NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	108		Excitement	8.2 [199]		MVP	Ronald Murray (CHA): +39.1%
Charlotte Bobcats	113		Comeback	1.0 [924]		LVP	Derrick Rose (CHI): -20.6%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Joakim Noah	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.05	0.04	-0.01	8	68%	0.15	2	-0.06	3	100%	0.02
John Salmons	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.09	0.09	0.01	0.01	12	70%	0.29	3	-0.20	3	67%	0.00
Brad Miller	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.01	0.00	2	125%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
James Johnson	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.00	0.03	-0.02	2	75%	0.06	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Taj Gibson	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.01	0.04	0.01	6	67%	0.11	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Luol Deng	-0.03	0,0,0,0.03,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,-0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.02	-0.04	0.01	17	46%	-0.03	0	0.00	5	80%	0.00
Tyrus Thomas	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.00	0.00	5	37%	-0.04	1	-0.02	6	33%	-0.06
Kirk Hinrich	-0.16	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.08,-0.16	-0.04	-0.11	0.00	13	43%	-0.09	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.02
Derrick Rose	-0.21	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,0.02,-0.11,-0.06,-0.13,-0.04,-0.04,-0.21	-0.04	-0.15	0.01	19	59%	0.11	7	-0.32	3	67%	-0.01

Charlotte Bobcats
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ronald Murray	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.27,0.39,0.39	0.39	0.16	0.23	0.00	12	81%	0.45	2	-0.05	7	86%	0.06
Gerald Wallace	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.26	0.26	0.22	0.06	0.03	16	74%	0.28	1	-0.02	11	91%	0.03
Stephen Jackson	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.13	0.13	0.05	0.09	0.00	21	51%	0.13	0	0.00	7	71%	0.03
Raymond Felton	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.04,0,0,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.02	-0.02	13	59%	0.15	4	-0.10	3	100%	0.03
DeSagana Diop	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Stephen Graham	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
D.J. Augustin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	4	44%	-0.00	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Nazr Mohammed	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	4	50%	-0.00	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Boris Diaw	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	0.00	0.01	5	42%	0.02	3	-0.09	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.6	2.4	30.5	15.7	30.1	1.0	37.6	141.0
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHA +19.4%

CHA +19.2%

CHI -27.2%

CHA +30.7%

CHA +7.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	CHA	NBA	CHI	CHA	NBA
this game	13.3	14.8	15.3	104.9	110.8	106.0
season	14.7	16.2		101.9	103.0
opponent	15.4	15.7		101.8	103.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	13.0	13.7	13.0	13.4	13.3
CHA	14.2	13.5	14.2	17.9	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Taj Gibson	44	45	0.06	-0.56	0.62	0.00	2	-7	9	14.4	12.4	1.99	16.2	13.8	2.37
James Johnson	21	23	0.06	-0.56	0.61	-0.00	2	-7	9	13.0	13.3	-0.28	13.5	15.2	-1.69
Tyrus Thomas	50	49	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.15	2	-7	9	12.6	13.9	-1.38	14.4	15.2	-0.78
Brad Miller	24	23	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.01	-4	-1	-3	12.0	13.7	-1.66	13.9	15.1	-1.24
Joakim Noah	73	71	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.31	0	-5	5	13.3	13.3	0.01	14.6	15.3	-0.66
John Salmons	63	63	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.43	3	-8	11	13.0	13.7	-0.66	15.5	13.7	1.85
Derrick Rose	83	82	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.29	-4	-1	-3	13.1	14.0	-0.90	14.6	15.7	-1.14
Luol Deng	81	81	-0.54	0.04	-0.57	-0.33	-7	2	-9	13.7	11.9	1.79	15.4	12.5	2.97
Kirk Hinrich	76	73	-0.81	0.30	-1.11	-0.25	-19	14	-33	13.5	12.5	1.02	14.2	16.5	-2.35

Charlotte Bobcats
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ronald Murray	61	64	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.35	8	-3	11	15.0	14.6	0.41	13.2	13.3	-0.06
Boris Diaw	77	79	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.26	8	-3	11	14.6	15.6	-0.96	13.5	12.6	0.90
Stephen Jackson	94	94	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.37	2	3	-1	14.9	14.0	0.90	13.3	13.0	0.30
Gerald Wallace	95	96	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.38	1	4	-3	14.9	14.0	0.89	13.2	14.0	-0.78
Raymond Felton	76	75	0.38	0.12	0.27	0.41	-1	6	-7	14.8	15.0	-0.22	13.1	13.8	-0.71
DeSagana Diop	20	19	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.04	5	0	5	14.0	15.0	-1.04	12.1	13.5	-1.49
Stephen Graham	1	2	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.03	2	3	-1	0.0	15.0	-14.98	8.5	13.4	-4.87
D.J. Augustin	31	31	0.09	0.41	-0.33	-0.03	4	1	3	15.1	14.7	0.38	13.8	13.0	0.76
Derrick Brown	15	15	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.00	0	5	-5	16.1	14.6	1.45	14.9	13.0	1.94
Nazr Mohammed	40	40	-0.17	0.67	-0.84	-0.05	-4	9	-13	14.9	14.8	0.19	13.1	13.4	-0.28

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.6,0.57,0.57,0.57,0.49,0.56,0.57,0.55,0.58,0.53,0.67,0.67,0.74,0.71,0.73,0.78,0.77,0.78,0.7,0.62,0.63,0.61,0.58,0.64,0.82,0.78,0.82,0.83,0.83,0.68,0.78,0.78,0.7,0.71,0.77,0.79,0.65,0.72,0.75,0.71,0.57,0.73,1
Game		Similarity Score
SEA 91, LAL 99	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.59,0.64,0.64,0.7,0.67,0.64,0.65,0.6,0.62,0.64,0.65,0.65,0.68,0.75,0.78,0.77,0.82,0.78,0.75,0.63,0.63,0.61,0.64,0.73,0.82,0.83,0.82,0.79,0.84,0.75,0.66,0.67,0.71,0.62,0.68,0.78,0.76,0.73,0.61,0.55,0.55,0.96,1	92.5%
MEM 99, IND 104	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.47,0.55,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.57,0.6,0.66,0.71,0.69,0.75,0.75,0.75,0.71,0.66,0.72,0.73,0.76,0.71,0.77,0.87,0.8,0.7,0.68,0.74,0.7,0.75,0.83,0.77,0.76,0.76,0.77,0.68,0.84,0.68,0.85,1	92.4%
NJN 91, NYK 94	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.56,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.56,0.57,0.6,0.55,0.64,0.67,0.65,0.65,0.64,0.64,0.74,0.77,0.7,0.7,0.71,0.63,0.59,0.55,0.67,0.74,0.68,0.75,0.82,0.83,0.72,0.66,0.85,0.82,0.8,0.81,0.69,0.47,0.53,0.81,0.71,0.85,0.84,1	91.9%