inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Miami Heat 95 Excitement7.1 [407] MVPBrandon Bass (ORL): +17.9%
Orlando Magic 104 Comeback1.5 [766] LVPChris Duhon (ORL): -8.3%


Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Carlos Arroyo0.040,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.050.000.01764%0.0400.0000%0.00
Eddie House0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04-0.010.060.00650%0.081-0.042100%0.06
Chris Bosh0.030,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.08-0.040.011362%0.112-0.07887%0.01
Jamaal Magloire0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.000.030.00250%0.0300.0000%0.00
Joel Anthony0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.010.002100%0.041-0.0200%0.00
LeBron James-0.020,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.020.04-0.030.031857%0.063-0.09875%0.01
Juwan Howard-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.040.00-0.00150%0.012-0.042100%0.01
Zydrunas Ilgauskas-0.060,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.00-0.060.00744%-0.0600.00250%-0.01
Dwyane Wade-0.060,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.13,-0.13,-0.08,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.08-0.00-0.012137%-0.041-0.02771%0.04
James Jones-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07-0.08-0.01-0.0250%-0.0700.0000%0.00

Orlando Magic
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Brandon Bass0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.180.180.130.03-0.021275%0.1800.0000%0.00
JJ Redick0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.180.180.110.090.021265%0.201-0.027100%0.03
Rashard Lewis0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.060.020.021056%0.0600.00560%-0.01
Quentin Richardson0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.010.04-0.01446%0.0600.00580%0.01
Mickael Pietrus0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.01-0.010.00350%0.0000.0000%0.00
Marcin Gortat0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.010.000.010100%0.0000.002100%0.00
Dwight Howard0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,00.000.02-0.02-0.011357%0.073-0.071650%-0.16
Jameer Nelson0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.11,-0.16,-0.16,-0.1,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.070.060.001550%0.145-0.15450%-0.02
Jason Williams0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.02-0.010.0000%0.001-0.0400%0.00
Chris Duhon0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.06-0.03-0.0010%-0.012-0.0700%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game26.13.334.419.029.23.544.6160.1
league avg26.22.430.316.427.22.433.9140.0
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
ORL +69.6%
MIA -20.6%
ORL +15.0%
MIA -13.9%
MIA -0.2%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMIAORLNBAMIAORLNBA
this game15.915.815.5104.4114.3105.7
season16.015.2109.0106.3
opponent16.215.6101.1102.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
MIA18.216.516.313.015.9
ORL16.916.314.315.815.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
James Jones32320.18-0.680.870.045-141913.917.0-3.1117.115.02.11
Carlos Arroyo4242-0.00-0.500.49-0.093-121515.716.0-0.2815.316.1-0.83
Zydrunas Ilgauskas4547-0.10-0.400.31-0.214-131715.915.9-0.0516.614.91.64
Joel Anthony1819-0.10-0.400.30-0.01-3-6318.315.33.0516.715.51.17
Juwan Howard1919-0.12-0.380.250.05-6-3-320.214.75.4617.815.22.63
Jamaal Magloire2218-0.24-0.260.01-0.01-8-1-716.015.80.2016.415.60.79
Chris Bosh7273-0.39-0.11-0.27-0.30-3-6314.720.2-5.4615.018.8-3.83
Dwyane Wade7877-0.47-0.03-0.44-0.18-101-1116.015.20.7714.920.6-5.77
Eddie House4949-0.50-0.00-0.49-0.15-123-1516.015.70.2816.115.30.83
LeBron James7879-0.760.26-1.03-0.32-156-2116.015.20.8615.417.9-2.49

Orlando Magic
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Rashard Lewis55580.78-0.281.050.2518-92714.517.7-3.2515.915.80.16
JJ Redick83830.480.020.450.3063315.617.2-1.6415.717.7-2.04
Jameer Nelson62620.350.150.190.1181716.414.42.0215.915.80.09
Mickael Pietrus40390.330.170.170.2727-516.814.91.8615.516.2-0.66
Dwight Howard76750.310.190.120.1363315.019.5-4.4415.418.2-2.86
Marcin Gortat15170.190.31-0.120.1036-319.515.04.4417.515.52.02
Chris Duhon29280.150.35-0.190.1218-714.416.4-2.0216.215.80.42
Quentin Richardson47460.040.46-0.42-0.1463315.715.9-0.2016.015.70.31
Jason Williams120.030.47-0.440.0309-918.015.72.2717.515.91.65
Brandon Bass4745-0.160.66-0.81-0.01-514-1916.714.81.9116.215.50.70


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.52,0.45,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.55,0.6,0.64,0.66,0.68,0.62,0.58,0.62,0.63,0.68,0.66,0.76,0.74,0.7,0.7,0.73,0.69,0.66,0.67,0.67,0.64,0.71,0.74,0.73,0.73,0.73,0.64,0.62,0.66,0.82,0.8,0.68,0.64,0.47,0.54,0.69,0.89,0.96,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
SAS 84, MIN 930.5,0.51,0.44,0.43,0.45,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.63,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.54,0.56,0.61,0.65,0.69,0.77,0.73,0.63,0.6,0.63,0.58,0.7,0.58,0.68,0.65,0.75,0.82,0.7,0.68,0.58,0.52,0.66,0.76,0.81,0.59,0.65,0.72,0.76,0.89,0.97,1,192.7%
GSW 102, PHX 1060.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.5,0.5,0.49,0.59,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.61,0.66,0.65,0.64,0.6,0.6,0.63,0.65,0.68,0.66,0.69,0.74,0.75,0.82,0.67,0.6,0.63,0.69,0.78,0.7,0.71,0.68,0.75,0.56,0.63,0.52,0.54,0.62,0.75,0.72,0.68,0.7,0.76,0.55,0.69,0.96,0.94,0.85,192.6%
NJN 91, NYK 940.5,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.56,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.56,0.57,0.6,0.55,0.64,0.67,0.65,0.65,0.64,0.64,0.74,0.77,0.7,0.7,0.71,0.63,0.59,0.55,0.67,0.74,0.68,0.75,0.82,0.83,0.72,0.66,0.85,0.82,0.8,0.81,0.69,0.47,0.53,0.81,0.71,0.85,0.84,192.5%