inpredictable
Powered by Blogger.
NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Toronto Raptors 102 Excitement7.4 [370] MVPDeMar DeRozan (TOR): +13.8%
Dallas Mavericks 91 Comeback2.3 [519] LVPDeMarre Carroll (TOR): -14.3%


Toronto Raptors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
DeMar DeRozan0.140,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.04,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.140.030.110.001359%0.213-0.078100%0.08
Luis Scola0.130,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.130.130.000.011373%0.1300.0000%0.00
Kyle Lowry0.110,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.21,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.110.140.020.051577%0.224-0.115100%0.02
Cory Joseph0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05-0.010.04-0.02360%0.082-0.034100%0.03
Jonas Valanciunas0.030,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03-0.010.02-0.021064%0.154-0.11580%0.00
Norman Powell0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.000.00-0.00250%0.0100.0000%0.00
Bismack Biyombo-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.040.00-0.01450%0.032-0.05250%-0.02
Patrick Patterson-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.09-0.01-0.0360%-0.0700.0000%0.00
Terrence Ross-0.090,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.08-0.03-0.01825%-0.071-0.0200%0.00
DeMarre Carroll-0.140,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14-0.09-0.06-0.01817%-0.1400.00250%-0.03

Dallas Mavericks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Dirk Nowitzki0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.2,0.17,0.17,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.15,0.15,0.26,0.2,0.16,0.16,0.11,0.11,0.110.110.12-0.05-0.051078%0.202-0.093100%0.02
Charlie Villanueva0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.010.02-0.00450%0.0300.0000%0.00
Justin Anderson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.000.000.00250%0.0000.0000%0.00
Salah Mejri00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Raymond Felton0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.050.03-0.00650%0.053-0.0700%0.00
Chandler Parsons0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.01-0.010.01656%0.012-0.04425%-0.04
Devin Harris0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.02-0.020.00841%-0.011-0.04650%-0.03
Zaza Pachulia0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.07-0.00-0.01440%0.003-0.062100%0.01
Wesley Matthews0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.02-0.05-0.02750%0.022-0.08250%-0.01
Jose Juan Barea0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.05-0.04-0.021036%-0.011-0.062100%0.02
Dwight Powell0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.06-0.03-0.011433%-0.0800.002100%0.01
Deron Williams0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.05-0.03-0.011538%-0.051-0.034100%0.04
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game28.22.431.515.325.52.737.2142.9
league avg24.52.329.515.826.72.333.5136.2
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
TOR +21.9%
TOR +14.1%
TOR +0.7%
TOR +11.1%
TOR +2.3%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsTORDALNBATORDALNBA
this game15.713.714.9104.192.9105.1
season16.115.5107.2105.0
opponent14.714.8106.5104.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
TOR15.516.217.414.115.7
DAL12.713.215.413.613.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Kyle Lowry75780.80-0.301.100.0725-143915.516.3-0.7613.813.30.46
Luis Scola63650.60-0.100.700.1615-41915.615.9-0.3013.613.7-0.05
Jonas Valanciunas69700.59-0.090.680.1216-52115.915.30.6413.314.6-1.37
DeMar DeRozan56570.460.040.430.1112-11316.115.20.8914.312.71.60
DeMarre Carroll68680.120.38-0.250.10110-915.915.30.6614.013.00.96
Terrence Ross47450.100.40-0.300.07110-915.815.60.2013.413.9-0.49
Cory Joseph43410.060.44-0.380.15-314-1715.416.0-0.6312.814.3-1.43
Norman Powell76-0.050.55-0.590.10-516-2113.315.9-2.638.814.0-5.14
Bismack Biyombo2727-0.090.59-0.68-0.00-314-1715.415.8-0.3915.013.11.90
Patrick Patterson3533-0.100.60-0.700.02-415-1915.915.60.3013.713.60.05

Dallas Mavericks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Dwight Powell52520.28-0.781.07-0.1013-243713.414.0-0.5516.514.81.65
Raymond Felton39390.01-0.510.520.07-2-9713.014.1-1.1016.315.31.01
Justin Anderson120.00-0.500.50-0.062-13154.013.8-9.7613.015.8-2.78
Salah Mejri120.00-0.500.50-0.062-13154.013.8-9.7613.015.8-2.78
Chandler Parsons2930-0.05-0.450.410.01-2-9712.914.0-1.0916.515.41.17
Jose Juan Barea4748-0.09-0.410.33-0.3810-213113.913.40.5215.316.1-0.77
Charlie Villanueva119-0.19-0.310.110.01-7-4-315.413.41.9214.115.9-1.78
Dirk Nowitzki7071-0.29-0.21-0.09-0.06-8-3-514.112.51.6315.915.40.49
Devin Harris5248-0.32-0.18-0.14-0.03-10-1-913.813.50.3915.316.1-0.77
Wesley Matthews5657-0.48-0.02-0.45-0.10-132-1514.113.10.9515.416.2-0.89
Deron Williams7474-0.580.08-0.66-0.05-187-2513.614.0-0.3915.715.8-0.09
Zaza Pachulia5858-0.800.30-1.09-0.15-2211-3313.513.9-0.3615.516.0-0.51


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.43,0.44,0.4,0.37,0.35,0.38,0.31,0.32,0.35,0.42,0.47,0.53,0.56,0.63,0.58,0.61,0.62,0.51,0.58,0.56,0.51,0.58,0.6,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.56,0.44,0.36,0.46,0.38,0.48,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.59,0.33,0.15,0.02,0.06,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
DAL 107, DEN 1040.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.52,0.43,0.39,0.36,0.41,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.42,0.52,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.56,0.6,0.57,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.5,0.38,0.34,0.42,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.42,0.59,0.46,0.33,0.19,0.02,0.03,0.04,092.0%
DEN 95, SAS 890.5,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.4,0.41,0.44,0.35,0.36,0.43,0.37,0.38,0.34,0.37,0.47,0.42,0.47,0.49,0.42,0.34,0.37,0.44,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.52,0.58,0.61,0.52,0.55,0.45,0.43,0.48,0.48,0.4,0.46,0.38,0.48,0.33,0.58,0.53,0.47,0.27,0.07,0.03,0.03,0,091.8%
HOU 100, ORL 950.5,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.4,0.41,0.4,0.4,0.39,0.35,0.33,0.34,0.32,0.34,0.4,0.42,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.48,0.42,0.39,0.44,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.58,0.45,0.55,0.52,0.56,0.48,0.36,0.42,0.48,0.57,0.58,0.63,0.53,0.46,0.29,0.25,0.11,0.1,0.01,091.8%