NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	114		Excitement	8.4 [211]		MVP	Gilbert Arenas (WAS): +24.1%
Toronto Raptors	109		Comeback	60.4 [13]		LVP	Rafer Alston (TOR): -19.0%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Gilbert Arenas	0.24	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.24,0.24,0.24	0.07	0.17	0.00	21	60%	0.30	2	-0.06	3	100%	0.01
Larry Hughes	0.22	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.14,-0.16,-0.07,-0.05,-0.06,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.19,0.19,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.01	0.23	0.02	21	58%	0.26	2	-0.04	15	67%	0.17
Jarvis Hayes	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09	0.06	0.03	0.00	4	79%	0.09	0	0.00	6	100%	0.03
Brendan Haywood	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.07	0.01	0.05	-0.00	15	65%	0.16	4	-0.09	4	50%	-0.05
Samaki Walker	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Ruffin	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Juan Dixon	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	6	43%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Antawn Jamison	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.08	-0.00	-0.01	18	42%	0.01	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Jared Jeffries	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.07	-0.02	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Donyell Marshall	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.17,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.18,0.12	0.12	0.08	0.04	0.00	9	67%	0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Loren Woods	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.03	0.02	-0.03	7	57%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Matt Bonner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.03	-0.00	4	75%	0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jalen Rose	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.2,0.19,0.19,0.13,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03	0.03	0.12	-0.09	0.00	21	66%	0.14	2	-0.10	2	100%	0.02
Lamond Murray	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.02	0.00	4	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Milt Palacio	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.02	0.04	0.00	3	67%	0.07	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Morris Peterson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.00	5	57%	0.05	1	-0.04	4	75%	0.01
Vince Carter	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	0.02	0.00	25	48%	0.05	3	-0.09	4	50%	-0.03
Chris Bosh	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.07	-0.09	-0.00	5	40%	-0.02	3	-0.15	0	0%	0.00
Rafer Alston	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.21,-0.27,-0.27,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.19	-0.13	-0.06	-0.00	11	32%	-0.14	3	-0.05	3	33%	-0.06

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	22.7	1.8	25.2	16.8	23.0	2.4	32.0	1.6	15.8	141.4
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	1.9	17.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

WAS +4.9%

WAS +28.8%

WAS +0.4%

WAS +16.5%

TOR -0.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	TOR	NBA	WAS	TOR	NBA
this game	15.2	15.5	15.5	109.6	105.8	104.0
season	14.7	15.1		104.7	104.8
opponent	15.4	15.5		106.8	105.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
WAS	16.0	15.6	15.6	14.5	13.0	15.2
TOR	12.8	15.7	16.5	16.8	17.0	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jarvis Hayes	71	70	0.72	-0.22	0.93	0.31	14	-9	23	14.8	16.1	-1.32	16.3	13.9	2.35
Gilbert Arenas	83	82	0.47	0.03	0.43	0.44	1	4	-3	15.3	14.8	0.54	15.6	15.1	0.55
Antawn Jamison	92	89	0.44	0.06	0.39	0.39	2	3	-1	15.1	15.7	-0.54	15.5	15.7	-0.21
Larry Hughes	102	101	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.35	2	3	-1	15.1	20.5	-5.41	15.5	17.5	-2.00
Brendan Haywood	91	88	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.42	-1	6	-7	15.3	14.4	0.92	15.5	15.7	-0.16
Samaki Walker	7	9	0.16	0.34	-0.18	-0.05	7	-2	9	15.7	15.2	0.56	15.3	15.6	-0.22
Juan Dixon	23	23	0.11	0.39	-0.28	-0.09	7	-2	9	15.3	15.2	0.09	15.3	15.6	-0.30
Michael Ruffin	13	15	0.09	0.41	-0.32	-0.03	4	1	3	14.4	15.3	-0.92	15.7	15.5	0.16
Jared Jeffries	38	38	-0.29	0.79	-1.07	0.04	-11	16	-27	16.0	14.7	1.31	14.3	16.3	-2.01

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Loren Woods	49	47	0.25	-0.75	1.00	0.04	7	-12	19	14.2	16.7	-2.50	16.2	14.4	1.78
Matt Bonner	37	37	0.22	-0.72	0.95	0.34	-4	-1	-3	16.1	15.2	0.94	13.8	16.0	-2.14
Lamond Murray	29	29	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	0.08	-3	-2	-1	16.5	15.2	1.32	15.2	15.2	-0.03
Morris Peterson	35	36	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	0.12	-6	1	-7	15.5	15.6	-0.12	15.2	15.2	0.05
Milt Palacio	33	32	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.04	-5	0	-5	16.6	15.0	1.58	15.5	15.1	0.44
Donyell Marshall	53	57	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.22	-4	-1	-3	16.3	14.7	1.66	14.5	16.1	-1.59
Vince Carter	68	68	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.47	1	-6	7	15.6	15.5	0.12	15.2	15.2	-0.05
Jalen Rose	85	86	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.43	-4	-1	-3	15.4	16.2	-0.77	15.3	14.7	0.57
Rafer Alston	70	72	-0.60	0.10	-0.70	-0.54	-2	-3	1	15.0	16.6	-1.58	15.1	15.5	-0.44
Chris Bosh	56	56	-0.80	0.30	-1.09	-0.65	-5	0	-5	15.2	15.9	-0.66	15.9	14.4	1.48

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.47,0.46,0.49,0.54,0.53,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.57,0.63,0.64,0.57,0.55,0.47,0.51,0.44,0.46,0.61,0.56,0.54,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.5,0.46,0.4,0.39,0.45,0.55,0.52,0.62,0.48,0.47,0.6,0.64,0.74,0.74,0.66,0.67,0.85,0.86,0.91,0.87,0.95,0.93,0.97,0.91,0.54,0.45,0.16,0.11,0.02,0
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 108, ORL 102	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.53,0.54,0.53,0.57,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.44,0.44,0.47,0.47,0.44,0.56,0.47,0.56,0.49,0.51,0.63,0.54,0.57,0.57,0.55,0.48,0.45,0.52,0.41,0.51,0.59,0.56,0.68,0.74,0.81,0.85,0.76,0.85,0.83,0.81,0.78,0.93,0.96,0.97,0.77,0.46,0.39,0.45,0.22,0.17,0	90.8%
UTA 103, HOU 101	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.46,0.4,0.38,0.36,0.4,0.44,0.47,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.42,0.41,0.34,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.38,0.35,0.38,0.37,0.52,0.6,0.62,0.7,0.66,0.79,0.81,0.83,0.81,0.88,0.93,0.93,0.94,0.58,0.46,0.38,0.29,0.16,0.09,0	90.3%
ORL 85, NYK 83	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.54,0.58,0.56,0.6,0.62,0.58,0.63,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.59,0.54,0.5,0.57,0.57,0.55,0.7,0.67,0.58,0.49,0.59,0.69,0.71,0.84,0.81,0.74,0.79,0.83,0.88,0.83,0.91,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.96,0.54,0.33,0.28,0.33,0.04,0	89.5%