NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Detroit Pistons	105		Excitement	10.0 [76]		MVP	Jae Crowder (BOS): +37.8%
Boston Celtics	97		Comeback	6.8 [115]		LVP	Evan Turner (BOS): -23.1%

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tayshaun Prince	0.26	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26	0.01	0.26	-0.00	9	45%	0.26	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Jodie Meeks	0.20	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.07	0.13	-0.00	8	70%	0.24	1	-0.04	4	75%	0.01
Caron Butler	0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.07	-0.01	0.01	7	80%	0.10	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.00
Joel Anthony	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.01	0.00	3	33%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	-0.01	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01	0.06	-0.04	0.03	20	61%	0.11	4	-0.12	4	100%	0.01
Spencer Dinwiddie	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	5	60%	0.07	3	-0.12	0	0%	0.00
Andre Drummond	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.06,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	0.01	17	40%	-0.06	0	0.00	11	18%	-0.19
Anthony Tolliver	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.11	-0.03	-0.00	7	0%	-0.14	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Jackson	-0.17	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.11,-0.11,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.05	-0.12	-0.01	13	50%	-0.06	4	-0.10	8	87%	0.05

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jae Crowder	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.38,0.38	0.38	0.04	0.33	-0.01	16	51%	0.41	1	-0.03	5	80%	0.03
Tyler Zeller	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.02	0.02	10	45%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Gerald Wallace	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gigi Datome	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
James Young	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	4	37%	0.01	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Jonas Jerebko	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.05,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.03	0.02	12	40%	-0.06	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Brandon Bass	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.07,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.04	-0.06	0.02	15	42%	-0.05	2	-0.06	1	0%	-0.04
Phil Pressey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.06	-0.05	0.00	5	25%	-0.08	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Kelly Olynyk	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.13	-0.03	-0.04	9	20%	-0.07	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Avery Bradley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.05	-0.09	-0.01	10	45%	0.00	3	-0.14	2	100%	0.01
Evan Turner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.24,-0.24,-0.23	-0.23	0.02	-0.23	0.02	21	52%	-0.17	2	-0.06	2	50%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	22.3	1.6	27.2	15.7	27.2	2.5	28.2	2.4	19.5	146.7
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	2.0	17.8	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DET +70.8%

BOS -18.4%

BOS -11.3%

DET +3.6%

DET +5.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DET	BOS	NBA	DET	BOS	NBA
this game	14.8	15.4	15.1	99.1	92.4	104.2
season	15.7	14.3		104.0	103.1
opponent	15.4	15.3		103.3	105.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
DET	16.0	17.2	14.5	13.1	12.1	14.8
BOS	14.6	14.8	18.2	15.7	11.9	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tayshaun Prince	60	59	0.61	-0.11	0.73	0.38	8	0	8	13.3	16.7	-3.32	16.2	14.2	1.98
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	91	90	0.60	-0.10	0.71	0.28	11	-3	14	14.3	18.1	-3.81	15.1	16.7	-1.53
Andre Drummond	80	79	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.22	12	-4	16	14.6	15.2	-0.58	15.6	14.7	0.88
Reggie Jackson	73	73	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.15	13	-5	18	15.1	14.0	1.11	15.0	16.2	-1.20
Jodie Meeks	70	69	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.36	4	4	0	14.2	15.9	-1.70	14.7	16.7	-2.04
Spencer Dinwiddie	33	32	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.09	-4	12	-16	14.0	15.1	-1.11	16.2	15.0	1.20
Joel Anthony	22	22	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	-0.04	-1	9	-10	16.5	14.4	2.10	16.4	15.1	1.34
Caron Butler	51	51	-0.09	0.59	-0.67	-0.09	0	8	-8	16.5	13.2	3.39	16.7	14.1	2.59
Anthony Tolliver	50	50	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	-0.02	-3	11	-14	16.0	13.7	2.32	13.5	17.0	-3.50

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kelly Olynyk	55	54	0.38	-0.88	1.25	-0.00	13	-21	34	14.8	16.0	-1.24	15.9	13.6	2.31
Gigi Datome	11	11	0.08	-0.58	0.66	-0.10	6	-14	20	15.3	15.4	-0.09	12.9	15.0	-2.10
Phil Pressey	30	30	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	0.04	-2	-6	4	15.4	15.3	0.07	13.5	15.3	-1.76
Gerald Wallace	23	23	-0.04	-0.46	0.43	-0.09	2	-10	12	18.9	14.4	4.50	15.3	14.7	0.65
Jonas Jerebko	45	46	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.16	-1	-7	6	15.4	15.3	0.08	12.9	16.3	-3.40
James Young	16	16	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	-0.03	-6	-2	-4	17.1	15.0	2.02	9.2	15.8	-6.53
Brandon Bass	66	66	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	-0.02	-9	1	-10	15.3	15.4	-0.09	15.9	13.0	2.88
Jae Crowder	89	91	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.26	-7	-1	-6	14.5	20.2	-5.70	15.3	11.7	3.64
Avery Bradley	74	75	-0.47	-0.03	-0.45	-0.18	-10	2	-12	14.9	16.5	-1.56	15.3	13.5	1.80
Evan Turner	75	76	-0.55	0.05	-0.60	-0.32	-8	0	-8	15.3	15.4	-0.07	15.3	13.5	1.76
Tyler Zeller	41	42	-0.73	0.23	-0.96	-0.20	-18	10	-28	16.2	14.8	1.46	14.0	15.3	-1.31

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.44,0.47,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.61,0.56,0.49,0.59,0.67,0.68,0.71,0.73,0.64,0.76,0.71,0.72,0.81,0.73,0.67,0.64,0.74,0.62,0.75,0.62,0.58,0.69,0.53,0.65,0.61,0.85,0.75,0.72,0.46,0.2,0.07,0.02,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
PHX 107, CHI 98	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.44,0.45,0.46,0.48,0.44,0.45,0.35,0.43,0.49,0.44,0.48,0.47,0.4,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.51,0.58,0.64,0.61,0.58,0.58,0.52,0.55,0.58,0.55,0.58,0.59,0.65,0.66,0.74,0.72,0.74,0.7,0.75,0.71,0.58,0.74,0.66,0.72,0.69,0.79,0.78,0.96,0.46,0.39,0.37,0.09,0.01,0	90.3%
POR 108, CHA 100	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.57,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.42,0.46,0.43,0.38,0.45,0.49,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.39,0.39,0.46,0.51,0.59,0.67,0.58,0.57,0.55,0.52,0.6,0.65,0.78,0.7,0.56,0.67,0.56,0.62,0.65,0.71,0.71,0.81,0.69,0.7,0.73,0.69,0.64,0.55,0.83,0.54,0.39,0.11,0.02,0,0	89.9%
NYK 113, WAS 100	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.43,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.44,0.53,0.56,0.59,0.58,0.58,0.57,0.51,0.52,0.61,0.71,0.74,0.72,0.77,0.78,0.68,0.62,0.62,0.7,0.8,0.87,0.87,0.81,0.61,0.76,0.92,0.84,0.58,0.54,0.32,0.04,0.01,0,0	89.8%