NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	90		Excitement	8.5 [103]		MVP	Tony Delk (GSW): +16.4%
Golden State Warriors	94		Comeback	1.4 [335]		LVP	Bimbo Coles (GSW): -29.2%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tom Gugliotta	0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.17,0.17,0.08	0.00	0.08	-0.00	18	50%	0.08	0	0.00	8	75%	-0.00
Chris Morris	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.01	0.02	-0.00	3	50%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luc Longley	0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.02	0.01	7	56%	0.03	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Clifford Robinson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.00	-0.03	-0.01	15	50%	0.02	1	-0.04	4	75%	0.01
Shawn Respert	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.06	0.00	-0.02	3	14%	-0.02	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Danny Manning	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.07	-0.02	-0.00	8	24%	-0.09	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.03
Rex Chapman	-0.14	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,-0.14,-0.14	-0.03	-0.11	0.01	15	41%	-0.14	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Jason Kidd	-0.18	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.16,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.14	-0.06	-0.02	8	38%	-0.06	3	-0.13	10	80%	0.00
George McCloud	-0.22	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.22	-0.05	-0.16	0.01	13	36%	-0.22	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tony Delk	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.09	0.08	0.00	7	79%	0.16	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Mills	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.11	0.01	0.03	9	78%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Terry Cummings	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08	0.08	-0.03	0.10	-0.01	5	50%	0.10	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.04
Donyell Marshall	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.15,0.15,0.15,0,0.02	0.02	0.04	-0.03	-0.00	10	68%	0.22	2	-0.20	2	100%	0.02
Adonal Foyle	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Caffey	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.12	-0.01	-0.02	2	42%	-0.05	3	-0.07	8	62%	-0.02
Antawn Jamison	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.06,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.08	-0.04	-0.01	8	46%	-0.04	2	-0.08	8	37%	-0.10
John Starks	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,0,0,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.14	-0.14	-0.07	-0.07	0.00	18	37%	-0.14	0	0.00	4	0%	-0.18
Erick Dampier	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22	-0.22	-0.12	-0.10	0.00	8	50%	-0.05	4	-0.17	12	67%	-0.01
Bimbo Coles	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.29	-0.29	-0.14	-0.17	-0.02	6	17%	-0.04	4	-0.25	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.5	2.6	28.0	15.8	30.1	2.4	34.5	140.0
league avg	26.9	3.0	42.0	16.0	26.3	2.2	45.7	163.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

GSW +84.5%

PHX -9.9%

GSW +34.5%

PHX -60.7%

GSW +1.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	GSW	NBA	PHX	GSW	NBA
this game	15.3	15.4	15.8	95.7	100.0	99.6
season	15.3	15.9		102.7	95.1
opponent	15.5	15.9		98.1	101.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	17.4	13.1	14.8	15.8	15.3
GSW	13.2	17.7	15.2	15.5	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Luc Longley	40	40	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	-0.13	3	-7	10	16.0	14.7	1.38	15.3	15.4	-0.10
Chris Morris	22	23	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	0.07	-5	1	-6	13.0	15.9	-2.89	17.5	14.7	2.77
Shawn Respert	11	10	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	0.07	-6	2	-8	15.5	15.2	0.33	10.3	16.0	-5.69
Danny Manning	39	37	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.04	-9	5	-14	13.6	16.5	-2.89	15.8	15.1	0.66
Rex Chapman	68	67	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	-0.37	2	-6	8	15.0	15.9	-0.92	15.6	15.0	0.59
Jason Kidd	87	87	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.45	3	-7	10	15.1	17.1	-2.04	15.6	12.1	3.50
George McCloud	61	62	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.39	0	-4	4	16.6	12.8	3.76	15.3	15.6	-0.27
Tom Gugliotta	83	83	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	-0.28	-5	1	-6	15.6	13.0	2.55	14.5	22.1	-7.60
Clifford Robinson	59	61	-0.48	-0.02	-0.47	-0.40	-3	-1	-2	15.3	15.1	0.22	16.0	14.3	1.66

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Donyell Marshall	45	42	0.61	-0.11	0.71	0.37	8	-4	12	14.7	16.0	-1.25	15.0	15.4	-0.38
Terry Cummings	34	32	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.33	6	-2	8	16.9	14.5	2.44	12.0	16.9	-4.89
John Starks	67	67	0.43	0.07	0.35	0.28	5	-1	6	14.3	18.0	-3.62	16.1	13.1	3.06
Chris Mills	69	68	0.38	0.12	0.25	0.29	3	1	2	15.8	14.1	1.72	15.6	14.3	1.26
Bimbo Coles	54	52	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.25	4	0	4	15.2	15.6	-0.42	13.3	17.7	-4.45
Antawn Jamison	53	53	0.21	0.29	-0.09	0.21	0	4	-4	15.8	14.8	0.98	13.7	17.3	-3.57
Tony Delk	40	42	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.13	0	4	-4	15.6	15.2	0.42	17.7	13.3	4.45
Adonal Foyle	7	8	0.01	0.49	-0.49	0.04	-1	5	-6	18.6	15.1	3.44	13.0	15.5	-2.47
Erick Dampier	60	63	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.00	0	4	-4	14.8	16.4	-1.57	16.7	12.4	4.23
Jason Caffey	41	43	-0.13	0.63	-0.75	0.02	-5	9	-14	15.5	15.3	0.14	16.2	14.4	1.80

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.52,0.52,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.63,0.67,0.73,0.75,0.76,0.68,0.64,0.69,0.58,0.61,0.64,0.56,0.54,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.58,0.63,0.58,0.52,0.58,0.61,0.68,0.73,0.66,0.71,0.64,0.66,0.7,0.79,0.75,0.68,0.69,0.76,0.73,0.9,0.85,0.57,0.85,1
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 100, ORL 105	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.5,0.54,0.6,0.65,0.57,0.67,0.7,0.68,0.76,0.72,0.68,0.72,0.75,0.69,0.66,0.65,0.56,0.64,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.63,0.69,0.63,0.67,0.64,0.71,0.75,0.65,0.66,0.69,0.71,0.64,0.62,0.7,0.71,0.8,0.81,0.7,0.67,0.72,0.76,0.79,0.69,0.95,1	93.3%
SAS 101, DAL 105	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.61,0.6,0.6,0.61,0.65,0.63,0.55,0.56,0.65,0.68,0.69,0.69,0.62,0.65,0.56,0.59,0.61,0.56,0.58,0.56,0.5,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.61,0.64,0.65,0.52,0.59,0.6,0.67,0.72,0.74,0.74,0.75,0.8,0.68,0.64,0.75,0.87,0.98,0.93,0.84,0.85,1	92.0%
CHA 81, CHI 86	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.62,0.61,0.63,0.63,0.6,0.58,0.63,0.62,0.72,0.67,0.67,0.65,0.61,0.58,0.6,0.56,0.46,0.4,0.42,0.4,0.48,0.52,0.57,0.61,0.62,0.71,0.66,0.56,0.63,0.64,0.62,0.57,0.62,0.72,0.68,0.59,0.71,0.78,0.76,0.84,0.78,0.84,1	91.8%