NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	118		Excitement	9.8 [65]		MVP	Kevin Martin (SAC): +17.4%
New York Knicks	114		Comeback	56.5 [10]		LVP	Chris Duhon (NYK): -21.4%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Martin	0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.12,-0.12,-0.06,0.09,0.2,0.2,0.17	0.02	0.15	-0.00	13	57%	0.23	2	-0.05	4	50%	0.01
Donte Greene	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.15	0.17	0.02	0.05	12	86%	0.21	2	-0.06	4	50%	-0.01
Beno Udrih	0.00	0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.01	4	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Thompson	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.02	0.02	8	67%	0.18	3	-0.18	2	100%	0.01
Omri Casspi	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.07,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.04	-0.05	-0.00	17	49%	-0.01	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Ime Udoka	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	2	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Spencer Hawes	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jon Brockman	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	3	33%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andres Nocioni	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	8	45%	-0.00	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.02
Sergio Rodriguez	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.07,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	1	75%	0.04	3	-0.09	2	50%	-0.01
Tyreke Evans	-0.14	0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.06,0,-0.03,0.04,0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.14	-0.04	-0.10	-0.00	26	46%	-0.00	3	-0.14	7	71%	0.02

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Al Harrington	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.22,0.22,0.17,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.05	0.05	-0.01	13	55%	0.13	1	-0.02	5	40%	-0.04
Wilson Chandler	0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.2,0.23,0.23,0.24,0.24,0.27,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.13,0.05,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1	0.10	0.19	-0.08	0.00	23	67%	0.20	1	-0.10	6	83%	0.03
Jared Jeffries	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.23,0.23,0.15,0.15,0.06	0.06	0.05	0.01	-0.00	10	57%	0.10	1	-0.04	3	100%	0.02
David Lee	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.05	-0.04	-0.01	17	57%	0.07	2	-0.05	3	100%	0.02
Jordan Hill	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	1	25%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Danilo Gallinari	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	0.01	5	53%	0.01	1	-0.03	7	57%	-0.03
Nate Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.08,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.12	-0.07	-0.02	15	34%	-0.11	3	-0.06	2	100%	0.00
Chris Duhon	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21	-0.21	-0.08	-0.14	-0.01	10	28%	-0.20	1	-0.02	5	60%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	23.0	1.8	29.2	16.6	26.1	2.5	35.4	2.6	18.3	155.6
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	2.0	39.8	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAC +43.1%

NYK -5.6%

SAC +40.6%

NYK -27.1%

NYK -1.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	NYK	NBA	SAC	NYK	NBA
this game	15.7	14.4	15.3	112.4	107.5	106.0
season	15.2	14.7		103.7	105.9
opponent	15.5	15.0		109.9	108.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
SAC	15.0	17.6	16.5	12.8	19.3	15.7
NYK	11.6	16.7	13.5	16.5	14.0	14.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tyreke Evans	90	89	0.70	-0.20	0.90	0.41	10	-6	16	15.9	14.5	1.41	14.2	15.2	-0.99
Donte Greene	80	81	0.64	-0.14	0.79	0.47	6	-2	8	15.8	15.5	0.29	13.9	16.1	-2.19
Jason Thompson	69	69	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.36	8	-4	12	15.4	16.3	-0.86	13.9	15.3	-1.41
Omri Casspi	90	89	0.57	-0.07	0.65	0.40	6	-2	8	15.6	16.7	-1.16	14.5	13.9	0.62
Ime Udoka	29	26	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.19	4	0	4	17.0	15.3	1.74	16.6	13.7	2.88
Kevin Martin	64	67	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.16	4	0	4	15.2	16.6	-1.42	13.8	15.4	-1.63
Jon Brockman	27	28	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	-0.08	2	2	0	16.6	15.4	1.14	17.1	13.4	3.72
Beno Udrih	12	13	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	0.03	-4	8	-12	15.7	15.8	-0.09	13.2	14.6	-1.43
Spencer Hawes	12	13	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	0.03	-4	8	-12	15.7	15.8	-0.09	13.2	14.6	-1.43
Sergio Rodriguez	16	18	-0.14	0.64	-0.78	-0.02	-4	8	-12	14.2	16.0	-1.76	14.5	14.4	0.11
Andres Nocioni	36	37	-0.26	0.76	-1.02	-0.02	-8	12	-20	16.1	15.6	0.56	14.9	14.1	0.79

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Danilo Gallinari	62	62	0.53	-1.03	1.56	0.00	18	-22	40	13.6	15.5	-1.91	16.1	15.2	0.86
Jordan Hill	11	11	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	0.06	-6	2	-8	17.8	14.0	3.81	16.8	15.6	1.20
Nate Robinson	56	58	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.11	-7	3	-10	14.0	14.9	-0.94	15.1	16.5	-1.39
Chris Duhon	72	68	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.10	-8	4	-12	15.3	12.4	2.94	16.0	15.2	0.81
Wilson Chandler	95	94	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.45	2	-6	8	14.0	17.8	-3.81	15.6	16.8	-1.20
David Lee	83	83	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	-0.54	3	-7	10	13.4	17.9	-4.42	16.0	14.8	1.17
Jared Jeffries	79	78	-0.70	0.20	-0.90	-0.40	-10	6	-16	15.8	10.2	5.61	15.9	15.2	0.75
Al Harrington	72	71	-0.73	0.23	-0.96	-0.38	-12	8	-20	14.0	15.2	-1.18	15.2	16.9	-1.77

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.6,0.56,0.57,0.59,0.61,0.67,0.68,0.66,0.65,0.62,0.7,0.75,0.69,0.65,0.57,0.53,0.54,0.58,0.61,0.67,0.58,0.54,0.52,0.55,0.67,0.64,0.65,0.65,0.62,0.77,0.82,0.87,0.81,0.87,0.9,0.87,0.94,0.97,0.85,0.93,0.96,0.85,0.84,0.85,0.54,0.53,0.46,0.22,0.08,0
Game		Similarity Score
DEN 121, HOU 113	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.63,0.63,0.59,0.57,0.6,0.64,0.62,0.65,0.64,0.62,0.74,0.77,0.71,0.75,0.71,0.59,0.58,0.56,0.64,0.63,0.54,0.45,0.42,0.45,0.52,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.76,0.78,0.75,0.85,0.91,0.91,0.83,0.84,0.79,0.8,0.87,0.86,0.89,0.85,0.59,0.54,0.55,0.29,0.23,0,0	91.6%
NYK 112, ATL 108	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.43,0.48,0.45,0.55,0.59,0.61,0.67,0.64,0.58,0.6,0.62,0.58,0.6,0.67,0.65,0.68,0.68,0.64,0.64,0.46,0.46,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.64,0.67,0.67,0.68,0.77,0.76,0.77,0.8,0.87,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.91,0.83,0.91,0.78,0.79,0.78,0.78,0.84,0.5,0.45,0.45,0.23,0.01,0	91.4%
CHI 92, MIA 85	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.59,0.57,0.57,0.65,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.64,0.7,0.62,0.6,0.67,0.74,0.66,0.66,0.61,0.6,0.59,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.58,0.52,0.42,0.51,0.55,0.65,0.69,0.83,0.89,0.87,0.9,0.79,0.67,0.85,0.7,0.81,0.82,0.92,0.93,0.68,0.84,0.46,0.47,0.64,0.24,0.17,0	90.9%