NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	94		Excitement	8.1 [253]		MVP	Kent Bazemore (ATL): +26.0%
Orlando Magic	96		Comeback	1.6 [552]		LVP	Paul Millsap (ATL): -22.5%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kent Bazemore	0.26	0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.26	0.03	0.21	-0.01	17	61%	0.39	4	-0.13	4	100%	0.02
Thabo Sefolosha	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.02	0.04	-0.01	6	43%	0.05	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.02
Kyle Korver	-0.01	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.15,-0.15,-0.08,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.01	0.00	10	50%	0.03	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Al Horford	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.01	-0.04	0.01	-0.02	15	37%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tim Hardaway Jr.	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike Muscala	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	2	0%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Mike Scott	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	-0.00	2	0%	-0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Dennis Schroder	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.08	-0.04	-0.00	7	33%	-0.05	2	-0.05	4	75%	-0.01
Jeff Teague	-0.15	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0,-0.15	0.06	-0.19	0.02	17	69%	-0.03	5	-0.12	1	100%	0.00
Paul Millsap	-0.23	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.23	-0.00	-0.21	0.02	14	44%	-0.23	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nikola Vucevic	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,-0.06,0.15	0.15	-0.04	0.19	-0.00	19	58%	0.53	6	-0.37	0	0%	0.00
Victor Oladipo	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.07	0.06	-0.01	13	73%	0.20	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Channing Frye	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.01	0.06	-0.01	5	50%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Evan Fournier	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.07	0.02	0.01	14	66%	0.16	3	-0.09	4	100%	0.02
Jason Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.00	0.04	-0.01	6	43%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Elfrid Payton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.07,0.01,0.01,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	0.01	10	60%	0.12	3	-0.14	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Gordon	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.01	0.01	11	39%	-0.02	0	0.00	6	83%	0.00
Shabazz Napier	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mario Hezonja	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.14	-0.01	-0.03	5	0%	-0.06	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.0	0.8	28.3	15.4	25.7	1.7	31.0	128.0
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ORL +96.5%

ORL +3.7%

ATL -22.6%

ATL -32.5%

ORL +4.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	ORL	NBA	ATL	ORL	NBA
this game	15.0	14.6	14.9	96.9	99.0	105.1
season	14.2	14.6		104.1	103.6
opponent	14.9	15.1		105.2	100.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	14.4	13.3	16.0	16.7	15.0
ORL	13.3	14.9	13.4	17.6	14.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mike Scott	29	31	0.03	-0.53	0.57	-0.23	9	-11	20	13.7	15.6	-1.98	16.1	14.0	2.17
Tim Hardaway Jr.	23	23	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.07	0	-2	2	12.4	15.9	-3.42	15.0	14.5	0.52
Dennis Schroder	27	28	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.16	2	-4	6	13.7	15.6	-1.85	14.8	14.6	0.19
Kyle Korver	67	70	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	-0.02	-4	2	-6	16.1	12.6	3.58	14.8	14.3	0.54
Kent Bazemore	67	65	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	-0.41	7	-9	16	14.9	15.3	-0.37	14.6	14.8	-0.20
Al Horford	72	69	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.24	1	-3	4	15.1	15.0	0.11	14.8	14.4	0.41
Mike Muscala	21	22	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.02	-10	8	-18	15.9	14.8	1.10	15.4	14.4	0.92
Jeff Teague	70	69	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.28	-4	2	-6	15.6	13.7	1.85	14.6	14.8	-0.19
Thabo Sefolosha	38	37	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.42	-4	2	-6	14.6	15.3	-0.76	13.8	15.1	-1.31
Paul Millsap	71	71	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	-0.36	-7	5	-12	15.5	13.8	1.63	13.9	16.8	-2.90

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nikola Vucevic	69	72	0.70	-0.20	0.89	0.29	14	-12	26	14.1	16.0	-1.95	15.4	13.9	1.56
Evan Fournier	85	87	0.65	-0.15	0.80	0.36	10	-8	18	14.8	13.7	1.12	15.3	13.2	2.05
Victor Oladipo	89	89	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.38	6	-4	10	14.6	15.1	-0.52	15.3	11.7	3.59
Elfrid Payton	63	64	0.50	-0.00	0.50	0.33	6	-4	10	14.8	14.3	0.55	16.1	13.0	3.14
Channing Frye	27	27	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.52	-8	10	-18	16.5	13.9	2.54	14.6	15.2	-0.57
Aaron Gordon	70	70	0.22	0.28	-0.06	-0.08	10	-8	18	13.9	16.5	-2.54	15.2	14.6	0.57
Shabazz Napier	22	21	-0.04	0.54	-0.59	0.10	-5	7	-12	14.4	14.7	-0.31	12.9	15.6	-2.79
Mario Hezonja	32	30	-0.16	0.66	-0.82	0.16	-11	13	-24	14.2	14.9	-0.69	12.8	16.0	-3.24
Jason Smith	28	25	-0.20	0.70	-0.89	0.15	-12	14	-26	16.0	14.1	1.95	13.9	15.4	-1.56

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.54,0.5,0.59,0.65,0.64,0.69,0.68,0.75,0.74,0.73,0.72,0.74,0.72,0.67,0.65,0.69,0.66,0.61,0.61,0.64,0.59,0.61,0.7,0.65,0.6,0.7,0.73,0.81,0.77,0.71,0.78,0.73,0.82,0.92,0.9,0.92,0.79,0.68,0.73,0.74,0.84,0.87,0.85,0.95,0.78,0.85,1
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 104, OKC 118	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.58,0.58,0.63,0.66,0.68,0.7,0.69,0.73,0.72,0.72,0.71,0.75,0.71,0.71,0.72,0.64,0.64,0.61,0.56,0.64,0.7,0.62,0.6,0.69,0.64,0.76,0.77,0.75,0.76,0.89,0.86,0.92,0.87,0.85,0.79,0.76,0.73,0.69,0.89,0.93,0.81,0.93,1,1,1	94.2%
SAC 103, PHI 109	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.6,0.66,0.67,0.68,0.69,0.69,0.64,0.65,0.68,0.66,0.69,0.62,0.6,0.61,0.56,0.61,0.64,0.51,0.61,0.7,0.71,0.69,0.72,0.73,0.76,0.74,0.71,0.75,0.73,0.74,0.71,0.78,0.87,0.7,0.83,0.68,0.79,0.85,0.73,0.8,0.85,0.77,0.96,1	93.3%
WAS 79, CHI 90	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.56,0.6,0.62,0.68,0.69,0.67,0.68,0.73,0.75,0.74,0.7,0.66,0.67,0.69,0.63,0.59,0.61,0.58,0.58,0.59,0.63,0.68,0.74,0.75,0.67,0.71,0.74,0.71,0.78,0.83,0.87,0.85,0.87,0.92,0.91,0.89,0.82,0.74,0.66,0.73,0.77,0.96,0.91,1,1	92.9%