NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	118		Excitement	10.4 [51]		MVP	Steven Hunter (ORL): +13.8%
Orlando Magic	113		Comeback	65.7 [12]		LVP	Tracy McGrady (ORL): -44.4%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Eric Snow	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.13,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04	-0.07	0.09	-0.02	11	46%	0.04	0	0.00	13	77%	-0.01
Derrick Coleman	0.02	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.04	0.00	0.02	13	62%	0.10	2	-0.08	3	100%	0.02
Kenny Thomas	0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.04	-0.03	-0.00	16	65%	0.09	3	-0.08	5	80%	-0.02
Tyrone Hill	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Monty Williams	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.01	0.00	1	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	4	75%	0.01
Keith Van Horn	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.04,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	12	42%	-0.03	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Greg Buckner	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.07	-0.05	-0.00	4	42%	-0.04	2	-0.08	4	75%	0.00
Allen Iverson	-0.25	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.02,0,0,-0.04,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,-0.01,0.03,-0.13,-0.19,-0.26,-0.25,-0.17,-0.25	-0.03	-0.20	0.01	31	55%	0.04	5	-0.29	14	71%	-0.07
Aaron McKie	-0.30	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.26,-0.3	-0.17	-0.13	-0.00	7	0%	-0.22	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Steven Hunter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.18,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.09	0.05	0.00	7	79%	0.14	0	0.00	5	60%	-0.04
Jacque Vaughn	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.06	0.02	0.01	3	117%	0.10	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Andrew DeClercq	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	1	100%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Drew Gooden	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.03,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.05	0.04	-0.01	8	50%	0.09	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Chris Whitney	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darrell Armstrong	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.04,-0.08,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	8	59%	0.07	3	-0.10	6	83%	0.02
Gordan Giricek	0,0,0,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.01	-0.05	0.00	11	60%	-0.00	2	-0.03	3	67%	-0.02
Shawn Kemp	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.06	-0.03	0.00	4	0%	-0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Pat Garrity	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.06,-0.11	-0.11	0.01	-0.13	0.00	12	52%	-0.02	1	-0.09	1	100%	0.01
Jeryl Sasser	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.06	-0.07	-0.00	3	12%	-0.13	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Tracy McGrady	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.09,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.24,-0.28,-0.2,-0.29,-0.44,-0.44	-0.44	-0.12	-0.32	0.00	33	48%	-0.20	4	-0.24	16	69%	-0.06

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	25.1	1.8	30.4	16.4	29.7	1.0	45.1	2.4	15.4	167.3
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	1.9	17.2	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ORL -1.2%

ORL -9.0%

PHI +68.0%

ORL -6.5%

ORL -1.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	ORL	NBA	PHI	ORL	NBA
this game	15.6	15.0	15.5	112.4	109.7	101.6
season	15.3	14.6		102.1	102.7
opponent	15.8	15.5		103.1	99.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
PHI	16.5	15.4	16.2	12.9	21.4	15.6
ORL	15.5	14.6	15.8	13.8	16.1	15.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Eric Snow	75	72	0.83	-0.33	1.16	0.33	17	-12	29	15.6	15.7	-0.11	15.5	13.7	1.78
Derrick Coleman	88	83	0.78	-0.28	1.06	0.28	17	-12	29	15.8	14.7	1.09	15.5	12.8	2.61
Kenny Thomas	88	84	0.71	-0.21	0.92	0.36	12	-7	19	15.5	16.5	-1.02	14.8	15.6	-0.77
Allen Iverson	98	97	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.34	6	-1	7	15.6	15.4	0.20	15.0	13.7	1.36
Aaron McKie	53	55	0.37	0.13	0.25	0.34	1	4	-3	15.0	16.3	-1.33	13.8	16.3	-2.51
Monty Williams	39	34	0.36	0.14	0.21	0.33	1	4	-3	15.2	15.9	-0.70	14.1	15.4	-1.29
Greg Buckner	24	28	-0.31	0.81	-1.12	0.07	-13	18	-31	15.9	15.5	0.33	15.2	14.9	0.36
Keith Van Horn	44	44	-0.36	0.86	-1.21	-0.30	-2	7	-9	16.7	14.9	1.79	15.9	14.2	1.71
Tyrone Hill	16	18	-0.40	0.90	-1.30	0.01	-14	19	-33	15.6	15.6	0.01	13.1	15.3	-2.23

