NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	75		Excitement	5.8 [624]		MVP	Chris Copeland (NYK): +11.5%
New York Knicks	85		Comeback	1.0 [1102]		LVP	Lance Stephenson (IND): -12.9%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Paul George	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.11,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03	-0.01	0.01	-0.03	18	50%	0.11	4	-0.08	10	70%	-0.02
Sam Young	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
D.J. Augustin	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	9	52%	0.01	2	-0.05	5	60%	-0.02
Ian Mahinmi	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	2	62%	0.02	2	-0.06	4	25%	-0.05
Roy Hibbert	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	7	50%	0.05	3	-0.09	4	75%	-0.00
David West	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.08	-0.00	-0.04	17	42%	-0.00	3	-0.04	6	50%	-0.01
Tyler Hansbrough	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.00	3	0%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Gerald Green	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.01,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.05	-0.04	0.01	5	50%	-0.00	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Lance Stephenson	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.08	-0.01	0.05	7	22%	-0.09	1	-0.04	4	50%	-0.04

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Copeland	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.09	0.03	-0.00	6	93%	0.16	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
J.R. Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.01	0.04	-0.02	11	48%	0.08	2	-0.03	5	80%	-0.01
Carmelo Anthony	0,0,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.04	0.06	-0.02	28	47%	0.13	3	-0.08	4	75%	-0.00
Kenyon Martin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	2	87%	0.07	1	-0.03	4	75%	-0.00
Pablo Prigioni	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.01	-0.00	2	75%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyson Chandler	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.03	0.03	-0.02	4	25%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Raymond Felton	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	14	43%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steve Novak	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Amar'e Stoudemire	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	0.00	0	100%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Jason Kidd	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Iman Shumpert	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.09	-0.02	0.01	10	25%	-0.09	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.9	4.3	35.9	18.5	31.3	2.8	36.0	155.7
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +33.3%

NYK +5.6%

IND -9.8%

NYK +21.2%

IND -0.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	NYK	NBA	IND	NYK	NBA
this game	15.9	16.9	15.4	85.2	96.6	104.1
season	16.1	16.2		102.4	107.9
opponent	15.5	15.5		103.8	99.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	15.7	17.2	16.2	14.3	15.9
NYK	15.6	15.5	17.3	19.3	16.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Gerald Green	23	24	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.17	5	-15	20	13.7	16.6	-2.92	18.8	16.2	2.64
Tyler Hansbrough	17	18	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.09	2	-12	14	15.9	15.8	0.11	17.8	16.6	1.20
Roy Hibbert	54	53	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	-0.18	0	-10	10	16.4	14.9	1.48	18.1	15.0	3.07
Sam Young	27	28	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.06	-9	-1	-8	17.3	15.2	2.03	14.7	17.9	-3.17
Ian Mahinmi	34	35	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	-0.03	-10	0	-10	14.9	16.4	-1.48	15.0	18.1	-3.07
D.J. Augustin	71	69	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	-0.16	-6	-4	-2	16.0	15.4	0.55	17.0	16.5	0.51
Paul George	79	80	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	-0.16	-8	-2	-6	15.4	19.8	-4.37	17.1	14.9	2.20
Lance Stephenson	64	63	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.08	-12	2	-14	16.5	14.2	2.26	16.7	17.2	-0.51
David West	71	70	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.12	-12	2	-14	15.8	15.9	-0.11	16.6	17.8	-1.20

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Raymond Felton	68	68	0.44	0.06	0.39	0.24	7	3	4	17.2	15.8	1.39	15.5	16.9	-1.36
J.R. Smith	67	67	0.42	0.08	0.35	0.19	8	2	6	17.0	16.6	0.34	15.2	17.9	-2.70
Carmelo Anthony	78	77	0.40	0.10	0.31	0.23	6	4	2	17.1	15.5	1.55	15.6	17.5	-1.94
Kenyon Martin	37	36	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.10	8	2	6	15.8	17.6	-1.84	17.1	15.0	2.13
Iman Shumpert	47	48	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.08	8	2	6	17.8	15.9	1.91	15.6	16.2	-0.64
Chris Copeland	37	37	0.16	0.34	-0.19	0.10	2	8	-6	15.8	17.7	-1.93	15.9	15.8	0.16
Pablo Prigioni	32	34	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.05	3	7	-4	16.7	17.0	-0.34	17.9	14.6	3.26
Amar'e Stoudemire	12	12	0.10	0.40	-0.30	-0.02	4	6	-2	15.2	17.1	-1.98	17.6	15.6	2.00
Tyson Chandler	48	50	0.10	0.40	-0.31	0.10	0	10	-10	18.2	15.2	3.03	15.4	16.5	-1.14
Steve Novak	3	1	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.01	2	8	-6	8.0	17.2	-9.19	11.0	15.9	-4.91
Jason Kidd	11	10	0.02	0.48	-0.45	-0.03	2	8	-6	15.6	17.1	-1.42	14.7	16.0	-1.30

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.59,0.57,0.57,0.58,0.61,0.55,0.56,0.55,0.62,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.56,0.64,0.62,0.69,0.7,0.61,0.59,0.61,0.64,0.61,0.67,0.62,0.64,0.64,0.61,0.7,0.77,0.77,0.87,0.83,0.8,0.87,0.87,0.81,0.82,0.83,0.77,0.83,0.8,0.94,0.98,0.98,0.98,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
IND 96, WAS 107	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.57,0.56,0.6,0.59,0.59,0.55,0.59,0.58,0.56,0.54,0.53,0.56,0.58,0.62,0.72,0.7,0.69,0.69,0.64,0.61,0.64,0.7,0.65,0.66,0.7,0.69,0.7,0.71,0.78,0.76,0.72,0.78,0.82,0.78,0.85,0.82,0.89,0.9,0.74,0.85,0.97,0.9,0.96,0.99,1,1	94.9%
TOR 91, MIA 103	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.6,0.6,0.64,0.65,0.67,0.7,0.58,0.61,0.66,0.67,0.73,0.75,0.74,0.72,0.66,0.64,0.73,0.74,0.83,0.84,0.83,0.84,0.87,0.87,0.92,0.88,0.83,0.81,0.86,0.95,0.97,0.99,0.98,1,1,1	94.4%
GSW 104, IND 116	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.56,0.59,0.63,0.63,0.67,0.62,0.64,0.66,0.66,0.69,0.69,0.65,0.66,0.63,0.64,0.59,0.57,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.6,0.6,0.69,0.67,0.79,0.84,0.88,0.82,0.85,0.9,0.82,0.74,0.8,0.79,0.89,0.77,0.83,0.85,0.95,0.97,0.93,0.89,0.99,1	94.4%