inpredictable
Powered by Blogger.
NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Indiana Pacers 101 Excitement9.8 [80] MVPReggie Miller (IND): +23.6%
Orlando Magic 97 Comeback91.6 [8] LVPTracy McGrady (ORL): -38.8%


Indiana Pacers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Reggie Miller0.240,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24-0.070.30-0.01945%0.313-0.07250%-0.01
Al Harrington0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.040.040.000.00967%0.061-0.026100%0.05
Erick Strickland0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.09,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.020.020.00750%0.0400.0000%0.00
Brad Miller-0.060,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.02-0.040.011250%-0.012-0.0500%0.00
Jonathan Bender-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.05-0.02-0.00835%-0.051-0.021100%0.01
Metta World Peace-0.090,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09-0.05-0.06-0.011253%-0.042-0.061080%0.04
Ron Mercer-0.130,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13-0.09-0.030.001030%-0.072-0.0600%0.00
Jamaal Tinsley-0.160,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16-0.07-0.10-0.01550%-0.103-0.0620%-0.21
Jermaine O'Neal-0.260,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.18,-0.18,-0.1,-0.19,-0.26,-0.26-0.05-0.200.001852%-0.154-0.11475%0.00

Orlando Magic
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Andrew DeClercq0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.100.060.040.00683%0.121-0.0200%0.00
Jacque Vaughn0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.000.000.000100%0.031-0.034100%0.03
Pat Garrity0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.18,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,00.000.15-0.130.021188%0.102-0.103100%0.02
Jeryl Sasser0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.03-0.01-0.01125%-0.0300.00250%-0.02
Pat Burke0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.07-0.02-0.0230%-0.061-0.0200%0.00
Mike Miller0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.06,-0.08-0.080.04-0.12-0.001564%0.023-0.093100%0.02
Grant Hill0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.10-0.09-0.02-0.00756%0.025-0.12250%-0.01
Shawn Kemp0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.11-0.10-0.03-0.03822%-0.081-0.032100%0.01
Darrell Armstrong0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22-0.22-0.12-0.14-0.04525%-0.183-0.04250%-0.16
Tracy McGrady0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0,0,0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.16,-0.24,-0.37,-0.39-0.39-0.13-0.28-0.022247%-0.046-0.34580%0.02
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 OT1Total
this game22.22.028.615.026.52.037.01.512.6147.4
league avg46.12.328.014.724.52.329.91.917.2149.2
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
IND +11.3%
ORL -15.6%
IND +3.1%
IND +36.7%
IND +14.4%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsINDORLNBAINDORLNBA
this game16.514.615.599.095.1101.6
season15.414.6102.2102.7
opponent15.815.5103.199.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4OTTotal
IND15.519.317.314.416.816.5
ORL12.212.915.516.918.614.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Al Harrington65640.72-0.220.940.3114-102416.915.91.0315.812.63.26
Jamaal Tinsley35360.67-0.170.830.5831214.617.6-2.9215.314.31.01
Jermaine O'Neal86870.66-0.160.810.428-41216.317.7-1.4214.515.3-0.75
Metta World Peace81790.440.060.380.3822016.118.1-2.0115.212.82.33
Reggie Miller70720.090.41-0.320.0904-416.516.7-0.2513.716.9-3.17
Jonathan Bender3131-0.020.52-0.54-0.0822018.215.82.3615.214.40.81
Ron Mercer4950-0.060.56-0.62-0.1222017.315.91.3814.314.9-0.60
Erick Strickland2726-0.150.65-0.80-0.06-37-1018.116.02.0713.715.0-1.31
Brad Miller5757-0.350.85-1.190.01-1216-2816.117.2-1.1313.316.3-2.97

Orlando Magic
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Shawn Kemp58580.26-0.761.030.183-71014.514.8-0.3815.118.5-3.47
Jacque Vaughn19190.10-0.600.700.042-6814.314.7-0.4518.416.12.30
Jeryl Sasser15130.07-0.570.640.25-62-816.414.32.0815.616.7-1.07
Grant Hill33320.04-0.540.58-0.022-6812.815.5-2.7617.316.21.11
Pat Burke25240.00-0.500.500.18-62-816.214.12.0316.416.6-0.17
Tracy McGrady9596-0.38-0.12-0.26-0.442-6814.614.9-0.2516.713.53.24
Mike Miller8585-0.47-0.04-0.43-0.491-5614.216.6-2.4216.218.4-2.24
Pat Garrity7879-0.620.12-0.75-0.682-6814.515.1-0.6516.616.40.15
Darrell Armstrong5960-0.750.25-1.00-0.37-139-2215.813.02.8516.217.0-0.85
Andrew DeClercq4344-0.760.26-1.02-0.56-73-1014.414.8-0.4018.215.32.95


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.57,0.57,0.63,0.66,0.67,0.65,0.63,0.65,0.68,0.65,0.6,0.58,0.6,0.56,0.54,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.56,0.56,0.64,0.51,0.71,0.63,0.61,0.58,0.48,0.55,0.65,0.72,0.73,0.63,0.84,0.74,0.66,0.66,0.71,0.81,0.82,0.91,0.87,0.95,0.98,0.97,0.92,0.46,0.55,0.45,0.33,0.16,0
GameSimilarity Score
SAC 118, NYK 1140.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.6,0.56,0.57,0.59,0.61,0.67,0.68,0.66,0.65,0.62,0.7,0.75,0.69,0.65,0.57,0.53,0.54,0.58,0.61,0.67,0.58,0.54,0.52,0.55,0.67,0.64,0.65,0.65,0.62,0.77,0.82,0.87,0.81,0.87,0.9,0.87,0.94,0.97,0.85,0.93,0.96,0.85,0.84,0.85,0.54,0.53,0.46,0.22,0.08,090.6%
ORL 85, NYK 830.5,0.49,0.48,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.54,0.58,0.56,0.6,0.62,0.58,0.63,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.59,0.54,0.5,0.57,0.57,0.55,0.7,0.67,0.58,0.49,0.59,0.69,0.71,0.84,0.81,0.74,0.79,0.83,0.88,0.83,0.91,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.96,0.54,0.33,0.28,0.33,0.04,090.4%
CHI 92, MIA 850.5,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.59,0.57,0.57,0.65,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.64,0.7,0.62,0.6,0.67,0.74,0.66,0.66,0.61,0.6,0.59,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.58,0.52,0.42,0.51,0.55,0.65,0.69,0.83,0.89,0.87,0.9,0.79,0.67,0.85,0.7,0.81,0.82,0.92,0.93,0.68,0.84,0.46,0.47,0.64,0.24,0.17,090.3%