NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Dallas Mavericks	83		Excitement	7.4 [384]		MVP	Kawhi Leonard (SAS): +39.8%
San Antonio Spurs	88		Comeback	1.1 [1129]		LVP	Deron Williams (DAL): -23.9%

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Devin Harris	0.23	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.23	0.06	0.17	-0.00	5	85%	0.27	2	-0.04	3	67%	-0.02
Dirk Nowitzki	0.13	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.06	0.04	-0.03	8	68%	0.16	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.01
Jose Juan Barea	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.02	0.04	0.01	7	50%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
JaVale McGee	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.01	0.05	0.01	8	50%	0.06	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.03
Dwight Powell	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.01	-0.01	3	67%	0.03	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Justin Anderson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	17%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Wesley Matthews	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.12,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03	-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	16	47%	0.12	3	-0.15	0	0%	0.00
Charlie Villanueva	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.05,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	7	43%	0.00	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Zaza Pachulia	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	0.01	4	40%	-0.02	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Raymond Felton	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.04	-0.07	0.00	7	36%	-0.07	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Deron Williams	-0.24	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.09,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.24,-0.24	-0.13	-0.11	-0.00	16	25%	-0.21	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kawhi Leonard	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.4	0.40	0.15	0.26	0.01	16	72%	0.45	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.05
David West	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.06	0.07	0.00	3	100%	0.16	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.02
Tony Parker	0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.07	0.02	0.01	11	67%	0.11	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
LaMarcus Aldridge	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.11,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.02	0.03	-0.01	17	49%	0.08	1	-0.02	3	67%	0.00
Patty Mills	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.05	0.03	-0.04	7	21%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Boris Diaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Rasual Butler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tim Duncan	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.00	4	25%	-0.03	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Danny Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	-0.00	9	33%	-0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Manu Ginobili	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.22,-0.16,-0.16,-0.22,-0.22	-0.22	-0.18	-0.08	-0.03	12	28%	-0.06	4	-0.16	8	62%	0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.4	2.7	29.8	14.8	23.7	1.5	31.6	126.4
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAS +15.9%

SAS +13.3%

SAS +20.6%

SAS +1.2%

DAL -1.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	SAS	NBA	DAL	SAS	NBA
this game	14.9	16.2	14.9	90.2	94.6	105.1
season	15.5	15.7		105.0	109.0
opponent	14.7	14.7		97.9	106.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DAL	15.6	14.6	15.0	14.5	14.9
SAS	15.0	15.4	17.0	17.5	16.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
JaVale McGee	30	29	0.11	-0.61	0.72	-0.06	6	-11	17	15.2	14.8	0.41	15.5	16.5	-1.00
Justin Anderson	14	15	0.10	-0.60	0.70	-0.11	7	-12	19	12.6	15.3	-2.77	12.1	17.0	-4.85
Dwight Powell	23	23	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	-0.01	0	-5	5	15.0	14.9	0.04	16.8	16.0	0.77
Charlie Villanueva	26	25	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	-0.07	-2	-3	1	13.9	15.3	-1.40	14.4	16.9	-2.47
Jose Juan Barea	30	29	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	-0.14	0	-5	5	13.4	15.6	-2.21	12.8	17.7	-4.96
Devin Harris	33	33	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.17	0	-5	5	14.1	15.4	-1.30	13.9	17.5	-3.56
Raymond Felton	67	70	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	-0.25	-3	-2	-1	15.2	14.1	1.10	17.7	11.6	6.11
Deron Williams	65	66	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.18	-7	2	-9	15.5	13.4	2.09	17.5	13.0	4.57
Zaza Pachulia	38	39	-0.48	-0.02	-0.45	-0.21	-9	4	-13	15.1	14.8	0.35	17.8	15.0	2.78
Dirk Nowitzki	67	70	-0.50	0.00	-0.51	-0.36	-5	0	-5	15.1	14.6	0.50	16.0	16.7	-0.65
Wesley Matthews	67	66	-0.57	0.07	-0.63	-0.22	-12	7	-19	15.6	13.1	2.48	16.8	14.6	2.22

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tony Parker	67	66	0.64	-0.14	0.79	0.29	12	-7	19	17.2	13.6	3.59	15.2	14.3	0.91
Tim Duncan	54	52	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.17	13	-8	21	17.4	14.5	2.87	15.3	14.4	0.84
Manu Ginobili	56	58	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.39	4	1	3	15.2	17.7	-2.53	14.4	15.7	-1.29
LaMarcus Aldridge	62	62	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.17	9	-4	13	18.0	12.6	5.44	15.7	13.3	2.36
Kawhi Leonard	75	73	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.30	4	1	3	17.2	11.9	5.35	15.2	13.8	1.43
Danny Green	52	49	0.08	0.42	-0.35	0.05	1	4	-3	15.5	17.0	-1.51	15.2	14.6	0.69
David West	27	26	0.07	0.43	-0.37	0.18	-4	9	-13	13.3	17.4	-4.15	13.3	15.5	-2.20
Kyle Anderson	6	6	0.03	0.47	-0.44	-0.03	2	3	-1	11.5	16.5	-5.03	10.0	15.3	-5.27
Boris Diaw	19	20	-0.03	0.53	-0.57	0.11	-5	10	-15	13.2	17.0	-3.76	16.5	14.5	2.01
Patty Mills	34	35	-0.07	0.57	-0.63	0.14	-7	12	-19	14.3	17.3	-3.06	14.3	15.3	-1.03
Rasual Butler	13	13	-0.12	0.62	-0.74	-0.00	-4	9	-13	16.2	16.2	-0.06	12.5	15.3	-2.87

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.57,0.6,0.6,0.63,0.66,0.69,0.73,0.71,0.68,0.65,0.68,0.7,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.54,0.59,0.59,0.66,0.72,0.78,0.7,0.71,0.82,0.78,0.76,0.79,0.79,0.71,0.62,0.59,0.6,0.56,0.62,0.57,0.7,0.8,0.77,0.69,0.6,0.61,0.75,0.72,0.76,0.85,1
Game		Similarity Score
DET 93, CHI 97	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.62,0.64,0.64,0.63,0.61,0.65,0.6,0.62,0.65,0.62,0.58,0.64,0.71,0.71,0.72,0.68,0.64,0.71,0.67,0.61,0.67,0.69,0.77,0.8,0.78,0.67,0.68,0.68,0.59,0.59,0.52,0.48,0.62,0.57,0.62,0.71,0.81,0.69,0.6,0.73,0.8,0.78,0.77,0.73,1	92.8%
DAL 100, ORL 105	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.5,0.54,0.6,0.65,0.57,0.67,0.7,0.68,0.76,0.72,0.68,0.72,0.75,0.69,0.66,0.65,0.56,0.64,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.63,0.69,0.63,0.67,0.64,0.71,0.75,0.65,0.66,0.69,0.71,0.64,0.62,0.7,0.71,0.8,0.81,0.7,0.67,0.72,0.76,0.79,0.69,0.95,1	91.7%
TOR 70, SAS 73	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.55,0.59,0.63,0.63,0.57,0.55,0.57,0.47,0.51,0.57,0.58,0.64,0.66,0.65,0.65,0.63,0.66,0.61,0.69,0.77,0.82,0.84,0.86,0.82,0.78,0.72,0.64,0.66,0.59,0.56,0.66,0.63,0.4,0.54,0.57,0.69,0.8,0.77,0.7,0.71,0.6,0.69,0.79,0.85,0.92,1	91.5%