NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Dallas Mavericks	115		Excitement	8.7 [175]		MVP	Deron Williams (DAL): +35.5%
Portland Trail Blazers	112		Comeback	122.5 [5]		LVP	Damian Lillard (POR): -32.6%

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Deron Williams	0.36	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.18,0.13,0.13,0.19,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.36	0.20	0.17	0.02	17	73%	0.38	1	-0.02	7	86%	0.05
Dirk Nowitzki	0.35	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.33,0.35,0.35	0.03	0.30	-0.02	24	54%	0.43	3	-0.09	4	100%	0.02
Wesley Matthews	0.07	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.08	0.01	0.02	11	64%	0.09	1	-0.02	6	83%	0.01
Zaza Pachulia	0.01	0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.04	-0.02	0.00	10	61%	0.08	2	-0.07	3	67%	0.00
Justin Anderson	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dwight Powell	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	6	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Jenkins	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Charlie Villanueva	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.02	-0.10	-0.01	13	38%	-0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Raymond Felton	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.05	-0.06	0.02	10	37%	-0.10	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.00
Devin Harris	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.08	-0.06	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01	4	-0.12	0	0%	0.00

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Allen Crabbe	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.18,0.18,0.29,0.29,0.26,0.26,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.09	0.07	0.00	12	67%	0.21	2	-0.05	3	100%	0.04
Meyers Leonard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.1,0.19,0.19,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.14	0.01	-0.00	17	62%	0.15	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Gerald Henderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.01,0.01,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.12	0.05	0.06	13	67%	0.12	0	0.00	4	100%	0.03
Ed Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.06	-0.02	0.00	4	91%	0.13	2	-0.09	3	67%	0.00
Noah Vonleh	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mason Plumlee	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	4	30%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Maurice Harkless	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.03	0.00	2	50%	0.02	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Al-Farouq Aminu	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.02	-0.02	2	0%	-0.03	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
CJ McCollum	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.19,-0.19,-0.2,-0.2,-0.14,-0.14,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.19	-0.03	-0.03	21	26%	-0.08	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Damian Lillard	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.16,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.28,-0.33	-0.33	-0.02	-0.21	0.09	24	50%	-0.21	4	-0.11	2	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	26.1	2.4	29.8	15.0	22.2	2.5	33.2	1.8	19.2	152.1
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	2.2	17.3	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +53.5%

POR -7.8%

POR -14.7%

DAL +16.7%

DAL +2.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	POR	NBA	DAL	POR	NBA
this game	15.0	15.0	14.9	109.5	104.7	105.1
season	15.5	15.0		105.0	107.1
opponent	14.6	14.7		106.7	106.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
DAL	14.9	14.2	16.5	15.8	11.9	15.0
POR	16.4	13.5	16.3	15.6	12.8	15.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Wesley Matthews	80	82	0.99	-0.49	1.47	0.40	20	-17	37	15.0	14.9	0.04	15.0	15.3	-0.36
Raymond Felton	77	80	0.74	-0.24	0.97	0.21	18	-15	33	15.3	14.0	1.30	15.1	15.0	0.06
Dirk Nowitzki	70	73	0.64	-0.14	0.78	0.11	18	-15	33	15.3	14.2	1.17	15.3	14.5	0.76
Charlie Villanueva	33	33	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.10	7	-4	11	15.3	14.8	0.56	16.3	14.5	1.82
Deron Williams	90	92	0.26	0.24	0.01	0.34	-3	6	-9	14.9	15.5	-0.60	14.8	16.5	-1.65
Zaza Pachulia	76	76	0.24	0.26	-0.01	0.13	4	-1	5	15.6	13.3	2.22	15.3	14.5	0.75
John Jenkins	18	18	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.07	-2	5	-7	15.3	14.9	0.46	13.7	15.3	-1.59
Justin Anderson	5	5	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	0.13	-8	11	-19	15.8	14.9	0.89	18.2	14.9	3.31
Devin Harris	50	48	-0.28	0.78	-1.05	0.31	-20	23	-43	13.2	16.6	-3.38	14.9	15.2	-0.24
Dwight Powell	26	28	-0.29	0.79	-1.08	0.27	-19	22	-41	13.8	15.3	-1.47	13.8	15.5	-1.66

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Maurice Harkless	31	31	0.39	-0.89	1.28	-0.08	16	-19	35	16.8	14.3	2.43	16.2	14.4	1.76
Gerald Henderson	49	51	0.30	-0.80	1.10	-0.02	11	-14	25	14.3	15.7	-1.44	13.4	16.4	-3.03
Mason Plumlee	42	42	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	0.17	-7	4	-11	15.5	14.7	0.79	14.5	15.2	-0.67
Al-Farouq Aminu	39	38	-0.08	-0.42	0.35	0.22	-10	7	-17	15.2	15.0	0.21	14.4	15.3	-0.83
Noah Vonleh	12	13	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	0.20	-15	12	-27	14.8	15.1	-0.24	13.9	15.1	-1.17
Allen Crabbe	70	68	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	-0.63	7	-10	17	14.7	15.7	-1.00	15.3	14.4	0.89
Ed Davis	63	60	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.55	3	-6	9	15.0	15.0	0.00	15.7	13.9	1.78
Meyers Leonard	63	59	-0.60	0.10	-0.70	-0.51	-3	0	-3	15.2	14.8	0.39	16.2	13.4	2.82
CJ McCollum	83	81	-0.67	0.17	-0.84	-0.44	-8	5	-13	15.2	14.7	0.49	14.5	16.4	-1.90
Damian Lillard	83	82	-0.68	0.18	-0.86	-0.42	-9	6	-15	14.7	16.4	-1.77	14.8	15.5	-0.73

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.47,0.36,0.29,0.26,0.25,0.28,0.35,0.33,0.36,0.32,0.4,0.44,0.38,0.4,0.42,0.39,0.27,0.22,0.39,0.44,0.44,0.51,0.65,0.8,0.78,0.7,0.59,0.61,0.59,0.59,0.56,0.56,0.44,0.46,0.38,0.57,0.52,0.63,0.79,0.92,0.91,0.75,0.9,0.9,0.97,0.5,0.31,0.28,0.14,0.09,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 107, POR 100	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.43,0.41,0.4,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.4,0.37,0.34,0.32,0.41,0.51,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.54,0.49,0.61,0.55,0.67,0.65,0.65,0.66,0.63,0.56,0.68,0.58,0.66,0.62,0.62,0.85,0.74,0.85,0.78,0.74,0.85,0.95,0.84,0.46,0.39,0.16,0.1,0.01,0	88.0%
PHI 118, ORL 113	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.41,0.42,0.39,0.43,0.34,0.32,0.37,0.31,0.32,0.37,0.43,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.59,0.54,0.49,0.56,0.51,0.54,0.46,0.61,0.58,0.58,0.55,0.59,0.52,0.52,0.63,0.68,0.7,0.7,0.52,0.74,0.68,0.86,0.86,0.9,0.9,0.97,0.98,0.83,0.46,0.47,0.54,0.33,0.08,0	86.6%
SEA 114, LAC 110	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.39,0.44,0.47,0.47,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.58,0.56,0.54,0.5,0.54,0.47,0.46,0.52,0.45,0.46,0.54,0.5,0.49,0.6,0.55,0.45,0.61,0.65,0.52,0.45,0.56,0.62,0.56,0.5,0.52,0.53,0.52,0.53,0.69,0.65,0.67,0.69,0.93,0.98,1,0.46,0.32,0.29,0.23,0.04,0	86.2%