NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Jersey Nets	91		Excitement	7.7 [260]		MVP	Charles Oakley (NYK): +8.4%
New York Knicks	94		Comeback	1.5 [593]		LVP	John Starks (NYK): -17.7%

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Lucious Harris	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.03	0.04	0.00	1	100%	0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Kerry Kittles	-0.00	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,0,0,0	0.01	-0.02	-0.00	15	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Jayson Williams	-0.01	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	0.00	0.01	3	56%	-0.01	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.02
Michael Cage	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Sam Cassell	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.02,0.04,0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.11,-0.03	-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	16	51%	0.12	3	-0.16	5	100%	0.05
Brian Evans	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Sherman Douglas	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Chris Gatling	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.02	-0.05	-0.00	10	59%	-0.01	2	-0.06	9	56%	-0.08
Kendall Gill	-0.11	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.11	-0.03	-0.11	-0.03	11	46%	-0.10	1	-0.00	4	50%	-0.03
Keith Van Horn	-0.14	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14	-0.07	-0.07	-0.00	14	42%	-0.08	2	-0.06	5	100%	0.04

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Charles Oakley	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.08,0.08	0.08	-0.08	0.15	-0.01	11	50%	0.19	4	-0.10	4	75%	0.03
Allan Houston	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.13,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.06	0.02	0.00	15	57%	0.08	0	0.00	5	100%	0.04
Larry Johnson	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.06	0.06	0.11	-0.04	0.00	14	74%	0.17	2	-0.11	3	100%	0.01
Terry Cummings	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.02	0.04	-0.01	4	60%	0.09	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Brooks Thompson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.02	0.00	4	62%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Charlie Ward	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	7	56%	0.01	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.05
Chris Mills	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	10	41%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
John Starks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.21,-0.18	-0.18	-0.13	-0.04	-0.00	15	25%	-0.15	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.0	2.6	27.6	16.3	24.7	1.8	38.2	138.2
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +24.1%

NYK +14.9%

NYK +21.3%

NJN -2.6%

NJN -7.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NJN	NYK	NBA	NJN	NYK	NBA
this game	16.5	16.2	15.6	103.4	106.8	102.5
season	15.6	15.7		104.9	100.4
opponent	16.3	15.2		98.6	103.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NJN	14.8	19.9	15.2	16.7	16.5
NYK	14.0	17.9	16.1	17.6	16.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jayson Williams	25	23	0.06	-0.56	0.61	0.03	1	-4	5	19.0	15.5	3.58	17.2	15.9	1.25
Michael Cage	29	28	-0.03	-0.47	0.43	-0.03	0	-3	3	15.6	16.9	-1.33	16.0	16.4	-0.37
Brian Evans	5	4	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	0.01	-2	-1	-1	20.0	16.3	3.73	12.0	16.5	-4.45
Lucious Harris	15	15	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.07	0	-3	3	17.7	16.2	1.43	17.4	16.0	1.39
Sherman Douglas	14	12	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	0.05	-10	7	-17	21.9	15.5	6.40	14.7	16.5	-1.83
Sam Cassell	71	74	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.42	3	-6	9	15.9	19.1	-3.20	16.3	16.0	0.30
Kerry Kittles	76	75	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.39	1	-4	5	15.8	20.6	-4.75	16.2	16.4	-0.16
Keith Van Horn	73	74	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	-0.29	-4	1	-5	17.2	12.9	4.35	16.3	15.9	0.47
Kendall Gill	83	84	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	-0.43	-1	-2	1	16.3	20.0	-3.73	16.5	12.0	4.45
Chris Gatling	49	51	-0.62	0.12	-0.73	-0.53	-3	0	-3	14.6	18.8	-4.25	15.9	16.8	-0.92

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Larry Johnson	67	67	0.65	-0.15	0.80	0.42	8	-5	13	17.0	14.0	2.96	17.4	13.4	4.00
Charlie Ward	61	62	0.63	-0.13	0.77	0.40	8	-5	13	15.3	18.3	-2.95	15.2	19.6	-4.45
Charles Oakley	73	73	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.41	2	1	1	16.0	17.6	-1.63	15.4	21.5	-6.09
Allan Houston	69	70	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.36	1	2	-1	16.1	16.7	-0.55	15.5	20.1	-4.57
John Starks	56	56	0.31	0.19	0.11	0.31	0	3	-3	15.9	16.9	-0.98	16.2	16.9	-0.72
Chris Mills	51	50	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.15	5	-2	7	16.8	15.5	1.32	18.1	14.4	3.71
Terry Cummings	36	36	-0.12	0.62	-0.75	-0.01	-4	7	-11	15.5	16.8	-1.27	16.8	16.2	0.56
Brooks Thompson	27	26	-0.13	0.63	-0.77	0.01	-5	8	-13	18.3	15.3	2.95	19.6	15.2	4.45

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.56,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.56,0.57,0.6,0.55,0.64,0.67,0.65,0.65,0.64,0.64,0.74,0.77,0.7,0.7,0.71,0.63,0.59,0.55,0.67,0.74,0.68,0.75,0.82,0.83,0.72,0.66,0.85,0.82,0.8,0.81,0.69,0.47,0.53,0.81,0.71,0.85,0.84,1
Game		Similarity Score
POR 92, PHX 98	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.57,0.59,0.6,0.55,0.55,0.59,0.62,0.68,0.64,0.7,0.62,0.6,0.63,0.65,0.65,0.58,0.58,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.7,0.73,0.62,0.6,0.61,0.52,0.57,0.68,0.68,0.72,0.88,0.83,0.75,0.74,0.74,0.83,0.74,0.63,0.53,0.47,0.53,0.68,0.71,0.84,0.96,1	93.3%
PHX 89, HOU 94	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.57,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.57,0.6,0.62,0.64,0.6,0.58,0.62,0.66,0.65,0.67,0.66,0.64,0.71,0.81,0.81,0.73,0.7,0.65,0.63,0.51,0.61,0.67,0.68,0.59,0.59,0.63,0.74,0.78,0.7,0.7,0.71,0.71,0.81,0.64,0.66,0.66,0.75,0.79,0.99,0.98,1	92.6%
MIA 95, ORL 104	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.52,0.45,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.55,0.6,0.64,0.66,0.68,0.62,0.58,0.62,0.63,0.68,0.66,0.76,0.74,0.7,0.7,0.73,0.69,0.66,0.67,0.67,0.64,0.71,0.74,0.73,0.73,0.73,0.64,0.62,0.66,0.82,0.8,0.68,0.64,0.47,0.54,0.69,0.89,0.96,1,1	92.5%