NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Seattle SuperSonics	114		Excitement	10.2 [42]		MVP	Eric Piatkowski (LAC): +27.9%
Los Angeles Clippers	110		Comeback	276.8 [7]		LVP	Patrick Ewing (SEA): -19.6%

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Desmond Mason	0.24	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24	-0.03	0.27	-0.00	6	50%	0.34	2	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Rashard Lewis	0.14	0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14	0.02	0.12	-0.00	13	57%	0.19	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.02
Shammond Williams	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.03	0.08	-0.01	5	73%	0.17	1	-0.05	1	100%	0.01
Gary Payton	0.11	0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,0.04,-0.05,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.11	-0.01	0.08	-0.05	21	58%	0.32	5	-0.20	3	100%	0.04
Brent Barry	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.06	-0.02	0.02	9	61%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ruben Patterson	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.04,0.03,0	-0.08	0.08	-0.00	18	42%	0.02	1	-0.02	7	57%	-0.03
Olumide Oyedeji	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Vin Baker	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.06	-0.09	0.00	12	64%	0.03	1	-0.07	4	50%	-0.03
Patrick Ewing	-0.20	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.2	-0.07	-0.13	-0.01	11	42%	-0.15	2	-0.05	4	75%	0.00

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Eric Piatkowski	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.3,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.36,0.36,0.32,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.28,0.28	0.28	0.16	0.08	-0.04	18	68%	0.28	0	0.00	8	87%	0.04
Quentin Richardson	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.05	-0.02	0.01	14	56%	0.02	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Earl Boykins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Keyon Dooling	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sean Rooks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	6	50%	0.01	1	-0.04	4	100%	0.02
Lamar Odom	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,-0.02,-0.11,-0.04,0.04,-0.06,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.04	-0.01	12	55%	0.14	2	-0.18	5	80%	0.00
Jeff McInnis	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.11,-0.11,-0.04	-0.04	0.01	-0.06	-0.01	17	59%	0.12	4	-0.16	0	0%	0.00
Michael Olowokandi	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	6	43%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.04
Darius Miles	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.08,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.12	0.01	-0.02	12	31%	-0.05	2	-0.04	2	0%	-0.03
Cherokee Parks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.07	-0.04	-0.01	4	25%	-0.06	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	22.6	1.4	26.6	16.4	24.9	2.0	38.3	1.7	19.8	153.7
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	1.7	17.2	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SEA +50.0%

SEA +2.6%

LAC -9.6%

LAC -4.2%

SEA +11.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SEA	LAC	NBA	SEA	LAC	NBA
this game	15.1	16.4	15.5	112.9	108.9	100.9
season	15.2	16.1		103.8	99.5
opponent	15.5	15.7		102.6	103.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
SEA	16.0	12.9	15.4	15.8	16.7	15.1
LAC	14.7	16.4	17.4	17.0	16.7	16.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rashard Lewis	81	81	0.68	-0.18	0.87	0.51	6	-2	8	14.8	16.2	-1.41	15.6	19.6	-4.03
Shammond Williams	30	31	0.60	-0.10	0.70	0.19	14	-10	24	12.3	16.3	-4.01	18.4	15.5	2.92
Brent Barry	67	68	0.46	0.04	0.43	0.55	-3	7	-10	15.1	15.1	0.05	16.1	16.8	-0.67
Gary Payton	90	89	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.37	3	1	2	15.5	12.0	3.50	16.1	18.1	-1.95
Desmond Mason	40	40	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.13	2	2	0	16.0	14.5	1.50	17.1	15.9	1.17
Patrick Ewing	60	60	0.18	0.32	-0.13	0.24	-2	6	-8	16.0	13.8	2.21	16.0	16.9	-0.90
Olumide Oyedeji	11	12	0.16	0.34	-0.18	-0.05	7	-3	10	14.3	15.2	-0.95	20.9	15.8	5.16
Ruben Patterson	75	73	-0.10	0.60	-0.69	0.11	-7	11	-18	15.1	15.1	0.00	16.0	17.3	-1.32
Vin Baker	51	51	-0.14	0.65	-0.79	-0.14	0	4	-4	14.9	15.3	-0.36	16.4	16.3	0.13

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Sean Rooks	50	50	0.15	-0.65	0.80	0.06	3	-7	10	16.1	16.6	-0.53	15.6	14.7	0.91
Earl Boykins	9	10	0.13	-0.63	0.76	0.07	2	-6	8	17.7	16.2	1.43	12.0	15.5	-3.46
Cherokee Parks	23	23	0.01	-0.51	0.52	0.04	-1	-3	2	17.3	16.1	1.21	16.5	14.7	1.82
Keyon Dooling	12	11	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	0.03	-4	0	-4	18.8	16.0	2.80	14.8	15.2	-0.34
Michael Olowokandi	47	47	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	-0.13	-1	-3	2	16.9	15.9	0.91	15.3	14.9	0.41
Darius Miles	67	66	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.32	-1	-3	2	16.0	17.1	-1.13	14.6	16.2	-1.61
Eric Piatkowski	94	96	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.33	-1	-3	2	16.5	14.7	1.78	15.2	13.0	2.23
Jeff McInnis	90	91	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.36	-5	1	-6	16.1	18.5	-2.34	15.3	13.6	1.69
Lamar Odom	45	45	-0.55	0.05	-0.60	-0.37	-6	2	-8	16.4	16.3	0.10	16.2	14.2	1.99
Quentin Richardson	68	66	-0.77	0.27	-1.04	-0.59	-6	2	-8	15.8	17.5	-1.71	14.1	17.1	-3.05

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.39,0.44,0.47,0.47,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.58,0.56,0.54,0.5,0.54,0.47,0.46,0.52,0.45,0.46,0.54,0.5,0.49,0.6,0.55,0.45,0.61,0.65,0.52,0.45,0.56,0.62,0.56,0.5,0.52,0.53,0.52,0.53,0.69,0.65,0.67,0.69,0.93,0.98,1,0.46,0.32,0.29,0.23,0.04,0
Game		Similarity Score
OKC 110, PHI 105	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.62,0.67,0.65,0.59,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.58,0.65,0.64,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.46,0.39,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.41,0.5,0.46,0.48,0.52,0.42,0.55,0.48,0.55,0.69,0.66,0.6,0.49,0.42,0.48,0.48,0.62,0.63,0.59,0.53,0.72,0.69,0.79,0.89,0.98,0.54,0.53,0.28,0.15,0.09,0	90.5%
MIA 107, POR 100	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.43,0.41,0.4,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.4,0.37,0.34,0.32,0.41,0.51,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.54,0.49,0.61,0.55,0.67,0.65,0.65,0.66,0.63,0.56,0.68,0.58,0.66,0.62,0.62,0.85,0.74,0.85,0.78,0.74,0.85,0.95,0.84,0.46,0.39,0.16,0.1,0.01,0	89.4%
PHX 107, CHI 98	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.44,0.45,0.46,0.48,0.44,0.45,0.35,0.43,0.49,0.44,0.48,0.47,0.4,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.51,0.58,0.64,0.61,0.58,0.58,0.52,0.55,0.58,0.55,0.58,0.59,0.65,0.66,0.74,0.72,0.74,0.7,0.75,0.71,0.58,0.74,0.66,0.72,0.69,0.79,0.78,0.96,0.46,0.39,0.37,0.09,0.01,0	89.4%