inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Denver Nuggets 121 Excitement9.8 [81] MVPShane Battier (HOU): +9.0%
Houston Rockets 113 Comeback31.1 [28] LVPRafer Alston (HOU): -45.7%


Denver Nuggets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Yakhouba Diawara0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.050.02-0.00771%0.091-0.0200%0.00
Linas Kleiza0.070,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.040.01-0.01860%0.081-0.014100%0.03
Steve Blake0.060,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.06,0.060.020.03-0.01963%0.123-0.061100%0.00
Allen Iverson0.050,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,0.02,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.04,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.16,-0.16,-0.11,0.12,-0.02,-0.11,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.000.050.013049%0.203-0.151377%0.04
J.R. Smith0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.05,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.13,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.12,0.12,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.010.16-0.100.051480%0.092-0.0820%-0.09
Nene-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,-0.04,0.02,0.05,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.010.00-0.02-0.001050%0.093-0.10850%-0.03
Eduardo Najera-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.01-0.00-0.00120%-0.0200.00333%-0.05
Marcus Camby-0.020,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,0.01,0,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.01-0.02-0.00855%0.032-0.05667%-0.03
Reggie Evans-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.03-0.01-0.0020%-0.0400.0000%0.00

Houston Rockets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Shane Battier0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.090.090.080.020.00978%0.122-0.0300%0.00
Bonzi Wells0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.020.04-0.01955%0.081-0.02450%-0.04
Dikembe Mutombo0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.05-0.030.00865%0.061-0.041100%0.01
John Lucas III00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Charles Hayes00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Luther Head0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.050.03-0.040.041454%-0.011-0.0400%0.00
Juwan Howard0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.02,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,-0.07,-0.07-0.070.02-0.080.021366%0.124-0.20683%0.02
Tracy McGrady0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.01,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.15-0.15-0.06-0.11-0.022544%-0.053-0.094100%0.02
Rafer Alston0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.18,-0.32,-0.46,-0.46,-0.46,-0.46-0.46-0.11-0.37-0.021840%-0.304-0.16475%0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 OT1Total
this game27.01.829.115.428.72.735.32.512.6155.1
league avg28.72.429.915.926.52.434.01.917.4141.5
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DEN +52.8%
DEN +8.9%
HOU -5.1%
DEN +14.6%
HOU -21.1%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDENHOUNBADENHOUNBA
this game14.515.915.4116.3107.6104.5
season14.015.6105.8103.6
opponent15.715.399.2104.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4OTTotal
DEN18.213.012.514.315.114.5
HOU13.117.618.815.113.515.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Denver Nuggets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Marcus Camby86870.82-0.321.150.2719-113014.514.7-0.1616.114.71.40
Steve Blake70710.71-0.210.920.3612-41614.015.7-1.7815.716.2-0.47
Allen Iverson1001010.61-0.110.710.2512-41614.416.7-2.3015.622.0-6.36
J.R. Smith62630.56-0.060.610.4153214.115.2-1.0915.616.4-0.83
Yakhouba Diawara50510.070.43-0.370.10-19-1015.014.10.8517.214.62.55
Reggie Evans2423-0.060.56-0.630.02-311-1416.913.83.0415.915.9-0.02
Linas Kleiza4544-0.120.62-0.74-0.09-19-1015.413.91.4415.716.0-0.23
Eduardo Najera3535-0.270.77-1.05-0.16-412-1614.914.30.6115.116.3-1.24
Nene3839-0.310.81-1.11-0.10-715-2213.115.4-2.3016.615.41.20

Houston Rockets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Bonzi Wells35350.18-0.680.870.074-121615.716.0-0.3014.414.6-0.21
Charles Hayes17170.07-0.570.650.012-101216.515.80.7715.514.31.18
John Lucas III110.01-0.510.510.010-880.016.0-16.0414.014.5-0.54
Dikembe Mutombo7674-0.02-0.480.460.18-7-1-616.115.40.6014.315.2-0.88
Juwan Howard8182-0.18-0.320.13-0.366-142015.816.1-0.3114.913.21.66
Rafer Alston7776-0.520.02-0.54-0.34-6-2-416.115.30.8215.013.21.86
Shane Battier8583-0.590.09-0.68-0.35-80-815.716.5-0.8214.714.00.67
Tracy McGrady8686-0.640.14-0.79-0.26-135-1815.617.2-1.5514.415.2-0.76
Luther Head6766-0.800.30-1.11-0.28-1810-2816.315.21.0613.616.1-2.47


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.63,0.63,0.59,0.57,0.6,0.64,0.62,0.65,0.64,0.62,0.74,0.77,0.71,0.75,0.71,0.59,0.58,0.56,0.64,0.63,0.54,0.45,0.42,0.45,0.52,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.76,0.78,0.75,0.85,0.91,0.91,0.83,0.84,0.79,0.8,0.87,0.86,0.89,0.85,0.59,0.54,0.55,0.29,0.23,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
SAC 118, NYK 1140.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.6,0.56,0.57,0.59,0.61,0.67,0.68,0.66,0.65,0.62,0.7,0.75,0.69,0.65,0.57,0.53,0.54,0.58,0.61,0.67,0.58,0.54,0.52,0.55,0.67,0.64,0.65,0.65,0.62,0.77,0.82,0.87,0.81,0.87,0.9,0.87,0.94,0.97,0.85,0.93,0.96,0.85,0.84,0.85,0.54,0.53,0.46,0.22,0.08,091.6%
CHI 92, MIA 850.5,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.59,0.57,0.57,0.65,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.64,0.7,0.62,0.6,0.67,0.74,0.66,0.66,0.61,0.6,0.59,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.58,0.52,0.42,0.51,0.55,0.65,0.69,0.83,0.89,0.87,0.9,0.79,0.67,0.85,0.7,0.81,0.82,0.92,0.93,0.68,0.84,0.46,0.47,0.64,0.24,0.17,090.6%
NYK 112, ATL 1080.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.43,0.48,0.45,0.55,0.59,0.61,0.67,0.64,0.58,0.6,0.62,0.58,0.6,0.67,0.65,0.68,0.68,0.64,0.64,0.46,0.46,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.64,0.67,0.67,0.68,0.77,0.76,0.77,0.8,0.87,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.91,0.83,0.91,0.78,0.79,0.78,0.78,0.84,0.5,0.45,0.45,0.23,0.01,090.0%