NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Dallas Mavericks	100		Excitement	7.9 [283]		MVP	Aaron Harrison (DAL): +23.5%
Orlando Magic	105		Comeback	1.1 [896]		LVP	Wes Iwundu (ORL): -16.3%

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Aaron Harrison	0.23	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.23,0.23,0.23	0.08	0.15	-0.00	10	65%	0.23	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Maxi Kleber	0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.14	0.03	0.01	5	120%	0.16	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Yogi Ferrell	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.02	0.05	-0.00	6	50%	0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Salah Mejri	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
J.J. Barea	-0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.00	-0.00	5	40%	-0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Johnathan Motley	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	0.02	-0.06	0.00	11	54%	0.02	1	-0.07	4	50%	-0.03
Dorian Finney-Smith	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06	-0.02	-0.06	-0.02	15	44%	-0.02	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Jalen Jones	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.1,0.05,-0.05,0,0,-0.08,-0.09	-0.02	-0.06	0.00	15	48%	0.02	3	-0.10	3	67%	0.01
Doug McDermott	-0.11	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.06	-0.04	0.01	9	35%	-0.08	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02
Kyle Collinsworth	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.13	-0.05	-0.07	0.01	13	43%	-0.04	2	-0.09	4	75%	0.01

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Khem Birch	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.18	0.18	0.07	0.11	-0.00	5	67%	0.18	0	0.00	5	80%	0.01
Jamel Artis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.12,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.08	0.05	-0.00	13	67%	0.21	2	-0.07	1	100%	0.01
Shelvin Mack	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.05	0.07	0.00	7	65%	0.14	1	-0.03	6	33%	-0.05
Bismack Biyombo	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.06	-0.01	0.02	4	92%	0.11	3	-0.08	5	80%	0.01
Mario Hezonja	0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.11,0.01,0	0.00	-0.06	0.06	-0.01	14	40%	0.03	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Aaron Gordon	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.05	-0.03	0.03	16	59%	0.06	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
D.J. Augustin	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	7	50%	0.03	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Rodney Purvis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	11	32%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Wes Iwundu	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.13	-0.04	-0.01	9	23%	-0.10	2	-0.06	4	75%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.2	2.5	25.3	14.7	28.2	1.6	33.5	130.9
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ORL +23.3%

ORL +1.1%

ORL +15.5%

ORL +6.7%

ORL +3.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	ORL	NBA	DAL	ORL	NBA
this game	14.9	15.3	14.7	105.3	109.4	107.5
season	15.4	14.6		105.3	104.2
opponent	14.5	14.3		109.1	108.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DAL	12.7	16.6	14.4	15.8	14.9
ORL	14.9	14.0	15.6	16.9	15.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Yogi Ferrell	34	34	0.05	-0.55	0.60	-0.16	7	-12	19	15.6	14.4	1.15	14.6	15.7	-1.01
Maxi Kleber	22	24	0.04	-0.54	0.59	-0.22	9	-14	23	15.5	14.7	0.84	16.2	15.0	1.21
J.J. Barea	18	21	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	0.02	-3	-2	-1	13.3	15.2	-1.94	15.9	15.1	0.71
Salah Mejri	2	1	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.02	-2	-3	1	17.0	14.8	2.19	15.0	15.3	-0.31
Dorian Finney-Smith	70	70	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	-0.25	3	-8	11	14.8	14.9	-0.04	15.1	15.8	-0.69
Doug McDermott	42	44	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	0.04	-10	5	-15	13.4	16.0	-2.55	15.0	15.5	-0.52
Jalen Jones	52	52	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.35	-2	-3	1	15.0	14.7	0.28	16.2	14.2	1.98
Kyle Collinsworth	71	68	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	-0.34	-3	-2	-1	15.5	12.9	2.59	15.0	16.0	-0.93
Aaron Harrison	83	84	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.24	-9	4	-13	14.7	15.8	-1.12	15.2	16.3	-1.18
Johnathan Motley	81	82	-0.68	0.18	-0.86	-0.24	-15	10	-25	14.9	14.6	0.33	15.3	15.4	-0.15

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mario Hezonja	68	68	0.81	-0.31	1.12	0.43	13	-8	21	15.4	15.1	0.28	15.5	13.3	2.12
Shelvin Mack	54	53	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.41	1	4	-3	15.2	15.4	-0.18	14.7	15.0	-0.26
Aaron Gordon	53	53	0.30	0.20	0.11	-0.11	14	-9	23	14.5	16.3	-1.90	14.6	15.1	-0.48
D.J. Augustin	37	37	0.27	0.23	0.05	-0.02	10	-5	15	14.5	15.8	-1.28	15.4	14.5	0.82
Khem Birch	51	49	0.27	0.23	0.03	0.44	-6	11	-17	15.7	14.8	0.90	14.9	14.8	0.09
Wes Iwundu	63	64	0.25	0.25	0.00	0.25	0	5	-5	15.5	15.0	0.46	14.5	15.5	-1.03
Bismack Biyombo	45	46	0.23	0.27	-0.03	-0.09	11	-6	17	14.8	15.7	-0.90	14.8	14.9	-0.09
Jamel Artis	63	62	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.27	-9	14	-23	15.6	14.7	0.97	14.5	15.6	-1.11
Rodney Purvis	46	43	-0.08	0.58	-0.67	0.18	-9	14	-23	16.2	14.5	1.76	14.9	14.8	0.14

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.5,0.54,0.6,0.65,0.57,0.67,0.7,0.68,0.76,0.72,0.68,0.72,0.75,0.69,0.66,0.65,0.56,0.64,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.63,0.69,0.63,0.67,0.64,0.71,0.75,0.65,0.66,0.69,0.71,0.64,0.62,0.7,0.71,0.8,0.81,0.7,0.67,0.72,0.76,0.79,0.69,0.95,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAC 103, PHI 109	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.6,0.66,0.67,0.68,0.69,0.69,0.64,0.65,0.68,0.66,0.69,0.62,0.6,0.61,0.56,0.61,0.64,0.51,0.61,0.7,0.71,0.69,0.72,0.73,0.76,0.74,0.71,0.75,0.73,0.74,0.71,0.78,0.87,0.7,0.83,0.68,0.79,0.85,0.73,0.8,0.85,0.77,0.96,1	93.3%
PHX 90, GSW 94	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.52,0.52,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.63,0.67,0.73,0.75,0.76,0.68,0.64,0.69,0.58,0.61,0.64,0.56,0.54,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.58,0.63,0.58,0.52,0.58,0.61,0.68,0.73,0.66,0.71,0.64,0.66,0.7,0.79,0.75,0.68,0.69,0.76,0.73,0.9,0.85,0.57,0.85,1	93.3%
IND 88, DAL 94	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.58,0.53,0.51,0.6,0.65,0.73,0.75,0.75,0.74,0.74,0.67,0.65,0.67,0.63,0.64,0.61,0.64,0.59,0.56,0.58,0.69,0.75,0.7,0.73,0.71,0.71,0.68,0.72,0.85,0.81,0.72,0.7,0.74,0.66,0.67,0.67,0.69,0.76,0.87,0.69,0.86,0.9,0.99,1	92.7%