NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	103		Excitement	7.1 [424]		MVP	Mike Bibby (SAC): +45.8%
Philadelphia 76ers	109		Comeback	1.1 [1163]		LVP	Brad Miller (SAC): -19.8%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mike Bibby	0.46	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.11,0.13,0.16,0.13,0.1,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.25,0.25,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.43,0.43,0.54,0.48,0.48,0.46	0.29	0.18	0.01	25	79%	0.65	3	-0.19	6	100%	0.06
Kevin Martin	0.15	0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.15,0.15	0.14	0.01	-0.01	12	77%	0.22	2	-0.07	2	50%	-0.02
Francisco Garcia	0.06	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.03	0.03	0.01	10	65%	0.10	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jason Hart	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.00	4	62%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Brian Skinner	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kenny Thomas	-0.12	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.07	-0.05	0.01	12	36%	-0.05	2	-0.07	1	100%	0.01
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	-0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.09	-0.08	0.01	10	38%	-0.07	3	-0.11	6	100%	0.02
Brad Miller	-0.20	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.13	-0.06	0.01	8	11%	-0.18	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kyle Korver	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.21,0.21,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.07	0.08	-0.01	11	56%	0.16	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.03
Allen Iverson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.02,0,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.15	0.15	0.12	0.10	0.06	31	59%	0.23	3	-0.08	8	100%	0.05
Andre Iguodala	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.03	0.09	-0.01	6	69%	0.18	2	-0.05	4	75%	-0.00
Michael Bradley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.03	-0.00	3	67%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Salmons	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	0.01	0.01	6	69%	0.08	1	-0.03	1	0%	-0.02
Kevin Ollie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	1	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Steven Hunter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	60%	0.04	2	-0.06	3	33%	-0.03
Matt Barnes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Samuel Dalembert	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.04	-0.00	7	50%	-0.01	1	-0.04	2	0%	-0.02
Chris Webber	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.09	0.01	-0.00	19	40%	0.01	3	-0.09	4	75%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.2	1.7	28.3	15.7	22.2	2.4	37.6	131.2
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +14.5%

SAC -9.1%

PHI +17.2%

PHI +29.5%

SAC -2.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	PHI	NBA	SAC	PHI	NBA
this game	15.2	14.4	15.6	106.2	111.2	104.4
season	15.3	15.2		104.7	104.1
opponent	15.3	15.5		106.0	103.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAC	16.2	16.5	14.9	13.0	15.2
PHI	14.3	12.9	14.5	15.8	14.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brian Skinner	13	13	0.07	-0.57	0.65	-0.04	4	-10	14	16.8	14.9	1.95	14.2	14.4	-0.27
Jason Hart	25	25	0.01	-0.51	0.52	-0.08	3	-9	12	16.1	14.8	1.30	16.2	13.8	2.38
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	60	61	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	-0.37	3	-9	12	14.6	16.1	-1.50	14.6	14.0	0.67
Kevin Martin	88	87	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.24	-2	-4	2	15.2	15.0	0.17	14.1	16.8	-2.74
Kenny Thomas	66	66	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	-0.15	-7	1	-8	15.5	14.3	1.22	14.1	15.0	-0.91
Brad Miller	65	66	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.16	-10	4	-14	14.7	16.1	-1.40	14.3	14.7	-0.40
Mike Bibby	86	88	-0.57	0.07	-0.65	-0.28	-10	4	-14	14.9	17.4	-2.49	14.3	15.3	-1.02
Francisco Garcia	82	84	-0.61	0.11	-0.72	-0.29	-11	5	-16	15.3	14.1	1.21	14.5	13.9	0.62

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Webber	82	81	0.60	-0.10	0.71	0.31	10	-4	14	14.0	16.4	-2.37	15.3	14.5	0.78
Samuel Dalembert	73	73	0.59	-0.09	0.69	0.18	14	-8	22	14.2	15.1	-0.93	15.4	14.5	0.81
Allen Iverson	93	91	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.29	10	-4	14	14.3	15.8	-1.49	15.1	16.5	-1.43
Andre Iguodala	74	74	0.55	-0.05	0.59	0.22	11	-5	16	13.9	15.8	-1.91	15.4	14.5	0.83
John Salmons	60	58	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.04	10	-4	14	13.7	15.4	-1.69	16.1	13.8	2.32
Kyle Korver	41	41	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.27	-3	9	-12	16.2	13.1	3.15	13.9	16.1	-2.13
Michael Bradley	18	17	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.07	-4	10	-14	16.3	14.0	2.32	14.1	15.4	-1.26
Matt Barnes	21	21	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	0.12	-6	12	-18	14.3	14.4	-0.07	14.3	15.4	-1.11
Kevin Ollie	5	6	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	0.04	-4	10	-14	15.8	14.3	1.49	16.5	15.1	1.43
Steven Hunter	23	23	-0.15	0.65	-0.79	0.09	-8	14	-22	15.0	14.2	0.86	14.8	15.3	-0.43

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.6,0.66,0.67,0.68,0.69,0.69,0.64,0.65,0.68,0.66,0.69,0.62,0.6,0.61,0.56,0.61,0.64,0.51,0.61,0.7,0.71,0.69,0.72,0.73,0.76,0.74,0.71,0.75,0.73,0.74,0.71,0.78,0.87,0.7,0.83,0.68,0.79,0.85,0.73,0.8,0.85,0.77,0.96,1
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 94, ORL 96	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.54,0.5,0.59,0.65,0.64,0.69,0.68,0.75,0.74,0.73,0.72,0.74,0.72,0.67,0.65,0.69,0.66,0.61,0.61,0.64,0.59,0.61,0.7,0.65,0.6,0.7,0.73,0.81,0.77,0.71,0.78,0.73,0.82,0.92,0.9,0.92,0.79,0.68,0.73,0.74,0.84,0.87,0.85,0.95,0.78,0.85,1	93.3%
DAL 100, ORL 105	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.5,0.54,0.6,0.65,0.57,0.67,0.7,0.68,0.76,0.72,0.68,0.72,0.75,0.69,0.66,0.65,0.56,0.64,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.63,0.69,0.63,0.67,0.64,0.71,0.75,0.65,0.66,0.69,0.71,0.64,0.62,0.7,0.71,0.8,0.81,0.7,0.67,0.72,0.76,0.79,0.69,0.95,1	93.3%
LAC 104, LAL 112	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.59,0.62,0.63,0.63,0.71,0.77,0.74,0.71,0.7,0.7,0.71,0.68,0.69,0.65,0.68,0.61,0.61,0.58,0.63,0.67,0.75,0.69,0.72,0.73,0.67,0.7,0.82,0.77,0.84,0.85,0.86,0.75,0.7,0.7,0.67,0.71,0.63,0.78,0.76,0.82,0.93,0.94,0.94,0.96,1	92.9%