NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Bobcats	81		Excitement	7.7 [294]		MVP	Luol Deng (CHI): +33.1%
Chicago Bulls	86		Comeback	1.6 [1075]		LVP	Michael Kidd-Gilchrist (CHA): -18.3%

Charlotte Bobcats
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jeff Taylor	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.04	0.10	-0.00	18	56%	0.22	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Gerald Henderson	0.12	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.15,-0.06,-0.12,-0.1,0.06,0.12	-0.02	0.14	-0.00	15	47%	0.21	2	-0.09	4	100%	0.07
Bismack Biyombo	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.06	0.00	0.01	2	100%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jeff Adrien	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.00	4	60%	0.02	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.05
Cody Zeller	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	8	37%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Josh McRoberts	-0.08	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.04	-0.07	-0.03	14	39%	-0.02	1	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Kemba Walker	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11	-0.09	-0.02	-0.00	14	27%	-0.11	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Ramon Sessions	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.11	-0.02	-0.00	9	18%	-0.13	0	0.00	4	0%	-0.06
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist	-0.18	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.14	-0.05	-0.01	7	25%	-0.07	4	-0.11	2	0%	-0.06

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Luol Deng	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.33	0.33	0.08	0.23	-0.02	10	66%	0.36	2	-0.03	12	83%	0.02
Jimmy Butler	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.13	0.00	0.03	6	82%	0.11	0	0.00	5	80%	0.02
Derrick Rose	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.08	0.11	-0.02	13	40%	0.13	3	-0.09	4	75%	0.01
Joakim Noah	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.05	0.03	-0.02	11	42%	0.04	2	-0.03	4	75%	-0.00
Nazr Mohammed	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike Dunleavy	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.02	-0.00	6	57%	0.03	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.02
Taj Gibson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.07	0.03	-0.01	6	43%	0.06	3	-0.09	2	100%	0.02
Kirk Hinrich	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	5	20%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Carlos Boozer	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.25,-0.28,-0.18,-0.18,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.15	0.03	-0.01	17	33%	0.02	4	-0.12	2	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.1	1.8	26.7	15.4	28.3	1.7	35.0	134.1
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +28.2%

CHI +25.5%

CHI +2.4%

CHA -7.1%

CHI +0.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHA	CHI	NBA	CHA	CHI	NBA
this game	16.2	15.0	15.1	88.0	92.5	105.2
season	15.7	16.3		102.4	101.1
opponent	15.3	15.1		99.6	103.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHA	14.7	16.7	16.2	17.4	16.2
CHI	15.3	16.0	12.6	16.1	15.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Bobcats
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ramon Sessions	39	40	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.20	5	-10	15	14.3	17.6	-3.30	15.1	14.8	0.25
Jeff Adrien	53	52	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.31	8	-13	21	15.8	16.7	-0.97	15.3	14.5	0.75
Cody Zeller	38	39	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.15	0	-5	5	14.2	17.6	-3.45	15.4	14.6	0.78
Jeff Taylor	65	64	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	-0.34	6	-11	17	15.5	17.9	-2.46	15.4	13.9	1.49
Josh McRoberts	54	54	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.20	-5	0	-5	17.6	14.2	3.45	14.6	15.4	-0.78
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist	48	50	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	-0.06	-12	7	-19	17.1	15.2	1.88	14.7	15.2	-0.47
Kemba Walker	67	67	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	-0.21	-7	2	-9	16.2	16.0	0.20	14.6	15.9	-1.29
Bismack Biyombo	39	41	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.05	-13	8	-21	16.7	15.8	0.97	14.5	15.3	-0.75
Gerald Henderson	57	58	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	-0.25	-7	2	-9	17.5	14.1	3.43	14.9	15.0	-0.02

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Luol Deng	78	76	0.60	-0.10	0.70	0.22	13	-8	21	14.6	16.9	-2.36	15.7	18.4	-2.73
Carlos Boozer	64	63	0.48	0.01	0.47	0.34	5	0	5	15.3	14.2	1.04	16.6	15.3	1.33
Joakim Noah	66	65	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.32	4	1	3	15.1	14.7	0.36	17.5	13.0	4.46
Kirk Hinrich	51	50	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.39	0	5	-5	15.2	14.6	0.62	15.0	17.6	-2.60
Derrick Rose	57	56	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.25	3	2	1	14.9	15.1	-0.21	17.4	14.3	3.09
Jimmy Butler	40	40	0.31	0.19	0.11	0.07	8	-3	11	15.2	14.8	0.38	18.5	14.4	4.18
Taj Gibson	41	41	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.07	0	5	-5	14.4	15.4	-0.93	14.2	17.8	-3.63
Nazr Mohammed	15	15	0.01	0.49	-0.48	-0.02	1	4	-3	14.5	15.0	-0.51	14.3	16.6	-2.29
Mike Dunleavy	53	54	-0.14	0.64	-0.78	0.12	-9	14	-23	15.2	14.7	0.49	14.9	17.9	-3.00

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.62,0.61,0.63,0.63,0.6,0.58,0.63,0.62,0.72,0.67,0.67,0.65,0.61,0.58,0.6,0.56,0.46,0.4,0.42,0.4,0.48,0.52,0.57,0.61,0.62,0.71,0.66,0.56,0.63,0.64,0.62,0.57,0.62,0.72,0.68,0.59,0.71,0.78,0.76,0.84,0.78,0.84,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 73, SAS 80	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.59,0.62,0.57,0.59,0.61,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.65,0.66,0.68,0.73,0.67,0.63,0.59,0.58,0.48,0.39,0.44,0.46,0.5,0.49,0.57,0.69,0.58,0.67,0.61,0.62,0.55,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.57,0.71,0.72,0.63,0.64,0.71,0.72,0.85,0.88,0.68,0.92,1	93.4%
ATL 86, BKN 91	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.5,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.57,0.6,0.55,0.62,0.65,0.64,0.62,0.64,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.64,0.59,0.61,0.51,0.44,0.33,0.35,0.4,0.52,0.64,0.73,0.59,0.59,0.56,0.66,0.63,0.68,0.7,0.74,0.66,0.8,0.81,0.69,0.71,0.73,0.75,0.85,0.95,0.85,1	93.3%
PHI 78, NYK 85	0.5,0.51,0.58,0.61,0.57,0.56,0.56,0.6,0.57,0.6,0.63,0.58,0.62,0.63,0.58,0.6,0.64,0.67,0.63,0.58,0.56,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.41,0.42,0.37,0.46,0.55,0.58,0.64,0.65,0.58,0.48,0.48,0.56,0.64,0.66,0.74,0.7,0.62,0.58,0.69,0.71,0.73,0.68,0.84,0.89,0.98,1	93.2%