NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	92		Excitement	6.4 [422]		MVP	Joe Johnson (ATL): +35.2%
Atlanta Hawks	97		Comeback	1.1 [914]		LVP	Tracy McGrady (ATL): -15.3%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Keyon Dooling	0.16	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.09,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.15	0.05	0.04	10	85%	0.16	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Avery Bradley	0.05	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.11,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05	0.06	0.01	0.02	22	58%	0.10	3	-0.06	4	75%	0.00
Greg Stiemsma	0.02	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.04	0.00	0.02	2	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sasha Pavlovic	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.00	3	67%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sean Williams	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Hollins	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	-0.00	0.01	5	67%	0.06	2	-0.07	2	0%	-0.03
E'Twaun Moore	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08	-0.04	-0.02	0.01	5	42%	-0.01	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.00
Brandon Bass	-0.09	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.12,-0.12,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.09	-0.12	0.00	-0.02	15	31%	-0.04	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
JaJuan Johnson	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.04	-0.06	-0.01	7	29%	-0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marquis Daniels	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.12	-0.06	-0.07	-0.00	12	43%	-0.06	2	-0.06	4	50%	-0.03

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Joe Johnson	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.21,0.21,0.19,0.19,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.16,0.35,0.35	0.35	0.23	0.15	0.02	18	73%	0.35	0	0.00	5	100%	0.04
Willie Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,0,0,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.22	0.07	0.15	0.00	5	80%	0.22	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ivan Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.02	0.00	3	100%	0.11	1	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Kirk Hinrich	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.06	0.01	0.02	3	133%	0.11	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Jason Collins	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.05	-0.00	0.02	5	62%	0.03	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.00
Vladimir Radmanovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.00	3	75%	0.05	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.00
Jannero Pargo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.09,0.09,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	4	50%	0.05	1	-0.05	2	100%	0.00
Marvin Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	6	33%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Teague	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.08	-0.02	-0.01	6	17%	-0.06	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Josh Smith	0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.09	-0.03	-0.00	17	51%	0.08	7	-0.21	3	100%	0.01
Tracy McGrady	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.14	-0.03	-0.01	2	17%	-0.03	5	-0.12	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.0	2.8	29.4	18.7	27.0	2.0	36.2	139.1
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +52.5%

ATL +17.4%

ATL +1.5%

BOS -23.9%

ATL +2.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	ATL	NBA	BOS	ATL	NBA
this game	15.6	16.5	15.6	102.2	109.0	102.8
season	15.5	15.7		99.4	102.5
opponent	15.9	16.2		99.5	97.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	14.6	16.1	14.6	17.5	15.6
ATL	15.4	18.1	16.0	16.8	16.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
E'Twaun Moore	35	35	0.12	-0.62	0.74	-0.20	11	-16	27	15.1	16.0	-0.87	16.6	16.5	0.15
Sean Williams	6	6	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.01	0	-5	5	15.2	15.7	-0.51	18.0	16.4	1.57
Ryan Hollins	57	55	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	-0.26	4	-9	13	15.8	15.3	0.49	17.2	15.5	1.68
JaJuan Johnson	25	25	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	-0.10	-3	-2	-1	18.2	14.7	3.48	18.6	15.7	2.81
Marquis Daniels	64	63	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	-0.48	9	-14	23	15.4	16.3	-0.99	16.9	15.8	1.09
Greg Stiemsma	17	19	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	0.10	-11	6	-17	15.3	15.7	-0.43	16.0	16.7	-0.69
Sasha Pavlovic	46	45	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.06	-7	2	-9	14.7	16.6	-1.90	16.4	16.7	-0.28
Brandon Bass	69	69	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	-0.22	-8	3	-11	15.7	15.6	0.10	16.1	18.1	-2.08
Avery Bradley	71	71	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.31	-5	0	-5	15.1	17.7	-2.65	16.1	18.4	-2.32
Keyon Dooling	60	57	-0.66	0.16	-0.83	-0.22	-15	10	-25	16.5	13.9	2.67	15.9	17.7	-1.74

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Joe Johnson	57	55	0.63	-0.13	0.76	0.19	15	-10	25	16.4	16.7	-0.28	16.5	14.3	2.27
Jannero Pargo	30	30	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.34	2	3	-1	17.7	16.0	1.70	16.9	15.0	1.93
Josh Smith	66	66	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.17	7	-2	9	16.1	17.7	-1.62	15.3	16.6	-1.28
Jason Collins	46	46	0.35	0.15	0.19	-0.03	13	-8	21	16.8	16.3	0.50	16.1	15.1	0.99
Jeff Teague	38	38	0.26	0.24	0.01	-0.07	11	-6	17	16.0	17.0	-0.99	15.9	15.5	0.43
Willie Green	27	28	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.28	-4	9	-13	16.0	16.8	-0.72	15.3	15.8	-0.47
Ivan Johnson	49	51	0.15	0.35	-0.21	0.38	-8	13	-21	16.7	16.3	0.39	15.5	15.9	-0.40
Vladimir Radmanovic	17	17	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.14	-1	6	-7	15.8	16.7	-0.88	13.5	16.1	-2.61
Tracy McGrady	24	25	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.11	-1	6	-7	18.7	15.8	2.91	16.9	15.2	1.77
Kirk Hinrich	49	51	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.08	-2	7	-9	15.2	18.2	-2.97	14.0	17.7	-3.70
Marvin Williams	42	43	-0.03	0.53	-0.57	0.17	-7	12	-19	17.5	15.7	1.86	15.8	15.5	0.32

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.59,0.66,0.68,0.69,0.69,0.7,0.71,0.66,0.65,0.66,0.69,0.66,0.65,0.67,0.7,0.68,0.74,0.77,0.79,0.75,0.75,0.74,0.63,0.64,0.7,0.61,0.77,0.85,0.82,0.85,0.77,0.68,0.62,0.57,0.67,0.57,0.58,0.53,0.6,0.78,0.62,0.78,0.68,0.93,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 92, IND 97	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.57,0.6,0.57,0.61,0.63,0.62,0.68,0.73,0.72,0.74,0.7,0.71,0.73,0.67,0.68,0.71,0.69,0.74,0.75,0.7,0.7,0.71,0.69,0.69,0.64,0.73,0.65,0.68,0.75,0.8,0.78,0.71,0.62,0.62,0.57,0.71,0.68,0.53,0.59,0.72,0.62,0.85,0.84,0.83,1	93.2%
SEA 91, LAL 99	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.59,0.64,0.64,0.7,0.67,0.64,0.65,0.6,0.62,0.64,0.65,0.65,0.68,0.75,0.78,0.77,0.82,0.78,0.75,0.63,0.63,0.61,0.64,0.73,0.82,0.83,0.82,0.79,0.84,0.75,0.66,0.67,0.71,0.62,0.68,0.78,0.76,0.73,0.61,0.55,0.55,0.96,1	92.4%
IND 94, ATL 95	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.6,0.64,0.68,0.69,0.66,0.64,0.63,0.65,0.69,0.62,0.63,0.6,0.62,0.69,0.71,0.69,0.72,0.66,0.71,0.69,0.7,0.59,0.73,0.71,0.66,0.73,0.76,0.76,0.71,0.83,0.91,0.88,0.87,0.71,0.62,0.57,0.82,0.71,0.63,0.59,0.6,0.61,0.53,0.63,0.78,0.73,1	91.8%