NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	94		Excitement	8.2 [212]		MVP	Jason Terry (ATL): +12.9%
Atlanta Hawks	95		Comeback	1.0 [774]		LVP	Reggie Miller (IND): -14.5%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brad Miller	0.07	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.09	-0.01	0.02	10	76%	0.10	1	-0.03	5	100%	0.03
Jonathan Bender	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.08	0.04	-0.03	7	33%	0.01	1	-0.01	4	100%	0.03
Jeff Foster	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	1	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Jermaine O'Neal	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03	-0.06	0.02	-0.01	15	51%	0.02	2	-0.05	13	92%	0.10
Metta World Peace	-0.06	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	-0.00	-0.01	8	39%	-0.02	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.05
Austin Croshere	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.08	0.05	-0.12	0.00	8	67%	-0.03	1	-0.05	2	100%	0.02
Kevin Ollie	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.01	-0.09	0.00	2	60%	-0.11	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.06
Jamaal Tinsley	-0.12	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.02	-0.02	7	14%	-0.08	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Miller	-0.15	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.13,0.13,-0.15	0.06	-0.21	-0.00	15	59%	-0.12	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.03

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jason Terry	0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.19,0.19,0.13	0.13	0.02	0.09	-0.03	13	61%	0.26	3	-0.14	2	100%	0.02
Nazr Mohammed	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.06	0.01	-0.00	11	72%	0.13	2	-0.05	3	67%	-0.04
DerMarr Johnson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.02	0.02	-0.03	11	56%	0.08	3	-0.05	3	67%	0.00
Hanno Mottola	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jacque Vaughn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.03	5	50%	0.04	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.03
Ira Newble	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	-0.00	3	70%	0.01	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.05
Toni Kukoc	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	-0.00	12	56%	0.11	2	-0.13	3	100%	0.01
Alan Henderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.13,-0.11,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.13	-0.01	-0.02	14	43%	-0.05	3	-0.07	9	44%	-0.06

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	31.6	1.8	25.2	16.3	27.6	2.7	40.7	145.9
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +108.0%

IND -30.1%

IND -13.5%

IND -16.2%

ATL +1.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	ATL	NBA	IND	ATL	NBA
this game	16.2	15.2	15.6	103.3	103.3	102.3
season	15.3	15.5		101.6	99.7
opponent	15.2	15.4		103.9	100.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	14.3	18.9	16.4	16.0	16.2
ATL	12.9	14.7	15.7	18.3	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jeff Foster	25	26	0.19	-0.69	0.87	0.16	1	-2	3	15.8	16.4	-0.65	15.3	15.2	0.13
Jonathan Bender	38	38	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.14	2	-3	5	16.0	16.4	-0.44	14.6	15.7	-1.10
Kevin Ollie	51	51	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.59	15	-16	31	15.6	17.0	-1.42	16.6	13.6	3.05
Austin Croshere	39	41	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.70	18	-19	37	16.3	16.2	0.04	15.7	14.9	0.82
Jamaal Tinsley	40	41	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	0.12	-16	15	-31	17.0	15.6	1.42	13.6	16.6	-3.05
Brad Miller	49	49	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	0.03	-15	14	-29	16.9	15.5	1.40	14.2	16.4	-2.24
Metta World Peace	48	48	-0.47	-0.03	-0.45	-0.21	-9	8	-17	16.8	15.6	1.14	16.0	14.4	1.61
Jermaine O'Neal	85	86	-0.50	0.00	-0.51	-0.47	-1	0	-1	16.0	19.3	-3.32	15.2	15.5	-0.27
Reggie Miller	80	80	-0.55	0.05	-0.60	-0.55	0	-1	1	16.0	17.9	-1.91	15.5	13.7	1.82

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ira Newble	64	62	0.84	-0.34	1.18	0.61	8	-7	15	14.6	16.7	-2.16	16.4	15.9	0.54
Nazr Mohammed	74	73	0.82	-0.32	1.14	0.58	8	-7	15	15.4	14.5	0.93	16.6	14.9	1.67
Jacque Vaughn	28	27	0.51	-0.01	0.53	0.48	1	0	1	16.7	14.6	2.05	17.2	15.8	1.41
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	77	77	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.52	-1	2	-3	15.6	13.7	1.89	15.8	18.4	-2.51
DerMarr Johnson	67	68	0.32	0.18	0.13	0.17	5	-4	9	15.2	15.3	-0.04	16.0	17.0	-0.97
Hanno Mottola	15	14	0.01	0.49	-0.48	-0.05	2	-1	3	13.7	15.6	-1.89	18.4	15.8	2.51
Jason Terry	68	68	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	-0.03	0	1	-1	14.6	17.0	-2.42	16.0	16.8	-0.74
Alan Henderson	18	17	-0.20	0.70	-0.90	0.01	-7	8	-15	14.5	15.4	-0.93	15.2	16.5	-1.22
Toni Kukoc	49	49	-0.26	0.76	-1.03	0.06	-11	12	-23	16.2	14.2	2.00	15.9	16.6	-0.68

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.6,0.64,0.68,0.69,0.66,0.64,0.63,0.65,0.69,0.62,0.63,0.6,0.62,0.69,0.71,0.69,0.72,0.66,0.71,0.69,0.7,0.59,0.73,0.71,0.66,0.73,0.76,0.76,0.71,0.83,0.91,0.88,0.87,0.71,0.62,0.57,0.82,0.71,0.63,0.59,0.6,0.61,0.53,0.63,0.78,0.73,1
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 92, ATL 97	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.59,0.66,0.68,0.69,0.69,0.7,0.71,0.66,0.65,0.66,0.69,0.66,0.65,0.67,0.7,0.68,0.74,0.77,0.79,0.75,0.75,0.74,0.63,0.64,0.7,0.61,0.77,0.85,0.82,0.85,0.77,0.68,0.62,0.57,0.67,0.57,0.58,0.53,0.6,0.78,0.62,0.78,0.68,0.93,1	91.8%
OKC 110, LAC 118	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.55,0.52,0.63,0.61,0.67,0.63,0.6,0.58,0.56,0.6,0.6,0.51,0.58,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.64,0.73,0.77,0.77,0.75,0.82,0.84,0.82,0.78,0.67,0.78,0.84,0.83,0.86,0.87,0.78,0.75,0.66,0.66,0.62,0.67,0.77,0.59,0.6,0.61,0.53,0.55,0.66,0.84,1	91.5%
CHI 92, IND 97	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.57,0.6,0.57,0.61,0.63,0.62,0.68,0.73,0.72,0.74,0.7,0.71,0.73,0.67,0.68,0.71,0.69,0.74,0.75,0.7,0.7,0.71,0.69,0.69,0.64,0.73,0.65,0.68,0.75,0.8,0.78,0.71,0.62,0.62,0.57,0.71,0.68,0.53,0.59,0.72,0.62,0.85,0.84,0.83,1	91.4%