NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Golden State Warriors	104		Excitement	5.8 [611]		MVP	Antawn Jamison (GSW): +13.0%
Indiana Pacers	116		Comeback	1.0 [1164]		LVP	Erick Dampier (GSW): -15.3%

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Antawn Jamison	0.13	0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.14,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.15	0.01	0.03	22	69%	0.19	2	-0.06	4	50%	-0.01
Adonal Foyle	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.05	0.01	0.01	5	83%	0.08	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
Troy Murphy	0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.03	0.03	0.01	8	78%	0.13	3	-0.08	2	100%	0.01
Mike Dunleavy	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	2	33%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Earl Boykins	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	8	47%	-0.03	1	-0.04	3	100%	0.02
Jason Richardson	-0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08	-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	14	45%	-0.02	2	-0.06	3	100%	0.02
Bob Sura	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.08	-0.02	-0.01	3	12%	-0.07	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02
Gilbert Arenas	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.05	-0.05	0.00	11	57%	0.03	4	-0.13	6	100%	0.04
Erick Dampier	-0.15	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.11	-0.04	0.00	7	28%	-0.11	2	-0.05	4	75%	-0.00

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Reggie Miller	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.14	0.01	0.02	10	84%	0.14	1	-0.02	5	100%	0.01
Metta World Peace	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.16	0.00	0.04	7	96%	0.15	1	-0.03	10	90%	0.03
Jermaine O'Neal	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.05	0.03	0.02	19	55%	0.06	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.04
Ron Mercer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.02	0.04	-0.01	9	44%	0.07	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jamaal Tinsley	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.01	-0.02	6	75%	0.10	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Jonathan Bender	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	-0.00	-0.00	6	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Al Harrington	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.02	-0.01	8	44%	0.03	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
Erick Strickland	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Foster	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	3	33%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Brad Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	9	54%	-0.01	2	-0.04	10	90%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.1	2.5	26.5	15.5	20.3	1.7	36.0	128.5
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +41.3%

GSW -4.8%

GSW -5.4%

IND +20.7%

GSW -1.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	GSW	IND	NBA	GSW	IND	NBA
this game	15.3	15.5	15.5	113.0	122.1	101.6
season	14.6	15.4		105.3	102.2
opponent	15.5	15.1		99.2	106.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
GSW	14.5	15.5	15.7	15.9	15.3
IND	11.8	15.8	17.0	18.2	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Adonal Foyle	43	44	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	-0.09	3	-15	18	15.6	15.1	0.48	17.4	13.7	3.69
Mike Dunleavy	15	16	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.05	1	-13	14	14.5	15.5	-0.97	15.2	15.5	-0.24
Earl Boykins	46	47	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	-0.33	8	-20	28	16.4	14.3	2.04	17.9	13.0	4.92
Bob Sura	34	35	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.20	0	-12	12	16.0	15.0	0.99	16.8	14.7	2.13
Erick Dampier	39	41	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	0.04	-12	0	-12	15.0	15.6	-0.65	12.8	17.5	-4.74
Jason Richardson	49	50	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	0.01	-14	2	-16	15.1	15.6	-0.53	15.3	15.6	-0.36
Antawn Jamison	87	89	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.12	-12	0	-12	15.3	16.0	-0.69	15.2	18.5	-3.25
Troy Murphy	80	82	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.07	-14	2	-16	15.3	15.6	-0.27	15.5	14.8	0.70
Gilbert Arenas	67	71	-0.51	0.01	-0.51	0.08	-20	8	-28	14.8	16.7	-1.88	13.8	20.4	-6.59

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brad Miller	69	68	0.60	-0.10	0.70	-0.05	22	-10	32	14.4	18.2	-3.82	14.8	17.0	-2.24
Jamaal Tinsley	74	72	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.11	13	-1	14	14.6	18.4	-3.76	15.2	15.7	-0.45
Metta World Peace	63	62	0.45	0.05	0.39	0.01	15	-3	18	14.0	18.3	-4.31	15.3	15.5	-0.28
Reggie Miller	53	51	0.44	0.06	0.37	0.05	13	-1	14	15.3	15.6	-0.26	15.1	15.6	-0.52
Jermaine O'Neal	73	70	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.06	12	0	12	15.0	16.9	-1.90	15.3	15.4	-0.02
Al Harrington	49	46	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.16	1	11	-10	17.3	13.5	3.83	15.5	15.2	0.35
Ron Mercer	44	41	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.23	-3	15	-18	17.4	13.7	3.69	15.7	15.0	0.69
Jonathan Bender	25	25	-0.01	0.51	-0.53	0.05	-2	14	-16	16.8	15.0	1.83	16.9	14.8	2.10
Erick Strickland	11	11	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	0.05	-5	17	-22	17.3	15.2	2.06	14.7	15.4	-0.70
Jeff Foster	14	14	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	0.08	-6	18	-24	17.7	15.1	2.65	16.0	15.2	0.77

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.56,0.59,0.63,0.63,0.67,0.62,0.64,0.66,0.66,0.69,0.69,0.65,0.66,0.63,0.64,0.59,0.57,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.6,0.6,0.69,0.67,0.79,0.84,0.88,0.82,0.85,0.9,0.82,0.74,0.8,0.79,0.89,0.77,0.83,0.85,0.95,0.97,0.93,0.89,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
IND 75, NYK 85	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.59,0.57,0.57,0.58,0.61,0.55,0.56,0.55,0.62,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.56,0.64,0.62,0.69,0.7,0.61,0.59,0.61,0.64,0.61,0.67,0.62,0.64,0.64,0.61,0.7,0.77,0.77,0.87,0.83,0.8,0.87,0.87,0.81,0.82,0.83,0.77,0.83,0.8,0.94,0.98,0.98,0.98,1,1	94.4%
MIL 85, POR 102	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.59,0.64,0.69,0.69,0.62,0.66,0.57,0.6,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.58,0.56,0.61,0.61,0.67,0.61,0.61,0.63,0.57,0.6,0.65,0.75,0.76,0.82,0.8,0.92,0.9,0.94,0.88,0.78,0.81,0.82,0.87,0.81,0.92,0.96,0.95,0.99,0.99,1,1,1	94.2%
GSW 101, LAL 109	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.62,0.56,0.6,0.61,0.65,0.6,0.52,0.56,0.63,0.7,0.68,0.65,0.71,0.67,0.7,0.73,0.71,0.64,0.56,0.61,0.58,0.65,0.66,0.67,0.73,0.79,0.79,0.87,0.91,0.9,0.91,0.87,0.74,0.82,0.86,0.92,0.9,0.94,0.96,0.9,0.95,0.99,0.96,0.98,1	94.1%