140.01-0.16-0.012060%0.074-0.21786%0.02
Rashard Lewis-0.190,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19-0.05-0.120.021645%-0.111-0.09650%-0.04
Ray Allen-0.260,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.15,-0.15,-0.26,-0.26-0.02-0.210.021849%-0.192-0.073100%0.02

Los Angeles Lakers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Devean George0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.180.180.080.100.003117%0.1800.0000%0.00
Kareem Rush0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.16,0.160.160.020.13-0.01961%0.222-0.0600%0.00
Brian Cook0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.030.03-0.00560%0.0600.0000%0.00
Slava Medvedenko0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.010.010.01750%0.0100.002100%0.01
Kobe Bryant00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Rick Fox0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.05-0.01-0.00542%-0.002-0.062100%0.01
Bryon Russell0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.06-0.00-0.0140%-0.0600.0000%0.00
Shaquille O'Neal0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08-0.080.01-0.090.011664%0.013-0.091867%-0.07
Luke Walton0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.09-0.05-0.040.00442%-0.051-0.04475%-0.03
Gary Payton0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15-0.15-0.03-0.13-0.001162%-0.024-0.13475%-0.01
Derek Fisher0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.17-0.17-0.05-0.110.01941%-0.131-0.044100%0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game25.10.824.516.328.22.537.2134.5
league avg47.82.427.914.324.82.129.8150.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
LAL +37.4%
LAL +10.7%
SEA -1.6%
LAL +3.8%
SEA -0.4%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsSEALALNBASEALALNBA
this game15.516.015.7100.0107.6100.5
season15.615.4105.0102.8
opponent15.615.799.0105.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
SEA17.516.014.014.915.5
LAL16.816.714.815.716.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Seattle SuperSonics
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jerome James23210.02-0.520.54-0.011-91018.214.63.5615.116.2-1.12
Vladimir Radmanovic3635-0.04-0.460.420.05-3-5214.216.4-2.1914.317.0-2.74
Luke Ridnour1212-0.08-0.420.340.01-3-5217.015.31.7116.415.90.53
Antonio Daniels3535-0.10-0.400.29-0.02-3-5217.714.23.5216.315.70.58
Reggie Evans1819-0.14-0.360.220.04-6-2-418.614.83.8617.715.52.18
Ronald Murray7071-0.24-0.260.01-0.271-91014.319.6-5.2715.517.4-1.91
Ansu Sesay3739-0.33-0.17-0.16-0.30-1-7615.315.7-0.3716.215.80.48
Vitaly Potapenko6263-0.45-0.05-0.40-0.28-6-2-414.916.8-1.9216.414.91.55
Rashard Lewis8384-0.520.02-0.53-0.28-80-815.021.1-6.1516.015.60.36
Ray Allen7981-0.620.12-0.73-0.26-124-1615.714.41.2716.114.71.40

Los Angeles Lakers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Gary Payton77760.71-0.210.920.2715-72216.115.01.1415.515.6-0.10
Shaquille O'Neal76760.63-0.130.760.2214-62015.916.4-0.5115.117.5-2.41
Luke Walton34330.430.070.370.2080815.916.0-0.0213.816.5-2.62
Devean George25280.370.130.230.39-19-1015.616.1-0.4316.914.91.99
Kareem Rush70680.360.140.220.42-210-1216.015.80.2415.515.7-0.24
Slava Medvedenko39380.190.31-0.120.0262416.515.50.9716.115.11.01
Rick Fox57560.150.35-0.21-0.1510-21216.215.50.7615.116.2-1.06
Kobe Bryant110.040.46-0.43-0.0535-237.015.721.2725.015.49.59
Derek Fisher3737-0.080.58-0.66-0.1426-414.616.9-2.2815.415.6-0.19
Brian Cook1615-0.130.63-0.760.05-614-2016.415.90.5117.515.12.41
Bryon Russell2827-0.160.66-0.820.10-917-2615.316.2-0.9616.115.20.90


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.59,0.64,0.64,0.7,0.67,0.64,0.65,0.6,0.62,0.64,0.65,0.65,0.68,0.75,0.78,0.77,0.82,0.78,0.75,0.63,0.63,0.61,0.64,0.73,0.82,0.83,0.82,0.79,0.84,0.75,0.66,0.67,0.71,0.62,0.68,0.78,0.76,0.73,0.61,0.55,0.55,0.96,1
GameSimilarity Score
CHI 108, CHA 1130.5,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.6,0.57,0.57,0.57,0.49,0.56,0.57,0.55,0.58,0.53,0.67,0.67,0.74,0.71,0.73,0.78,0.77,0.78,0.7,0.62,0.63,0.61,0.58,0.64,0.82,0.78,0.82,0.83,0.83,0.68,0.78,0.78,0.7,0.71,0.77,0.79,0.65,0.72,0.75,0.71,0.57,0.73,192.5%
BOS 92, ATL 970.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.59,0.66,0.68,0.69,0.69,0.7,0.71,0.66,0.65,0.66,0.69,0.66,0.65,0.67,0.7,0.68,0.74,0.77,0.79,0.75,0.75,0.74,0.63,0.64,0.7,0.61,0.77,0.85,0.82,0.85,0.77,0.68,0.62,0.57,0.67,0.57,0.58,0.53,0.6,0.78,0.62,0.78,0.68,0.93,192.4%
CLE 92, BOS 970.5,0.51,0.53,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.63,0.66,0.67,0.69,0.66,0.64,0.58,0.63,0.56,0.62,0.69,0.65,0.65,0.76,0.77,0.8,0.78,0.77,0.78,0.78,0.79,0.66,0.72,0.61,0.67,0.62,0.62,0.72,0.8,0.74,0.68,0.7,0.7,0.79,0.72,0.81,0.74,0.81,0.78,0.76,0.79,0.55,0.92,192.0%