NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	113		Excitement	8.5 [169]		MVP	David Lee (NYK): +26.8%
Washington Wizards	100		Comeback	11.8 [62]		LVP	Antonio Daniels (WAS): -43.5%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
David Lee	0.27	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27	0.14	0.13	0.00	8	90%	0.35	2	-0.08	5	100%	0.06
Nate Robinson	0.22	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.08,0.08,0.08,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.04	0.20	0.02	13	53%	0.24	1	-0.02	10	60%	-0.04
Quentin Richardson	0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.10	-0.05	0.02	12	68%	0.10	1	-0.07	4	100%	0.04
Jared Jeffries	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Fred Jones	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.01	0.00	4	42%	0.01	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.01
Malik Rose	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Eddy Curry	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	4	40%	-0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Jamal Crawford	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06	0.02	-0.02	0.07	15	57%	0.03	3	-0.09	7	86%	-0.12
Zach Randolph	-0.18	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.02,-0.04,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	0.05	-0.21	0.02	18	57%	-0.07	3	-0.11	6	83%	-0.02

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Antawn Jamison	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.23,0.23,0.14,0.14,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	-0.03	-0.04	17	50%	0.05	2	-0.01	6	83%	0.01
Nick Young	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.01	0.00	9	67%	0.10	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Dominic McGuire	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.01	-0.02	2	50%	0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Roger Mason Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.02	0.01	11	56%	0.07	2	-0.05	5	100%	0.04
Brendan Haywood	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.02	0.01	5	64%	0.09	2	-0.07	4	75%	0.01
Oleksiy Pecherov	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.04	0.00	0.05	2	83%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
DeShawn Stevenson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	-0.04	-0.03	12	50%	0.03	1	-0.03	4	75%	-0.01
Darius Songaila	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andray Blatche	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.03	-0.04	0.01	13	38%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Antonio Daniels	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.38,-0.38,-0.44,-0.44,-0.43,-0.43	-0.43	-0.08	-0.35	0.01	15	36%	-0.22	2	-0.22	3	67%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	24.2	2.3	27.2	15.4	25.9	1.8	34.5	1.5	14.4	147.1
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	1.9	17.1	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +51.7%

NYK +6.9%

NYK +2.8%

WAS -0.6%

WAS -10.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	WAS	NBA	NYK	WAS	NBA
this game	15.8	16.3	15.4	115.3	100.0	105.7
season	15.7	16.1		103.1	106.8
opponent	15.5	15.2		107.4	109.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
NYK	15.7	16.2	16.8	17.0	11.3	15.8
WAS	15.7	17.3	15.3	17.3	16.0	16.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Quentin Richardson	82	82	0.75	-0.25	1.00	0.25	17	-4	21	14.9	20.5	-5.60	15.7	18.8	-3.09
Jamal Crawford	88	88	0.64	-0.14	0.79	0.12	18	-5	23	15.2	21.1	-5.88	15.9	19.1	-3.16
Nate Robinson	71	70	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.12	14	-1	15	16.5	13.9	2.66	16.0	17.0	-0.95
Zach Randolph	68	67	0.44	0.06	0.39	0.30	5	8	-3	17.1	13.0	4.11	16.5	15.8	0.67
David Lee	64	68	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.12	8	5	3	15.8	15.8	-0.01	16.7	15.5	1.18
Malik Rose	13	14	0.02	0.48	-0.46	-0.01	1	12	-11	15.2	15.9	-0.68	19.4	15.8	3.55
Fred Jones	47	51	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	-0.10	3	10	-7	14.3	17.2	-2.92	16.5	16.1	0.31
Eddy Curry	28	28	-0.07	0.57	-0.65	-0.04	-1	14	-15	17.7	15.1	2.61	15.9	16.5	-0.57
Jared Jeffries	29	32	-0.16	0.66	-0.81	-0.16	0	13	-13	16.4	15.6	0.85	16.9	16.0	0.89

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Oleksiy Pecherov	14	13	0.17	-0.67	0.83	-0.04	7	-20	27	13.4	16.8	-3.42	12.5	16.3	-3.78
Nick Young	39	38	0.15	-0.65	0.79	0.32	-6	-7	1	16.2	16.4	-0.20	16.1	15.6	0.47
Dominic McGuire	29	28	0.13	-0.63	0.76	0.13	0	-13	13	18.4	15.4	2.98	16.7	15.5	1.26
Roger Mason Jr.	47	48	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	0.18	-12	-1	-11	16.0	16.5	-0.49	15.5	16.1	-0.54
Darius Songaila	29	28	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	0.02	-8	-5	-3	18.2	15.5	2.64	17.2	15.3	1.91
Antonio Daniels	75	73	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.22	-7	-6	-1	15.3	19.2	-3.87	15.3	17.4	-2.18
Andray Blatche	59	58	-0.48	-0.02	-0.47	-0.16	-11	-2	-9	16.9	15.4	1.50	17.2	13.8	3.32
Brendan Haywood	66	65	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.33	-6	-7	1	16.2	16.5	-0.30	15.7	16.0	-0.32
DeShawn Stevenson	70	68	-0.53	0.03	-0.57	-0.21	-11	-2	-9	15.9	17.2	-1.33	15.3	16.9	-1.61
Antawn Jamison	72	71	-0.60	0.10	-0.70	-0.28	-11	-2	-9	16.5	15.8	0.66	15.6	16.4	-0.82

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.43,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.44,0.53,0.56,0.59,0.58,0.58,0.57,0.51,0.52,0.61,0.71,0.74,0.72,0.77,0.78,0.68,0.62,0.62,0.7,0.8,0.87,0.87,0.81,0.61,0.76,0.92,0.84,0.58,0.54,0.32,0.04,0.01,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 109, SAS 100	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.61,0.49,0.6,0.58,0.54,0.4,0.36,0.31,0.31,0.27,0.35,0.34,0.34,0.41,0.49,0.42,0.46,0.5,0.51,0.55,0.48,0.52,0.58,0.62,0.71,0.69,0.74,0.67,0.75,0.78,0.81,0.79,0.86,0.9,0.87,0.8,0.78,0.84,0.96,0.91,0.73,0.54,0.38,0.22,0.1,0.04,0	91.1%
POR 108, CHA 100	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.57,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.42,0.46,0.43,0.38,0.45,0.49,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.39,0.39,0.46,0.51,0.59,0.67,0.58,0.57,0.55,0.52,0.6,0.65,0.78,0.7,0.56,0.67,0.56,0.62,0.65,0.71,0.71,0.81,0.69,0.7,0.73,0.69,0.64,0.55,0.83,0.54,0.39,0.11,0.02,0,0	90.8%
MIA 107, POR 100	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.43,0.41,0.4,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.4,0.37,0.34,0.32,0.41,0.51,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.54,0.49,0.61,0.55,0.67,0.65,0.65,0.66,0.63,0.56,0.68,0.58,0.66,0.62,0.62,0.85,0.74,0.85,0.78,0.74,0.85,0.95,0.84,0.46,0.39,0.16,0.1,0.01,0	90.7%