NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	107		Excitement	9.8 [89]		MVP	Shawn Marion (PHX): +39.2%
Chicago Bulls	98		Comeback	35.1 [23]		LVP	Ben Gordon (CHI): -34.4%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shawn Marion	0.39	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.07,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.29,0.35,0.36,0.38,0.38,0.39	0.13	0.28	0.02	22	62%	0.43	1	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
James Jones	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.1,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.02	0.03	-0.00	8	44%	0.10	1	-0.08	2	100%	0.05
Raja Bell	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.08	-0.06	0.01	14	68%	0.12	2	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
Eddie House	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	0.00	13	39%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Pat Burke	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Boris Diaw	-0.09	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.02	-0.06	0.01	10	57%	0.03	4	-0.11	8	75%	-0.01
Jim Jackson	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.07	-0.02	0.00	3	12%	-0.06	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Steve Nash	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,-0.05,-0.11,-0.15,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.01	-0.09	0.02	10	54%	-0.01	2	-0.11	6	100%	0.03
Kurt Thomas	-0.14	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.04	-0.09	0.01	9	44%	-0.02	2	-0.12	0	0%	0.00

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kirk Hinrich	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.13,0.13,0.19,0.19,0.26,0.26,0.37,0.35,0.35,0.28,0.28,0.26,0.26	0.26	0.05	0.20	-0.01	24	52%	0.30	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Chris Duhon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.08,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.02	-0.05	-0.02	12	62%	0.12	3	-0.13	2	100%	0.02
Jannero Pargo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	-0.03	0.00	7	36%	-0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Andres Nocioni	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.01	-0.07	0.00	5	50%	-0.04	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Tyson Chandler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.06	-0.09	0.00	2	50%	-0.01	3	-0.14	0	0%	0.00
Luol Deng	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	0.01	-0.18	0.01	15	48%	-0.10	1	-0.07	3	67%	-0.00
Darius Songaila	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,0,-0.07,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26	-0.26	-0.08	-0.17	0.01	11	50%	0.04	5	-0.31	6	67%	-0.05
Ben Gordon	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.03,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.14,-0.14,-0.2,-0.34,-0.34,-0.28,-0.35,-0.35,-0.34	-0.34	-0.09	-0.25	-0.00	19	39%	-0.17	3	-0.17	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	23.0	2.4	23.6	15.6	23.3	2.6	32.0	1.8	14.7	138.9
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	1.8	17.8	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +30.7%

PHX +14.7%

CHI -27.6%

PHX +27.7%

PHX +4.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	CHI	NBA	PHX	CHI	NBA
this game	14.2	16.0	15.6	99.1	95.1	104.4
season	13.8	14.4		110.2	102.6
opponent	16.1	16.1		102.1	105.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
PHX	13.6	15.3	15.2	14.2	11.4	14.2
CHI	16.5	16.8	16.1	15.2	14.8	16.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Steve Nash	87	82	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.29	9	0	9	13.5	16.9	-3.36	15.7	17.1	-1.39
Shawn Marion	93	89	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.16	10	-1	11	14.0	15.1	-1.09	15.9	16.5	-0.59
Raja Bell	94	89	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.18	9	0	9	13.8	16.6	-2.73	15.8	17.3	-1.50
Eddie House	51	50	0.33	0.17	0.15	0.15	6	3	3	14.5	13.9	0.52	15.7	16.2	-0.53
James Jones	44	44	0.26	0.24	0.03	0.15	4	5	-1	14.5	14.0	0.59	16.3	15.8	0.49
Kurt Thomas	57	53	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.00	4	5	-1	15.5	12.8	2.67	16.8	15.1	1.73
Boris Diaw	78	74	0.03	0.47	-0.43	-0.03	2	7	-5	14.9	12.2	2.72	16.0	16.0	-0.01
Jim Jackson	15	14	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	0.02	-3	12	-15	14.7	14.1	0.55	17.3	15.8	1.50
Pat Burke	9	9	-0.11	0.61	-0.73	0.03	-5	14	-19	10.9	14.5	-3.61	16.0	16.0	0.01

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Duhon	87	91	-0.01	-0.49	0.47	0.10	-4	-5	1	16.1	15.6	0.43	13.8	16.3	-2.49
Jannero Pargo	35	36	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.11	1	-10	11	15.5	16.2	-0.72	14.1	14.2	-0.13
Darius Songaila	71	74	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	-0.22	3	-12	15	15.6	16.8	-1.15	13.3	16.1	-2.72
Tyson Chandler	26	30	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.06	-7	-2	-5	16.8	15.7	1.14	16.0	13.5	2.50
Luol Deng	86	88	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.17	-7	-2	-5	15.8	16.7	-0.86	14.1	14.5	-0.37
Andres Nocioni	50	51	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.29	-5	-4	-1	16.5	15.5	0.99	14.7	13.7	0.97
Kirk Hinrich	98	102	-0.49	-0.01	-0.49	-0.23	-9	0	-9	16.0	15.4	0.62	14.5	9.3	5.15
Ben Gordon	62	68	-0.70	0.20	-0.90	-0.20	-17	8	-25	16.0	16.0	-0.10	14.2	14.2	-0.05

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.44,0.45,0.46,0.48,0.44,0.45,0.35,0.43,0.49,0.44,0.48,0.47,0.4,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.51,0.58,0.64,0.61,0.58,0.58,0.52,0.55,0.58,0.55,0.58,0.59,0.65,0.66,0.74,0.72,0.74,0.7,0.75,0.71,0.58,0.74,0.66,0.72,0.69,0.79,0.78,0.96,0.46,0.39,0.37,0.09,0.01,0
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 102, CLE 101	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.43,0.47,0.49,0.4,0.42,0.48,0.53,0.58,0.64,0.56,0.51,0.48,0.53,0.56,0.64,0.67,0.64,0.67,0.59,0.57,0.52,0.45,0.55,0.52,0.62,0.52,0.56,0.48,0.52,0.62,0.74,0.66,0.67,0.58,0.6,0.35,0.66,0.68,0.63,0.9,0.84,0.54,0.45,0.36,0.23,0.09,0	90.3%
DET 105, BOS 97	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.44,0.47,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.61,0.56,0.49,0.59,0.67,0.68,0.71,0.73,0.64,0.76,0.71,0.72,0.81,0.73,0.67,0.64,0.74,0.62,0.75,0.62,0.58,0.69,0.53,0.65,0.61,0.85,0.75,0.72,0.46,0.2,0.07,0.02,0,0	90.3%
POR 108, CHA 100	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.57,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.42,0.46,0.43,0.38,0.45,0.49,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.39,0.39,0.46,0.51,0.59,0.67,0.58,0.57,0.55,0.52,0.6,0.65,0.78,0.7,0.56,0.67,0.56,0.62,0.65,0.71,0.71,0.81,0.69,0.7,0.73,0.69,0.64,0.55,0.83,0.54,0.39,0.11,0.02,0,0	90.1%