NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	86		Excitement	7.4 [344]		MVP	Mirza Teletovic (BKN): +22.7%
Brooklyn Nets	91		Comeback	2.2 [600]		LVP	Jeff Teague (ATL): -22.6%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mike Scott	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.05	0.07	0.00	7	60%	0.12	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Elton Brand	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.06	0.02	0.00	5	83%	0.11	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Cartier Martin	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeMarre Carroll	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.02	-0.03	0.00	9	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Shelvin Mack	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	5	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Pero Antic	-0.04	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04	-0.00	-0.03	0.01	6	57%	0.03	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Kyle Korver	-0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	0.00	-0.06	0.01	5	50%	-0.00	1	-0.07	4	100%	0.02
Louis Williams	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	6	36%	-0.01	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.02
Paul Millsap	-0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,-0.09,-0.09	-0.03	-0.07	-0.01	12	53%	0.02	4	-0.11	6	100%	0.04
Jeff Teague	-0.23	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.16,-0.16,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.18,-0.18,-0.23,-0.31,-0.2,-0.23	-0.14	-0.09	-0.01	15	43%	0.05	7	-0.27	7	71%	-0.01

Brooklyn Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mirza Teletovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.23	0.23	0.09	0.14	0.00	12	67%	0.25	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Shaun Livingston	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.04	0.05	-0.01	11	55%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Garnett	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	2	67%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Reggie Evans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.02	0.00	1	50%	0.02	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.05
Joe Johnson	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.1,-0.01,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.03	-0.00	22	50%	0.17	3	-0.16	2	100%	0.01
Alan Anderson	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	12	47%	0.03	1	-0.02	6	67%	-0.02
Andray Blatche	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	3	43%	0.01	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Andrei Kirilenko	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	3	50%	0.02	2	-0.05	10	60%	-0.03
Jason Terry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.08	-0.01	-0.01	5	0%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Paul Pierce	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.07	-0.10	0.02	9	43%	-0.06	3	-0.12	3	67%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.8	2.4	31.5	15.4	26.6	2.5	35.4	139.6
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BKN +43.9%

ATL -26.2%

BKN +12.0%

BKN +18.5%

BKN +1.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	BKN	NBA	ATL	BKN	NBA
this game	16.4	16.3	15.1	98.9	102.2	105.2
season	14.8	15.7		103.8	105.1
opponent	15.5	15.3		106.7	104.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	15.2	15.9	19.9	15.6	16.4
BKN	12.5	18.4	18.1	17.1	16.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mike Scott	23	23	0.26	-0.76	1.03	0.06	7	-12	19	16.6	16.4	0.22	18.5	15.5	3.02
Louis Williams	37	37	0.16	-0.66	0.83	-0.10	9	-14	23	17.1	16.0	1.10	17.3	15.6	1.74
Shelvin Mack	23	24	0.10	-0.60	0.71	0.02	3	-8	11	16.9	16.3	0.63	15.2	16.7	-1.47
Elton Brand	51	52	-0.06	-0.44	0.39	-0.35	10	-15	25	17.5	14.9	2.61	16.7	15.6	1.13
Cartier Martin	9	9	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	0.03	-4	-1	-3	16.2	16.5	-0.25	10.4	16.9	-6.49
Pero Antic	36	37	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	-0.05	-13	8	-21	14.9	17.5	-2.61	15.6	16.7	-1.13
Kyle Korver	66	69	-0.56	0.06	-0.61	-0.29	-9	4	-13	16.3	16.8	-0.41	16.5	15.6	0.88
Jeff Teague	65	66	-0.57	0.07	-0.64	-0.36	-7	2	-9	16.2	17.3	-1.16	16.2	16.4	-0.21
DeMarre Carroll	62	64	-0.60	0.10	-0.69	-0.27	-11	6	-17	16.2	17.0	-0.83	16.5	15.7	0.84
Paul Millsap	64	66	-0.76	0.26	-1.03	-0.41	-12	7	-19	16.4	16.6	-0.22	15.5	18.5	-3.02

Brooklyn Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Alan Anderson	56	55	0.77	-0.27	1.05	0.30	16	-11	27	16.9	15.2	1.70	17.8	14.2	3.63
Shaun Livingston	65	65	0.73	-0.23	0.97	0.29	15	-10	25	15.3	19.0	-3.67	16.2	17.1	-0.92
Kevin Garnett	47	46	0.67	-0.17	0.85	0.38	10	-5	15	15.8	16.9	-1.09	16.8	16.1	0.66
Joe Johnson	69	67	0.56	-0.06	0.63	0.36	7	-2	9	15.9	17.7	-1.83	16.1	17.6	-1.56
Mirza Teletovic	43	42	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.36	2	3	-1	17.2	15.5	1.71	17.5	15.5	2.03
Andray Blatche	22	23	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	-0.00	-1	6	-7	14.5	16.9	-2.37	14.5	17.2	-2.68
Andrei Kirilenko	40	38	-0.06	0.56	-0.63	0.08	-5	10	-15	16.5	16.1	0.49	15.6	17.1	-1.54
Reggie Evans	20	18	-0.14	0.64	-0.78	-0.02	-4	9	-13	19.4	15.4	4.09	18.2	16.0	2.17
Paul Pierce	63	62	-0.16	0.66	-0.82	-0.04	-4	9	-13	16.1	16.6	-0.47	15.8	18.0	-2.23
Jason Terry	20	19	-0.26	0.76	-1.03	0.06	-11	16	-27	17.1	16.0	1.12	16.2	16.5	-0.37

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.5,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.57,0.6,0.55,0.62,0.65,0.64,0.62,0.64,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.64,0.59,0.61,0.51,0.44,0.33,0.35,0.4,0.52,0.64,0.73,0.59,0.59,0.56,0.66,0.63,0.68,0.7,0.74,0.66,0.8,0.81,0.69,0.71,0.73,0.75,0.85,0.95,0.85,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHA 81, CHI 86	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.62,0.61,0.63,0.63,0.6,0.58,0.63,0.62,0.72,0.67,0.67,0.65,0.61,0.58,0.6,0.56,0.46,0.4,0.42,0.4,0.48,0.52,0.57,0.61,0.62,0.71,0.66,0.56,0.63,0.64,0.62,0.57,0.62,0.72,0.68,0.59,0.71,0.78,0.76,0.84,0.78,0.84,1	93.3%
PHI 78, NYK 85	0.5,0.51,0.58,0.61,0.57,0.56,0.56,0.6,0.57,0.6,0.63,0.58,0.62,0.63,0.58,0.6,0.64,0.67,0.63,0.58,0.56,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.41,0.42,0.37,0.46,0.55,0.58,0.64,0.65,0.58,0.48,0.48,0.56,0.64,0.66,0.74,0.7,0.62,0.58,0.69,0.71,0.73,0.68,0.84,0.89,0.98,1	92.8%
MIL 108, NYK 114	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.57,0.58,0.56,0.62,0.63,0.59,0.63,0.62,0.64,0.68,0.72,0.71,0.71,0.71,0.65,0.68,0.66,0.56,0.56,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.43,0.51,0.58,0.64,0.67,0.65,0.55,0.66,0.73,0.67,0.6,0.78,0.74,0.79,0.76,0.91,0.9,0.71,0.67,0.75,0.89,0.94,0.96,1	92.7%