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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Oklahoma City Thunder 132 Excitement10.4 [51] MVPWilson Chandler (DEN): +21.9%
Denver Nuggets 129 Comeback87.5 [22] LVPJameer Nelson (DEN): -25.8%


Oklahoma City Thunder
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Victor Oladipo0.180,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.08,0.05,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.18,0.18,0.180.130.070.021965%0.221-0.032100%0.04
Joffrey Lauvergne0.170,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.170.150.020.00894%0.1700.0000%0.00
Domantas Sabonis0.130,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.130.090.040.00793%0.172-0.0500%0.00
Enes Kanter0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.060.01-0.00958%0.0700.001100%0.01
Andre Roberson0.050,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.010.01662%0.0500.0010%-0.02
Semaj Christon0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Anthony Morrow-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.020.04-0.040.02862%0.011-0.0400%0.00
Russell Westbrook-0.030,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.1,-0.04,0.03,0.27,0.21,0.22,0.22,-0.02,-0.03-0.02-0.000.012554%0.127-0.151788%0.18
Steven Adams-0.050,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05-0.02-0.020.01744%-0.021-0.03250%-0.04
Jerami Grant-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.02-0.02633%-0.0610.00667%-0.01

Denver Nuggets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Wilson Chandler0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.220.220.120.08-0.022562%0.262-0.042100%0.02
Jamal Murray0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.04,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.26,0.16,0.140.140.010.11-0.011648%0.182-0.041080%0.13
Emmanuel Mudiay0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.090.080.010.001065%0.121-0.03667%-0.03
Kenneth Faried0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.040.000.00875%0.102-0.0600%0.00
Jusuf Nurkic0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.010.01-0.01657%0.051-0.032100%0.01
Alonzo Gee0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.04-0.01-0.02833%-0.0200.00560%-0.02
Darrell Arthur0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.05-0.03-0.01550%0.033-0.1000%0.00
Nikola Jokic0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.12-0.05-0.07-0.00750%0.003-0.1200%0.00
Jameer Nelson0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.05,0.2,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.14,-0.14,-0.26-0.260.07-0.290.041662%-0.132-0.132100%0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 OT1Total
this game22.42.429.515.323.42.738.01.521.1156.3
league avg24.82.329.615.726.82.333.52.217.9136.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
OKC +11.7%
OKC +3.2%
OKC +10.4%
OKC +24.2%
OKC +0.6%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsOKCDENNBAOKCDENNBA
this game12.215.414.8112.8113.2107.7
season14.014.4107.0111.6
opponent14.515.1111.2106.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4OTTotal
OKC15.211.012.510.911.012.2
DEN13.015.719.314.514.115.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Oklahoma City Thunder
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Russell Westbrook89880.81-0.311.120.5210-71712.311.80.5115.814.11.72
Jerami Grant67650.80-0.301.100.626-3911.213.4-2.2214.616.4-1.83
Andre Roberson78740.70-0.200.900.497-41112.311.90.4515.914.51.39
Victor Oladipo95910.67-0.170.830.496-3912.013.0-1.0215.415.30.18
Steven Adams64630.59-0.090.670.445-2712.911.31.5516.014.61.44
Semaj Christon210.030.47-0.450.06-14-50.512.4-11.876.015.5-9.49
Domantas Sabonis6059-0.160.66-0.82-0.1912-113.111.21.9415.815.00.85
Enes Kanter4543-0.170.67-0.84-0.11-25-712.312.10.2614.416.0-1.62
Joffrey Lauvergne3839-0.260.76-1.02-0.06-710-1711.512.5-0.9915.615.30.32
Anthony Morrow4747-0.501.00-1.50-0.21-1013-2312.112.2-0.0414.516.0-1.56

Denver Nuggets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Darrell Arthur47460.52-1.021.550.1413-162914.416.1-1.6611.012.9-1.86
Jusuf Nurkic44460.28-0.781.060.058-111916.514.71.7513.411.42.08
Emmanuel Mudiay64630.14-0.640.77-0.015-81316.214.41.7512.611.70.87
Kenneth Faried5051-0.26-0.24-0.02-0.03-85-1315.615.30.2813.511.22.27
Jamal Murray7880-0.37-0.13-0.23-0.391-4514.617.2-2.6611.613.4-1.77
Nikola Jokic6467-0.43-0.07-0.36-0.25-63-915.215.6-0.4211.413.2-1.80
Alonzo Gee6263-0.560.06-0.62-0.50-2-1-114.416.6-2.2311.513.0-1.47
Jameer Nelson8591-0.700.20-0.90-0.41-107-1715.814.31.4212.411.40.96
Wilson Chandler7779-1.020.52-1.53-0.55-1613-2915.914.41.5212.411.70.72


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.43,0.41,0.45,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.48,0.56,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.58,0.68,0.56,0.61,0.67,0.61,0.59,0.5,0.55,0.55,0.61,0.58,0.52,0.48,0.65,0.66,0.59,0.63,0.6,0.7,0.7,0.79,0.91,0.95,0.97,0.96,0.91,0.97,0.96,0.85,0.74,0.5,0.39,0.55,0.32,0.27,0
GameSimilarity Score
MIL 119, UTA 1120.5,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.4,0.43,0.45,0.46,0.39,0.41,0.4,0.36,0.46,0.52,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.67,0.7,0.75,0.78,0.74,0.7,0.61,0.54,0.62,0.66,0.48,0.48,0.55,0.65,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.74,0.75,0.85,0.85,0.88,0.89,0.88,0.89,0.88,0.91,0.9,0.93,0.86,0.84,0.46,0.33,0.36,0.22,0.04,091.0%
DAL 108, ORL 1020.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.53,0.54,0.53,0.57,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.44,0.44,0.47,0.47,0.44,0.56,0.47,0.56,0.49,0.51,0.63,0.54,0.57,0.57,0.55,0.48,0.45,0.52,0.41,0.51,0.59,0.56,0.68,0.74,0.81,0.85,0.76,0.85,0.83,0.81,0.78,0.93,0.96,0.97,0.77,0.46,0.39,0.45,0.22,0.17,090.9%
LAL 106, POR 1010.5,0.49,0.44,0.43,0.43,0.5,0.5,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.6,0.65,0.64,0.62,0.64,0.62,0.58,0.68,0.64,0.71,0.66,0.59,0.61,0.67,0.69,0.69,0.64,0.58,0.58,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.55,0.52,0.48,0.58,0.62,0.66,0.76,0.87,0.9,0.91,0.9,0.93,0.95,0.98,0.96,0.46,0.32,0.45,0.43,0.26,090.5%