inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Los Angeles Lakers 109 Excitement8.0 [220] MVPEddie Jones (LAL): +18.8%
San Antonio Spurs 100 Comeback21.7 [30] LVPShaquille O'Neal (LAL): -39.7%


Los Angeles Lakers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Eddie Jones0.190,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.21,0.19,0.19,0.190.100.09-0.001663%0.1900.00967%-0.02
Nick Van Exel0.170,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.03,-0.03,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17-0.020.18-0.011248%0.181-0.025100%0.04
Elden Campbell0.100,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.070.03-0.00771%0.1000.0000%0.00
Corie Blount0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.020.020.001100%0.0400.0000%0.00
Derek Fisher0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.010.00-0.01757%0.051-0.0300%0.00
Rick Fox-0.110,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.06-0.05-0.011050%0.024-0.1200%0.00
Robert Horry-0.130,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13-0.07-0.040.02442%-0.082-0.04475%-0.00
Shaquille O'Neal-0.400,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.2,-0.2,-0.22,-0.41,-0.34,-0.39,-0.39,-0.39,-0.4-0.17-0.24-0.012651%-0.177-0.231553%-0.26

San Antonio Spurs
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Monty Williams0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.180.180.100.080.005100%0.211-0.044100%0.02
Jaren Jackson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.06-0.010.00679%0.071-0.02250%-0.01
Carl Herrera0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.02-0.010.03-0.00450%0.041-0.0200%0.00
Will Perdue0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.000.00-0.00250%0.0100.0000%0.00
Reggie Geary00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Cory Alexander0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.020.00-0.0000%0.001-0.0200%0.00
Sean Elliott0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.090.01-0.02936%-0.032-0.044100%0.02
Chuck Person0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.05-0.020.00333%-0.022-0.0500%0.00
Tim Duncan0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.01,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1-0.10-0.04-0.050.001753%-0.024-0.08250%-0.01
David Robinson0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.02,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11-0.11-0.00-0.11-0.011755%-0.091-0.011587%0.06
Avery Johnson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12-0.12-0.05-0.07-0.001250%-0.053-0.07250%-0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 OT1Total
this game27.92.320.916.028.51.830.41.719.6149.0
league avg29.92.836.815.626.02.143.01.618.4157.7
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
LAL +50.7%
SAS -20.4%
LAL +0.6%
LAL +7.0%
LAL +12.0%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsLALSASNBALALSASNBA
this game16.115.115.6109.096.2102.5
season14.815.9110.0100.9
opponent15.915.697.2102.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4OTTotal
LAL14.418.115.718.612.716.1
SAS11.315.414.919.316.915.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Shaquille O'Neal80840.51-0.010.520.3172516.016.4-0.4015.015.2-0.23
Eddie Jones1001040.500.000.500.2490916.10.016.1315.10.015.07
Robert Horry64700.350.150.200.38-110-1116.415.70.7214.915.4-0.56
Rick Fox81820.250.25-0.010.0472516.016.7-0.6815.115.00.03
Corie Blount35350.060.44-0.37-0.2090915.616.4-0.7715.714.80.93
Derek Fisher33320.010.49-0.47-0.1354114.916.7-1.8215.115.1-0.01
Nick Van Exel5861-0.010.51-0.530.13-514-1917.414.42.9314.715.5-0.80
Elden Campbell3130-0.170.67-0.84-0.05-413-1717.715.42.2914.215.4-1.22

San Antonio Spurs
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Monty Williams46450.25-0.751.000.163-121514.415.6-1.1716.116.10.01
Reggie Geary10110.06-0.560.620.09-1-8716.214.91.2514.016.4-2.39
Cory Alexander1010-0.05-0.450.400.01-2-7517.014.92.1416.816.10.74
Will Perdue2321-0.10-0.400.300.08-6-3-312.015.9-3.9414.116.7-2.58
Carl Herrera1918-0.20-0.300.110.19-134-1716.614.71.9112.117.0-4.90
Chuck Person3333-0.20-0.300.100.04-8-1-715.215.00.2114.716.8-2.09
David Robinson9289-0.35-0.15-0.20-0.32-1-8715.214.40.7416.910.36.58
Avery Johnson8479-0.41-0.09-0.31-0.23-6-3-314.716.6-1.9016.315.31.01
Sean Elliott8075-0.41-0.09-0.33-0.35-2-7514.317.7-3.4916.315.80.49
Tim Duncan7069-0.42-0.08-0.33-0.451-101116.013.22.7717.113.93.23
Jaren Jackson5350-0.680.18-0.86-0.39-101-1116.213.92.2916.515.80.74


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.61,0.49,0.6,0.58,0.54,0.4,0.36,0.31,0.31,0.27,0.35,0.34,0.34,0.41,0.49,0.42,0.46,0.5,0.51,0.55,0.48,0.52,0.58,0.62,0.71,0.69,0.74,0.67,0.75,0.78,0.81,0.79,0.86,0.9,0.87,0.8,0.78,0.84,0.96,0.91,0.73,0.54,0.38,0.22,0.1,0.04,0
GameSimilarity Score
NYK 113, WAS 1000.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.43,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.44,0.53,0.56,0.59,0.58,0.58,0.57,0.51,0.52,0.61,0.71,0.74,0.72,0.77,0.78,0.68,0.62,0.62,0.7,0.8,0.87,0.87,0.81,0.61,0.76,0.92,0.84,0.58,0.54,0.32,0.04,0.01,0,091.1%
MIA 107, POR 1000.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.43,0.41,0.4,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.4,0.37,0.34,0.32,0.41,0.51,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.54,0.49,0.61,0.55,0.67,0.65,0.65,0.66,0.63,0.56,0.68,0.58,0.66,0.62,0.62,0.85,0.74,0.85,0.78,0.74,0.85,0.95,0.84,0.46,0.39,0.16,0.1,0.01,090.5%
NJN 113, MIL 1090.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.49,0.55,0.61,0.65,0.6,0.55,0.49,0.5,0.44,0.43,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.48,0.42,0.31,0.31,0.28,0.3,0.42,0.42,0.52,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.68,0.65,0.62,0.76,0.81,0.85,0.92,0.87,0.79,0.76,0.73,0.83,0.88,0.87,0.93,0.79,0.68,0.72,0.5,0.31,0.22,0.03,0.01,090.5%