inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Orlando Magic 85 Excitement9.8 [69] MVPTracy McGrady (ORL): +25.8%
New York Knicks 83 Comeback199.0 [1] LVPJuwan Howard (ORL): -33.1%


Orlando Magic
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Tracy McGrady0.260,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.09,-0.08,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.2,-0.2,-0.18,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.26,-0.23,0.2,0.2,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.26-0.130.38-0.012348%0.456-0.19875%0.02
Tyronn Lue0.060,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.03,-0.03,0.18,0.18,0.06-0.040.110.001048%0.122-0.06333%-0.11
Steven Hunter0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Reece Gaines0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Britton Johnsen-0.000,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.010.000.01350%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Gordan Giricek-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.07,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.02,-0.02-0.090.05-0.02930%-0.0200.00520%-0.04
Donnell Harvey-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.04-0.010.00646%-0.012-0.0410%-0.02
Drew Gooden-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.01,0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.01-0.05-0.011157%-0.012-0.04667%0.00
Andrew DeClercq-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.03-0.040.00450%0.002-0.0700%0.00
Shammond Williams-0.130,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13-0.09-0.040.00718%-0.1300.003100%0.02
Juwan Howard-0.330,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.32,-0.32,-0.32,-0.32,-0.32,-0.33-0.17-0.20-0.041429%-0.263-0.07333%-0.03

New York Knicks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Keith Van Horn0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.03,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.110.060.050.001867%0.214-0.10771%-0.01
Michael Sweetney00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Dikembe Mutombo0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.020.010.00478%0.063-0.071100%0.01
Frank Williams0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.040.02-0.01520%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Shandon Anderson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02-0.02-0.02-0.000.00440%-0.0200.002100%0.01
Howard Eisley0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.04-0.06-0.03847%-0.032-0.041100%0.01
Charlie Ward0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.12-0.10-0.03-0.00650%0.025-0.142100%0.01
Michael Doleac0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.16-0.16-0.05-0.100.00555%-0.023-0.1410%-0.02
Kurt Thomas0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18,-0.21,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.16,-0.16,-0.2-0.20-0.16-0.06-0.011336%-0.075-0.132100%0.01
Allan Houston0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.1,-0.23,-0.23-0.23-0.18-0.07-0.031729%-0.124-0.111100%0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game26.72.831.318.428.63.340.1145.4
league avg47.82.427.914.324.82.129.8150.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
ORL +31.4%
NYK -14.0%
NYK -42.4%
ORL +26.6%
ORL +48.4%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsORLNYKNBAORLNYKNBA
this game15.315.815.784.280.6100.5
season15.715.5100.998.6
opponent15.815.4100.8108.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
ORL15.515.015.915.715.3
NYK13.917.016.117.015.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Tyronn Lue71720.79-0.291.070.558-61415.415.20.2114.618.6-3.94
Gordan Giricek47500.72-0.220.950.469-71614.116.4-2.3217.913.93.95
Juwan Howard81830.62-0.120.740.475-3815.415.00.4315.218.5-3.38
Tracy McGrady96960.58-0.080.660.493-1415.611.04.5715.223.9-8.62
Drew Gooden86870.090.41-0.330.23-57-1215.514.50.9616.313.42.83
Britton Johnsen36350.080.42-0.34-0.075-3814.815.7-0.8814.616.4-1.81
Shammond Williams30320.010.49-0.480.13-46-1015.215.4-0.2118.014.83.15
Reece Gaines010.010.49-0.490.0102-20.015.3-15.3510.015.9-5.88
Andrew DeClercq2424-0.050.55-0.60-0.0502-215.915.20.6918.015.22.84
Steven Hunter22-0.060.56-0.630.02-35-823.015.27.8111.015.9-4.92
Donnell Harvey3233-0.280.78-1.05-0.04-810-1815.715.20.4515.615.9-0.37

New York Knicks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Keith Van Horn70690.38-0.881.260.322-4616.115.30.7716.014.01.97
Charlie Ward49490.32-0.821.150.069-112014.417.1-2.7415.415.20.20
Michael Sweetney220.05-0.550.61-0.002-4614.515.9-1.3515.515.30.16
Frank Williams1615-0.01-0.490.48-0.010-2219.115.23.8316.115.20.85
Dikembe Mutombo4949-0.05-0.450.39-0.298-101814.517.0-2.5115.914.81.03
Michael Doleac3737-0.39-0.11-0.27-0.390-2217.215.02.2115.115.5-0.38
Kurt Thomas8784-0.550.05-0.60-0.43-42-615.219.4-4.2815.215.9-0.71
Allan Houston9695-0.590.09-0.67-0.44-53-815.421.6-6.1715.218.2-3.00
Howard Eisley5048-0.750.25-0.99-0.51-86-1417.414.43.0215.215.5-0.34
Shandon Anderson5957-0.920.42-1.35-0.51-1412-2616.415.01.4414.616.3-1.64


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.54,0.58,0.56,0.6,0.62,0.58,0.63,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.59,0.54,0.5,0.57,0.57,0.55,0.7,0.67,0.58,0.49,0.59,0.69,0.71,0.84,0.81,0.74,0.79,0.83,0.88,0.83,0.91,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.96,0.54,0.33,0.28,0.33,0.04,0
GameSimilarity Score
MIL 119, UTA 1120.5,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.4,0.43,0.45,0.46,0.39,0.41,0.4,0.36,0.46,0.52,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.67,0.7,0.75,0.78,0.74,0.7,0.61,0.54,0.62,0.66,0.48,0.48,0.55,0.65,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.74,0.75,0.85,0.85,0.88,0.89,0.88,0.89,0.88,0.91,0.9,0.93,0.86,0.84,0.46,0.33,0.36,0.22,0.04,091.1%
SAC 118, NYK 1140.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.6,0.56,0.57,0.59,0.61,0.67,0.68,0.66,0.65,0.62,0.7,0.75,0.69,0.65,0.57,0.53,0.54,0.58,0.61,0.67,0.58,0.54,0.52,0.55,0.67,0.64,0.65,0.65,0.62,0.77,0.82,0.87,0.81,0.87,0.9,0.87,0.94,0.97,0.85,0.93,0.96,0.85,0.84,0.85,0.54,0.53,0.46,0.22,0.08,090.8%
IND 101, ORL 970.5,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.57,0.57,0.63,0.66,0.67,0.65,0.63,0.65,0.68,0.65,0.6,0.58,0.6,0.56,0.54,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.56,0.56,0.64,0.51,0.71,0.63,0.61,0.58,0.48,0.55,0.65,0.72,0.73,0.63,0.84,0.74,0.66,0.66,0.71,0.81,0.82,0.91,0.87,0.95,0.98,0.97,0.92,0.46,0.55,0.45,0.33,0.16,090.4%