NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	100		Excitement	7.1 [412]		MVP	Carl Landry (HOU): +15.6%
Orlando Magic	95		Comeback	1.9 [438]		LVP	Rashard Lewis (ORL): -13.2%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Carl Landry	0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.07	0.08	-0.00	6	69%	0.16	0	0.00	4	75%	0.02
Metta World Peace	0.11	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.06,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	-0.03	0.12	-0.03	12	46%	0.16	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Yao Ming	0.08	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,0.07,0.04,0.03,0.08,0.08	0.06	0.03	0.01	15	65%	0.19	3	-0.11	4	100%	0.02
Luis Scola	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.01	0.01	-0.01	7	56%	0.06	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02
Aaron Brooks	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.00	6	67%	0.08	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Brent Barry	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.04	0.05	-0.01	5	30%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tracy McGrady	0.02	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.01	13	57%	0.10	3	-0.08	4	50%	-0.02
Von Wafer	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rafer Alston	-0.00	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	-0.01	0.01	16	47%	-0.00	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Charles Hayes	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	3	33%	0.01	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Anthony Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.05	0.07	0.00	5	67%	0.12	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Tony Battie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.08	0.04	0.00	3	100%	0.12	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Dwight Howard	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.03	-0.00	10	52%	0.07	1	-0.02	5	60%	-0.03
Jameer Nelson	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02	0.02	0.05	-0.00	0.02	16	54%	0.04	1	-0.02	7	100%	0.05
Adonal Foyle	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.01	0.00	3	67%	0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Courtney Lee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
JJ Redick	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.01	-0.01	0.04	-0.03	0.02	7	54%	-0.01	0	0.00	10	80%	-0.02
Mickael Pietrus	0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.11	0.01	-0.02	6	33%	-0.00	4	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Keith Bogans	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.05	-0.04	-0.00	8	31%	-0.05	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Rashard Lewis	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.03,-0.08,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.08	-0.08	-0.02	21	42%	-0.02	4	-0.12	1	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.4	2.3	28.9	15.7	23.8	1.8	38.2	135.1
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +62.8%

ORL -16.4%

HOU +9.1%

ORL -1.9%

ORL -3.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	ORL	NBA	HOU	ORL	NBA
this game	16.0	14.8	15.5	106.4	102.2	106.4
season	16.3	15.3		105.9	107.3
opponent	15.8	15.2		101.4	102.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	15.9	17.0	14.4	16.5	16.0
ORL	12.2	14.3	17.6	15.5	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rafer Alston	71	70	0.77	-0.27	1.04	0.36	14	-9	23	15.3	18.1	-2.85	14.8	14.9	-0.13
Metta World Peace	76	75	0.70	-0.20	0.90	0.35	12	-7	19	15.9	16.4	-0.51	14.9	14.7	0.19
Yao Ming	59	59	0.68	-0.18	0.86	0.30	13	-8	21	16.7	14.8	1.83	14.8	14.9	-0.06
Carl Landry	51	50	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.37	5	0	5	16.4	15.5	0.90	14.9	14.7	0.22
Brent Barry	49	50	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.39	-2	7	-9	16.5	15.4	1.02	14.5	15.2	-0.69
Luis Scola	37	37	0.13	0.37	-0.24	-0.02	5	0	5	14.9	16.7	-1.75	14.9	14.8	0.08
Von Wafer	1	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	8	-11	3.0	16.1	-13.12	6.0	14.9	-8.91
Tracy McGrady	61	59	-0.01	0.51	-0.51	-0.06	2	3	-1	16.3	15.4	0.95	14.5	15.4	-0.94
Charles Hayes	35	34	-0.18	0.68	-0.86	0.06	-8	13	-21	14.8	16.7	-1.83	14.9	14.8	0.06
Aaron Brooks	30	30	-0.44	0.94	-1.37	-0.05	-13	18	-31	17.4	15.3	2.14	16.1	14.2	1.84

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Anthony Johnson	30	29	0.23	-0.73	0.97	-0.06	10	-15	25	14.9	14.8	0.12	15.9	16.0	-0.12
Tony Battie	25	24	0.21	-0.71	0.93	-0.02	8	-13	21	15.9	14.4	1.51	16.3	15.9	0.48
Courtney Lee	7	7	0.12	-0.62	0.74	-0.06	6	-11	17	14.1	14.9	-0.73	14.4	16.1	-1.67
Adonal Foyle	25	26	-0.02	-0.48	0.45	-0.02	0	-5	5	13.0	15.5	-2.54	16.5	15.8	0.72
Mickael Pietrus	57	57	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	-0.09	-4	-1	-3	14.6	15.1	-0.48	15.6	16.6	-0.97
JJ Redick	54	54	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	-0.39	0	-5	5	14.6	15.1	-0.45	16.1	15.8	0.31
Rashard Lewis	84	85	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	-0.32	-5	0	-5	14.7	15.6	-0.82	16.0	16.2	-0.27
Keith Bogans	68	70	-0.53	0.03	-0.55	-0.18	-12	7	-19	15.2	13.8	1.39	16.3	14.9	1.43
Dwight Howard	52	53	-0.73	0.23	-0.96	-0.35	-13	8	-21	15.3	14.2	1.11	15.6	16.5	-0.86
Jameer Nelson	63	65	-0.73	0.23	-0.97	-0.29	-15	10	-25	14.8	14.9	-0.12	16.0	15.9	0.12

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.4,0.41,0.4,0.4,0.39,0.35,0.33,0.34,0.32,0.34,0.4,0.42,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.48,0.42,0.39,0.44,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.58,0.45,0.55,0.52,0.56,0.48,0.36,0.42,0.48,0.57,0.58,0.63,0.53,0.46,0.29,0.25,0.11,0.1,0.01,0
Game		Similarity Score
DEN 95, SAS 89	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.4,0.41,0.44,0.35,0.36,0.43,0.37,0.38,0.34,0.37,0.47,0.42,0.47,0.49,0.42,0.34,0.37,0.44,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.52,0.58,0.61,0.52,0.55,0.45,0.43,0.48,0.48,0.4,0.46,0.38,0.48,0.33,0.58,0.53,0.47,0.27,0.07,0.03,0.03,0,0	92.8%
UTA 90, HOU 84	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.47,0.44,0.43,0.41,0.37,0.39,0.36,0.41,0.32,0.38,0.42,0.42,0.4,0.35,0.41,0.34,0.37,0.42,0.44,0.46,0.33,0.35,0.35,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.45,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.4,0.44,0.42,0.38,0.43,0.52,0.47,0.41,0.41,0.22,0.25,0.21,0.09,0.13,0	92.6%
SEA 104, MIL 99	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.37,0.33,0.35,0.29,0.35,0.36,0.44,0.45,0.42,0.46,0.46,0.42,0.41,0.36,0.34,0.36,0.5,0.52,0.46,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.61,0.62,0.56,0.63,0.67,0.52,0.42,0.57,0.57,0.62,0.53,0.64,0.54,0.39,0.25,0.29,0.07,0.07,0	92.2%