inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Chicago Bulls 92 Excitement10.2 [51] MVPChris Anstey (CHI): +28.1%
Miami Heat 85 Comeback35.6 [15] LVPElton Brand (CHI): -38.7%


Chicago Bulls
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Chris Anstey0.280,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.38,0.38,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.28-0.010.290.00550%0.2800.00475%-0.01
Metta World Peace0.070,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.070.070.050.05772%0.0700.00475%0.05
Chris Carr-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.030.00-0.04-0.001161%0.073-0.101100%0.00
Matt Maloney-0.040,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.03-0.000.00933%-0.0400.0000%0.00
Randy Brown-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.02-0.040.001100%0.022-0.0800%0.00
Dickey Simpkins-0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.06-0.020.00430%-0.061-0.02250%-0.01
Michael Ruffin-0.120,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.10-0.03-0.0120%-0.082-0.0420%-0.03
Will Perdue-0.140,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14-0.09-0.05-0.0010%-0.062-0.0820%-0.04
Toni Kukoc-0.180,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.18,-0.27,-0.27,-0.08,-0.13,-0.18-0.11-0.040.022048%-0.015-0.17887%0.01
Elton Brand-0.390,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,0.01,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,-0.1,-0.45,-0.39,-0.39,-0.39,-0.39,-0.39-0.04-0.35-0.002050%-0.242-0.15850%-0.25

Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Clar. Weatherspoon0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.03-0.00-0.01636%-0.0200.00250%-0.01
Anthony Carter0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.010.010.031362%0.154-0.18667%-0.04
Alonzo Mourning0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.04,0.03,0.03,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.01-0.05-0.011059%0.081-0.131486%0.05
Voshon Lenard0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.03-0.04-0.01869%0.155-0.2000%0.00
Otis Thorpe0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.07-0.01-0.00233%-0.022-0.0520%-0.03
P.J. Brown0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.19-0.19-0.06-0.14-0.01967%-0.036-0.1600%0.00
Jamal Mashburn0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.27-0.27-0.10-0.17-0.001238%-0.173-0.10250%-0.01
Dan Majerle0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.29,-0.29,-0.34-0.34-0.14-0.21-0.011517%-0.3400.0000%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 OT1Total
this game24.82.526.415.524.01.839.81.619.4155.7
league avg26.02.228.816.526.32.233.71.718.2137.0
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
CHI +37.9%
MIA -5.6%
MIA -0.9%
CHI +12.4%
CHI +6.2%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsCHIMIANBACHIMIANBA
this game16.616.015.294.886.7101.7
season16.515.791.8101.2
opponent15.914.998.2102.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4OTTotal
CHI17.019.017.614.313.916.6
MIA15.015.316.717.614.616.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Metta World Peace73730.91-0.411.310.4715-82316.516.9-0.3716.913.43.46
Matt Maloney62620.84-0.341.170.5111-41516.516.9-0.3917.313.63.70
Chris Anstey30320.79-0.291.080.3515-82315.017.4-2.4217.415.32.16
Elton Brand81810.57-0.070.630.3961517.014.72.3416.712.64.03
Toni Kukoc81820.470.030.440.2770716.119.4-3.3516.115.40.65
Dickey Simpkins36340.260.240.03-0.0310-31316.416.8-0.4416.815.51.29
Michael Ruffin2425-0.140.64-0.78-0.05-310-1315.217.1-1.9614.016.7-2.71
Chris Carr3334-0.330.83-1.16-0.15-613-1917.816.01.7914.117.0-2.81
Randy Brown4244-0.360.86-1.23-0.25-411-1517.116.30.8913.617.9-4.34
Will Perdue2323-0.501.00-1.50-0.03-1623-3919.415.83.6612.916.9-4.06

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jamal Mashburn7576-0.08-0.420.34-0.204-111516.115.60.5416.417.3-0.89
Otis Thorpe3130-0.10-0.400.31-0.04-2-5314.516.7-2.1416.916.50.43
Anthony Carter8282-0.10-0.400.30-0.01-3-4115.816.9-1.1416.716.20.52
Clar. Weatherspoon3735-0.28-0.22-0.06-0.19-3-4115.116.5-1.4416.916.50.39
Voshon Lenard5652-0.36-0.14-0.230.02-136-1915.816.2-0.4516.716.60.11
P.J. Brown5961-0.41-0.09-0.31-0.35-2-5316.914.62.3516.417.1-0.66
Alonzo Mourning6867-0.48-0.02-0.47-0.28-70-716.414.91.5116.816.30.49
Dan Majerle8282-0.690.19-0.87-0.42-92-1116.115.40.6516.517.1-0.58


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.59,0.57,0.57,0.65,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.64,0.7,0.62,0.6,0.67,0.74,0.66,0.66,0.61,0.6,0.59,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.58,0.52,0.42,0.51,0.55,0.65,0.69,0.83,0.89,0.87,0.9,0.79,0.67,0.85,0.7,0.81,0.82,0.92,0.93,0.68,0.84,0.46,0.47,0.64,0.24,0.17,0
GameSimilarity Score
SAC 118, NYK 1140.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.6,0.56,0.57,0.59,0.61,0.67,0.68,0.66,0.65,0.62,0.7,0.75,0.69,0.65,0.57,0.53,0.54,0.58,0.61,0.67,0.58,0.54,0.52,0.55,0.67,0.64,0.65,0.65,0.62,0.77,0.82,0.87,0.81,0.87,0.9,0.87,0.94,0.97,0.85,0.93,0.96,0.85,0.84,0.85,0.54,0.53,0.46,0.22,0.08,090.9%
DEN 121, HOU 1130.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.63,0.63,0.59,0.57,0.6,0.64,0.62,0.65,0.64,0.62,0.74,0.77,0.71,0.75,0.71,0.59,0.58,0.56,0.64,0.63,0.54,0.45,0.42,0.45,0.52,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.76,0.78,0.75,0.85,0.91,0.91,0.83,0.84,0.79,0.8,0.87,0.86,0.89,0.85,0.59,0.54,0.55,0.29,0.23,0,090.6%
IND 101, ORL 970.5,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.57,0.57,0.63,0.66,0.67,0.65,0.63,0.65,0.68,0.65,0.6,0.58,0.6,0.56,0.54,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.56,0.56,0.64,0.51,0.71,0.63,0.61,0.58,0.48,0.55,0.65,0.72,0.73,0.63,0.84,0.74,0.66,0.66,0.71,0.81,0.82,0.91,0.87,0.95,0.98,0.97,0.92,0.46,0.55,0.45,0.33,0.16,090.3%