NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Dallas Mavericks	104		Excitement	5.7 [693]		MVP	Russell Westbrook (OKC): +25.2%
Oklahoma City Thunder	118		Comeback	1.0 [1067]		LVP	Raymond Felton (DAL): -8.4%

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dwight Powell	0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.12	0.05	-0.00	7	80%	0.18	0	0.00	6	67%	0.01
Justin Anderson	0.14	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.04	0.06	-0.04	10	58%	0.16	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.00
Dirk Nowitzki	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.12	-0.00	0.02	16	65%	0.12	1	-0.03	5	100%	0.02
Zaza Pachulia	0.03	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	-0.00	0.01	7	60%	0.06	1	-0.03	6	100%	0.03
Devin Harris	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.01	-0.00	9	47%	0.01	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Charlie Villanueva	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Wesley Matthews	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	13	39%	0.01	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Jose Juan Barea	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	7	57%	0.04	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Raymond Felton	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	-0.00	12	42%	-0.02	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Russell Westbrook	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.2,0.2,0.29,0.32,0.3,0.27,0.25,0.25,0.25	0.25	0.16	0.09	-0.00	23	67%	0.31	3	-0.06	8	87%	0.03
Kevin Durant	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.14,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.11	0.06	-0.02	24	59%	0.22	2	-0.03	8	100%	0.03
Dion Waiters	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.04	0.01	-0.02	8	69%	0.10	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Enes Kanter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.03	0.01	-0.02	4	56%	0.06	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Andre Roberson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.04	-0.00	6	50%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cameron Payne	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.06	0.00	0.01	2	125%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steven Adams	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.06	-0.00	0.01	8	60%	0.08	1	-0.04	9	56%	-0.02
Nick Collison	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	1	75%	0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Anthony Morrow	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Randy Foye	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	0.01	1	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Serge Ibaka	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.04	-0.03	0.01	4	20%	-0.08	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	29.2	3.5	36.2	17.4	28.4	2.7	38.0	155.4
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

OKC +23.2%

OKC +0.3%

OKC +11.2%

OKC +12.3%

OKC +3.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	OKC	NBA	DAL	OKC	NBA
this game	17.8	14.7	14.9	118.2	132.6	105.1
season	15.5	14.4		105.0	111.5
opponent	15.1	14.7		104.4	106.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DAL	17.4	16.0	20.8	17.6	17.8
OKC	14.7	14.0	15.2	15.1	14.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Charlie Villanueva	2	2	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.03	1	-15	16	1.0	18.2	-17.23	12.0	14.8	-2.78
Justin Anderson	44	47	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	0.15	-8	-6	-2	17.5	18.2	-0.68	13.6	16.0	-2.34
Dwight Powell	50	51	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.03	-2	-12	10	18.0	17.6	0.41	15.6	13.5	2.13
Devin Harris	57	57	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.20	3	-17	20	17.4	18.6	-1.14	14.1	15.8	-1.71
Jose Juan Barea	45	45	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	-0.16	-2	-12	10	18.8	16.8	2.05	15.0	14.4	0.57
Dirk Nowitzki	62	64	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.10	-8	-6	-2	17.8	17.9	-0.06	14.3	15.8	-1.50
Raymond Felton	51	53	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	0.07	-17	3	-20	17.4	18.5	-1.07	15.4	13.7	1.67
Zaza Pachulia	60	58	-0.58	0.08	-0.66	-0.11	-16	2	-18	18.4	16.6	1.86	15.0	14.3	0.71
Wesley Matthews	69	68	-0.66	0.16	-0.82	-0.04	-21	7	-28	17.9	17.5	0.40	14.9	14.2	0.63

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Russell Westbrook	71	70	0.71	-0.21	0.93	0.01	24	-10	34	14.4	15.9	-1.47	18.2	16.3	1.97
Andre Roberson	53	53	0.69	-0.19	0.88	-0.07	26	-12	38	15.7	13.2	2.51	19.6	15.1	4.48
Steven Adams	69	69	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.05	15	-1	16	15.3	12.8	2.41	17.8	17.9	-0.14
Kevin Durant	77	77	0.42	0.08	0.35	0.04	13	1	12	14.1	18.4	-4.27	17.9	17.1	0.86
Serge Ibaka	54	54	0.37	0.13	0.23	-0.04	14	0	14	15.6	13.4	2.13	18.4	17.0	1.42
Enes Kanter	21	21	0.09	0.41	-0.33	0.09	0	14	-14	14.1	14.9	-0.82	20.0	17.2	2.77
Nick Collison	22	22	0.05	0.45	-0.39	0.14	-3	17	-20	13.0	15.3	-2.28	14.9	18.8	-3.97
Anthony Morrow	1	0	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	-0.01	0	14	-14	3.0	14.9	-11.85	0.0	17.8	-17.84
Dion Waiters	44	42	-0.02	0.52	-0.53	0.16	-6	20	-26	14.3	15.1	-0.75	16.5	19.1	-2.61
Cameron Payne	11	11	-0.10	0.60	-0.71	0.07	-6	20	-26	17.5	14.3	3.22	15.4	18.2	-2.83
Randy Foye	22	21	-0.19	0.69	-0.89	0.01	-7	21	-28	13.7	15.1	-1.38	15.3	18.6	-3.29

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.58,0.58,0.63,0.66,0.68,0.7,0.69,0.73,0.72,0.72,0.71,0.75,0.71,0.71,0.72,0.64,0.64,0.61,0.56,0.64,0.7,0.62,0.6,0.69,0.64,0.76,0.77,0.75,0.76,0.89,0.86,0.92,0.87,0.85,0.79,0.76,0.73,0.69,0.89,0.93,0.81,0.93,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 94, ORL 96	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.54,0.5,0.59,0.65,0.64,0.69,0.68,0.75,0.74,0.73,0.72,0.74,0.72,0.67,0.65,0.69,0.66,0.61,0.61,0.64,0.59,0.61,0.7,0.65,0.6,0.7,0.73,0.81,0.77,0.71,0.78,0.73,0.82,0.92,0.9,0.92,0.79,0.68,0.73,0.74,0.84,0.87,0.85,0.95,0.78,0.85,1	94.2%
LAL 99, BKN 107	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.56,0.56,0.6,0.59,0.63,0.65,0.69,0.69,0.72,0.68,0.68,0.68,0.73,0.7,0.65,0.66,0.61,0.66,0.7,0.7,0.8,0.69,0.6,0.64,0.7,0.79,0.77,0.77,0.81,0.82,0.8,0.79,0.9,0.95,0.91,0.91,0.85,0.83,0.89,0.91,0.81,0.89,0.94,0.96,1	93.8%
GSW 104, IND 116	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.56,0.59,0.63,0.63,0.67,0.62,0.64,0.66,0.66,0.69,0.69,0.65,0.66,0.63,0.64,0.59,0.57,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.6,0.6,0.69,0.67,0.79,0.84,0.88,0.82,0.85,0.9,0.82,0.74,0.8,0.79,0.89,0.77,0.83,0.85,0.95,0.97,0.93,0.89,0.99,1	93.7%