NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	96		Excitement	5.5 [694]		MVP	Kwame Brown (WAS): +15.6%
Washington Wizards	107		Comeback	1.0 [1192]		LVP	Metta World Peace (IND): -9.2%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Fred Jones	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.07	0.02	0.00	2	100%	0.09	0	0.00	6	100%	0.03
Al Harrington	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.02	-0.02	-0.05	14	66%	0.16	4	-0.11	4	75%	0.04
Jeff Foster	0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.05	-0.01	0.01	8	62%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Miller	0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.06	0.01	0.05	9	62%	0.02	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Primoz Brezec	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Johnson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.01	7	57%	0.01	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jamaal Tinsley	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.02	10	35%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Austin Croshere	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.08	-0.01	-0.00	4	0%	-0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jermaine O'Neal	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.04	-0.04	0.01	13	43%	-0.07	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Metta World Peace	-0.09	0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.04,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09	-0.05	-0.01	0.03	11	54%	-0.01	3	-0.08	6	83%	0.01

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kwame Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.16	0.16	0.12	0.06	0.03	12	74%	0.16	0	0.00	10	90%	0.03
Brendan Haywood	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.07	0.01	-0.00	5	80%	0.08	0	0.00	5	80%	0.01
Juan Dixon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.05	0.02	0.00	4	80%	0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Steve Blake	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.06	0.02	0.02	6	72%	0.06	0	0.00	13	92%	0.02
Christian Laettner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.05	0.03	-0.07	4	25%	0.00	1	0.05	0	0%	0.00
Brevin Knight	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.01	6	57%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jarvis Hayes	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.02	0.00	6	50%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Torraye Braggs	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mitchell Butler	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jared Jeffries	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	4	40%	-0.01	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Etan Thomas	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	9	44%	-0.02	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Larry Hughes	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.09,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.05	-0.04	-0.00	14	46%	-0.06	1	-0.02	7	43%	-0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.2	2.6	29.4	16.4	27.6	1.8	34.0	136.9
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

WAS +22.6%

IND -1.3%

WAS +6.3%

WAS +18.9%

WAS +3.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	WAS	NBA	IND	WAS	NBA
this game	15.9	16.7	15.7	109.1	120.2	100.5
season	16.7	15.2		101.1	96.4
opponent	15.3	15.7		102.4	94.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	17.5	15.5	14.5	16.0	15.9
WAS	14.6	17.2	19.1	16.0	16.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jamaal Tinsley	44	46	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	0.01	-2	-9	7	15.4	16.4	-1.00	17.5	15.8	1.75
Primoz Brezec	2	2	-0.06	-0.44	0.37	0.05	-4	-7	3	16.0	15.9	0.14	15.5	16.7	-1.20
Reggie Miller	55	55	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.06	-5	-6	1	15.1	17.1	-2.01	16.5	17.0	-0.53
Fred Jones	23	24	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	-0.06	-6	-5	-1	16.9	15.5	1.36	17.7	16.3	1.36
Austin Croshere	17	18	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	0.01	-9	-2	-7	18.4	15.3	3.09	17.6	16.5	1.10
Metta World Peace	77	78	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.21	-2	-9	7	15.8	16.3	-0.47	16.2	20.0	-3.79
Jermaine O'Neal	70	71	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	-0.18	-4	-7	3	15.5	17.3	-1.85	17.0	15.6	1.40
Jeff Foster	44	43	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	-0.05	-9	-2	-7	16.5	15.3	1.18	16.9	16.5	0.36
Al Harrington	64	65	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.21	-5	-6	1	15.6	16.7	-1.10	16.4	17.4	-1.02
Anthony Johnson	44	43	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.19	-9	-2	-7	16.4	15.4	1.00	15.8	17.5	-1.75

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Steve Blake	44	42	0.32	0.18	0.15	0.18	5	6	-1	16.1	17.2	-1.15	15.8	15.9	-0.06
Etan Thomas	50	50	0.30	0.20	0.11	0.04	9	2	7	15.4	18.3	-2.95	15.5	16.4	-0.93
Larry Hughes	53	53	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.11	6	5	1	17.3	15.8	1.51	16.3	15.2	1.05
Jared Jeffries	27	25	0.27	0.23	0.03	-0.03	10	1	9	17.9	16.1	1.80	14.9	16.2	-1.32
Juan Dixon	24	21	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.07	5	6	-1	18.0	16.2	1.82	17.8	15.3	2.56
Jarvis Hayes	45	49	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.11	3	8	-5	17.3	16.0	1.33	16.9	14.5	2.43
Brendan Haywood	37	37	0.20	0.30	-0.11	0.17	1	10	-9	18.9	15.1	3.80	16.3	15.5	0.79
Brevin Knight	45	46	0.18	0.32	-0.15	0.00	6	5	1	17.2	16.1	1.15	15.9	15.8	0.06
Kwame Brown	72	71	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.20	-1	12	-13	16.2	18.8	-2.66	15.0	19.6	-4.62
Christian Laettner	10	10	0.16	0.34	-0.17	0.02	5	6	-1	17.7	16.5	1.16	19.7	15.4	4.33
Mitchell Butler	25	23	0.14	0.36	-0.21	0.03	4	7	-3	14.2	17.7	-3.50	15.1	16.1	-1.05
Torraye Braggs	13	13	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.00	2	9	-7	12.4	17.4	-5.02	12.3	16.5	-4.17

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.57,0.56,0.6,0.59,0.59,0.55,0.59,0.58,0.56,0.54,0.53,0.56,0.58,0.62,0.72,0.7,0.69,0.69,0.64,0.61,0.64,0.7,0.65,0.66,0.7,0.69,0.7,0.71,0.78,0.76,0.72,0.78,0.82,0.78,0.85,0.82,0.89,0.9,0.74,0.85,0.97,0.9,0.96,0.99,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
IND 75, NYK 85	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.59,0.57,0.57,0.58,0.61,0.55,0.56,0.55,0.62,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.56,0.64,0.62,0.69,0.7,0.61,0.59,0.61,0.64,0.61,0.67,0.62,0.64,0.64,0.61,0.7,0.77,0.77,0.87,0.83,0.8,0.87,0.87,0.81,0.82,0.83,0.77,0.83,0.8,0.94,0.98,0.98,0.98,1,1	94.9%
SAS 95, POR 108	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.56,0.56,0.6,0.5,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.62,0.56,0.58,0.67,0.72,0.66,0.59,0.58,0.61,0.64,0.63,0.66,0.69,0.7,0.64,0.61,0.68,0.68,0.72,0.7,0.81,0.79,0.81,0.84,0.88,0.89,0.91,0.89,0.85,0.9,0.95,0.99,1,1,1	94.9%
NOH 86, BOS 95	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.58,0.55,0.57,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.66,0.58,0.58,0.63,0.61,0.66,0.71,0.64,0.7,0.61,0.63,0.71,0.67,0.64,0.67,0.64,0.65,0.78,0.75,0.8,0.86,0.82,0.74,0.74,0.86,0.89,0.88,0.86,0.85,0.91,0.93,1,1,1,1	94.7%