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jeryl Sasser	30	29	0.38	-0.88	1.26	0.06	11	-16	27	13.2	15.7	-2.47	15.0	15.9	-0.86
Darrell Armstrong	57	57	0.35	-0.85	1.21	0.21	5	-10	15	14.6	15.3	-0.68	15.4	15.9	-0.51
Drew Gooden	39	40	0.21	-0.71	0.92	0.27	-2	-3	1	15.8	14.4	1.36	15.2	15.9	-0.68
Steven Hunter	69	68	0.20	-0.70	0.89	-0.07	9	-14	23	14.0	16.8	-2.75	14.7	17.3	-2.59
Andrew DeClercq	7	7	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	0.03	-4	-1	-3	17.0	14.8	2.20	17.7	15.5	2.24
Jacque Vaughn	52	53	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	0.05	-13	8	-21	16.0	13.9	2.16	15.0	16.2	-1.21
Shawn Kemp	25	27	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	-0.14	-8	3	-11	17.2	14.2	3.02	18.8	14.5	4.30
Tracy McGrady	92	94	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.32	-7	2	-9	14.9	15.0	-0.05	15.6	16.1	-0.53
Gordan Giricek	68	68	-0.71	0.21	-0.91	-0.53	-6	1	-7	15.5	13.9	1.53	16.1	14.8	1.29
Chris Whitney	12	15	-0.79	0.29	-1.08	-0.59	-7	2	-9	12.5	15.3	-2.77	17.1	15.4	1.69
Pat Garrity	64	67	-0.82	0.32	-1.15	-0.74	-3	-2	-1	14.4	15.8	-1.36	15.5	15.8	-0.27

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.41,0.42,0.39,0.43,0.34,0.32,0.37,0.31,0.32,0.37,0.43,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.59,0.54,0.49,0.56,0.51,0.54,0.46,0.61,0.58,0.58,0.55,0.59,0.52,0.52,0.63,0.68,0.7,0.7,0.52,0.74,0.68,0.86,0.86,0.9,0.9,0.97,0.98,0.83,0.46,0.47,0.54,0.33,0.08,0
Game		Similarity Score
OKC 132, DEN 129	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.43,0.41,0.45,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.48,0.56,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.58,0.68,0.56,0.61,0.67,0.61,0.59,0.5,0.55,0.55,0.61,0.58,0.52,0.48,0.65,0.66,0.59,0.63,0.6,0.7,0.7,0.79,0.91,0.95,0.97,0.96,0.91,0.97,0.96,0.85,0.74,0.5,0.39,0.55,0.32,0.27,0	90.1%
DAL 108, SAC 104	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.47,0.44,0.42,0.39,0.41,0.37,0.45,0.53,0.49,0.6,0.62,0.66,0.62,0.65,0.58,0.59,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.59,0.54,0.57,0.55,0.64,0.52,0.39,0.52,0.45,0.48,0.56,0.63,0.56,0.62,0.62,0.57,0.53,0.68,0.83,0.89,0.9,0.97,0.93,0.9,0.91,0.46,0.54,0.37,0.32,0.28,0	90.1%
PHX 107, CHI 98	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.44,0.45,0.46,0.48,0.44,0.45,0.35,0.43,0.49,0.44,0.48,0.47,0.4,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.51,0.58,0.64,0.61,0.58,0.58,0.52,0.55,0.58,0.55,0.58,0.59,0.65,0.66,0.74,0.72,0.74,0.7,0.75,0.71,0.58,0.74,0.66,0.72,0.69,0.79,0.78,0.96,0.46,0.39,0.37,0.09,0.01,0	89.7%