NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Dallas Mavericks	108		Excitement	9.1 [113]		MVP	Oliver Miller (DAL): +64.5%
Orlando Magic	102		Comeback	71.5 [11]		LVP	Rony Seikaly (ORL): -22.9%

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Oliver Miller	0.65	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.46,0.46,0.65	0.07	0.57	0.00	6	87%	0.67	1	-0.03	3	33%	-0.03
Samaki Walker	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.07	0.02	-0.04	5	83%	0.13	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Eric Montross	-0.01	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	4	60%	0.02	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.02
Loren Meyer	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	6	50%	0.01	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Derek Harper	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.09	0.00	-0.00	5	20%	-0.03	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Chris Gatling	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0.04,0,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.14,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.04,-0.04,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.07	-0.06	0.01	16	56%	0.07	4	-0.20	13	85%	0.01
Jim Jackson	-0.13	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.02	-0.09	0.03	19	45%	-0.11	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jason Kidd	-0.14	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.1,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14	-0.05	-0.07	0.02	4	67%	0.03	4	-0.18	4	75%	0.00
George McCloud	-0.16	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.07,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.16,-0.16	-0.00	-0.16	-0.00	23	46%	-0.14	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brian Shaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.04	-0.00	9	44%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nick Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	1	150%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Dan Schayes	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
David Vaughn	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darrell Armstrong	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.11	0.03	-0.05	11	36%	0.06	3	-0.09	3	100%	0.02
Horace Grant	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.08	0.00	-0.04	9	46%	-0.02	2	-0.02	8	50%	-0.05
Derek Strong	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.14,-0.09	-0.09	-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	16	49%	-0.03	2	-0.06	5	80%	0.01
Amal McCaskill	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.01	0.00	0	50%	-0.01	3	-0.08	2	50%	-0.01
Gerald Wilkins	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.03	-0.12	-0.00	24	47%	-0.05	2	-0.10	5	80%	0.02
Rony Seikaly	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.04,0.04,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23	-0.23	0.00	-0.21	0.02	16	68%	0.11	6	-0.34	6	100%	0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	24.1	2.0	31.2	15.7	27.8	1.8	32.0	1.6	22.7	158.8
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	1.6	17.8	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +53.5%

ORL -8.9%

ORL -28.3%

DAL +31.4%

DAL +2.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	ORL	NBA	DAL	ORL	NBA
this game	13.4	16.7	15.6	100.9	97.1	104.4
season	15.9	16.4		99.1	102.9
opponent	15.5	15.7		103.5	105.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
DAL	12.7	13.5	14.4	14.5	10.9	13.4
ORL	16.1	17.8	17.0	18.9	11.4	16.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
George McCloud	89	88	0.80	-0.29	1.09	0.38	14	-8	22	13.8	11.4	2.39	16.7	16.5	0.22
Oliver Miller	40	40	0.52	-0.02	0.55	0.41	4	2	2	10.7	14.9	-4.19	15.8	17.2	-1.38
Chris Gatling	71	71	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.23	10	-4	14	12.5	15.1	-2.66	16.7	16.6	0.06
Jason Kidd	98	96	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.38	3	3	0	13.9	7.2	6.72	17.1	12.1	4.97
Jim Jackson	100	99	0.46	0.04	0.43	0.37	3	3	0	13.2	16.4	-3.27	16.5	19.3	-2.84
Samaki Walker	18	16	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.05	0	6	-6	16.2	12.8	3.36	14.3	17.1	-2.77
Eric Montross	56	56	-0.05	0.55	-0.59	-0.05	0	6	-6	15.1	11.5	3.64	17.3	15.9	1.42
Loren Meyer	29	27	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.04	-3	9	-12	14.1	13.1	1.00	17.9	16.2	1.66
Derek Harper	34	32	-0.23	0.73	-0.96	-0.20	-1	7	-8	11.3	14.3	-3.01	15.8	17.0	-1.26

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dan Schayes	15	15	0.23	-0.73	0.96	0.11	4	-10	14	15.0	16.9	-1.93	14.9	13.1	1.74
Nick Anderson	14	14	0.11	-0.61	0.71	-0.07	6	-12	18	15.9	16.8	-0.84	13.3	13.4	-0.10
Brian Shaw	60	62	0.03	-0.53	0.57	0.15	-4	-2	-2	18.6	14.0	4.65	13.6	13.1	0.49
David Vaughn	6	7	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	0.06	-5	-1	-4	16.3	16.7	-0.34	14.3	13.3	0.98
Amal McCaskill	18	19	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	0.13	-10	4	-14	20.0	16.0	4.03	12.9	13.5	-0.52
Darrell Armstrong	74	75	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	-0.32	-1	-5	4	15.7	19.0	-3.32	13.5	13.0	0.49
Derek Strong	72	72	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	-0.40	0	-6	6	16.2	17.7	-1.47	13.8	12.5	1.32
Gerald Wilkins	91	92	-0.57	0.07	-0.65	-0.37	-7	1	-8	16.4	18.2	-1.80	12.7	17.2	-4.45
Rony Seikaly	84	85	-0.65	0.15	-0.79	-0.53	-4	-2	-2	17.0	15.4	1.60	13.0	14.7	-1.65
Horace Grant	91	94	-0.66	0.16	-0.82	-0.40	-9	3	-12	16.2	19.6	-3.45	13.5	12.5	1.04

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.53,0.54,0.53,0.57,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.44,0.44,0.47,0.47,0.44,0.56,0.47,0.56,0.49,0.51,0.63,0.54,0.57,0.57,0.55,0.48,0.45,0.52,0.41,0.51,0.59,0.56,0.68,0.74,0.81,0.85,0.76,0.85,0.83,0.81,0.78,0.93,0.96,0.97,0.77,0.46,0.39,0.45,0.22,0.17,0
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 103, HOU 101	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.46,0.4,0.38,0.36,0.4,0.44,0.47,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.42,0.41,0.34,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.38,0.35,0.38,0.37,0.52,0.6,0.62,0.7,0.66,0.79,0.81,0.83,0.81,0.88,0.93,0.93,0.94,0.58,0.46,0.38,0.29,0.16,0.09,0	91.4%
OKC 132, DEN 129	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.43,0.41,0.45,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.48,0.56,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.58,0.68,0.56,0.61,0.67,0.61,0.59,0.5,0.55,0.55,0.61,0.58,0.52,0.48,0.65,0.66,0.59,0.63,0.6,0.7,0.7,0.79,0.91,0.95,0.97,0.96,0.91,0.97,0.96,0.85,0.74,0.5,0.39,0.55,0.32,0.27,0	90.9%
WAS 114, TOR 109	0.5,0.49,0.47,0.46,0.49,0.54,0.53,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.57,0.63,0.64,0.57,0.55,0.47,0.51,0.44,0.46,0.61,0.56,0.54,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.5,0.46,0.4,0.39,0.45,0.55,0.52,0.62,0.48,0.47,0.6,0.64,0.74,0.74,0.66,0.67,0.85,0.86,0.91,0.87,0.95,0.93,0.97,0.91,0.54,0.45,0.16,0.11,0.02,0	90.8%