NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	90		Excitement	7.2 [338]		MVP	Ronnie Price (UTA): +9.8%
Houston Rockets	84		Comeback	1.7 [526]		LVP	Tracy McGrady (HOU): -22.1%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ronnie Price	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.05	0.04	-0.00	6	67%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Deron Williams	0.07	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.09,0.1,0.03,0.11,0.1,0.07,0.07	0.05	0.05	0.03	15	61%	0.19	3	-0.12	6	50%	-0.04
Mehmet Okur	0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.01	0.03	-0.01	14	53%	0.12	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Ronnie Brewer	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.02	0.01	9	53%	0.05	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.02
Carlos Boozer	0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05	-0.02	0.06	-0.01	12	50%	0.11	2	-0.07	2	50%	-0.02
Paul Millsap	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.03	0.04	-0.01	7	47%	0.06	2	-0.04	1	100%	0.01
Matt Harpring	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	2	67%	0.03	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Kyle Korver	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05	-0.00	-0.05	0.00	4	54%	0.02	1	-0.07	5	100%	0.02
Andrei Kirilenko	-0.13	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.11	-0.02	-0.01	8	17%	-0.10	1	-0.03	2	50%	0.00

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shane Battier	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.02	0.06	-0.01	7	57%	0.12	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Dikembe Mutombo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.06	0.03	0.00	2	100%	0.08	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Aaron Brooks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0,0,0,0.07,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.06	0.03	0.00	9	58%	0.08	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Charles Hayes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.02	0.00	3	33%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Carl Landry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	2	50%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Luther Head	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.00	4	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bobby Jackson	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.02,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	0.02	-0.10	0.02	17	47%	-0.10	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.08
Luis Scola	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.16,-0.11,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.15	-0.15	-0.07	-0.08	0.00	11	44%	-0.04	3	-0.11	10	60%	-0.01
Tracy McGrady	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.02,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.13,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.21,-0.22	-0.22	-0.11	-0.13	-0.01	22	43%	-0.07	5	-0.15	9	56%	-0.05

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.8	3.6	33.2	20.4	24.0	2.8	35.2	146.2
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +55.0%

HOU -1.4%

UTA +6.0%

HOU -12.6%

UTA +3.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	HOU	NBA	UTA	HOU	NBA
this game	17.5	15.6	15.4	104.7	95.5	105.7
season	15.5	16.2		111.2	104.6
opponent	15.2	15.0		100.3	105.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	17.3	16.8	18.6	17.6	17.5
HOU	17.0	13.9	18.3	13.7	15.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Deron Williams	71	72	0.66	-0.16	0.81	0.33	11	-5	16	17.7	16.6	1.15	16.0	13.7	2.31
Andrei Kirilenko	60	59	0.57	-0.07	0.65	0.28	10	-4	14	18.0	16.5	1.50	16.2	14.3	1.84
Mehmet Okur	69	70	0.53	-0.03	0.57	0.21	11	-5	16	17.7	16.8	0.90	15.9	14.3	1.64
Kyle Korver	46	47	0.40	0.10	0.31	0.37	1	5	-4	17.2	17.9	-0.71	13.8	17.6	-3.85
Carlos Boozer	61	64	0.37	0.13	0.23	0.37	0	6	-6	17.3	18.2	-0.92	15.9	14.7	1.14
Paul Millsap	42	42	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.07	1	5	-4	17.6	17.5	0.19	14.5	16.5	-1.97
Ronnie Brewer	40	41	0.10	0.40	-0.31	-0.05	5	1	4	17.9	17.2	0.71	17.6	13.8	3.85
Matt Harpring	26	29	-0.07	0.57	-0.65	0.04	-4	10	-14	16.5	18.0	-1.50	14.3	16.2	-1.84
Ronnie Price	15	16	-0.16	0.66	-0.81	-0.01	-5	11	-16	16.6	17.7	-1.15	13.7	16.0	-2.31

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dikembe Mutombo	27	28	0.01	-0.51	0.53	0.04	-1	-5	4	18.9	14.1	4.83	20.4	16.2	4.22
Carl Landry	17	16	0.01	-0.51	0.51	-0.02	1	-7	8	12.4	16.3	-3.93	15.2	18.1	-2.90
Luther Head	26	23	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	-0.02	-3	-3	0	13.6	16.4	-2.84	14.1	18.8	-4.72
Aaron Brooks	35	33	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.08	-1	-5	4	14.3	16.4	-2.05	16.6	18.2	-1.58
Tracy McGrady	79	78	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	-0.31	-2	-4	2	15.4	17.0	-1.58	17.8	15.2	2.53
Bobby Jackson	54	53	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.24	-5	-1	-4	16.1	14.7	1.42	18.2	16.6	1.58
Charles Hayes	51	49	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.42	-1	-5	4	14.7	16.8	-2.12	17.3	17.9	-0.61
Shane Battier	73	73	-0.54	0.04	-0.57	-0.30	-8	2	-10	16.1	12.9	3.27	18.0	15.1	2.91
Luis Scola	78	77	-0.56	0.06	-0.61	-0.26	-10	4	-14	16.2	10.9	5.28	17.5	17.6	-0.01

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.47,0.44,0.43,0.41,0.37,0.39,0.36,0.41,0.32,0.38,0.42,0.42,0.4,0.35,0.41,0.34,0.37,0.42,0.44,0.46,0.33,0.35,0.35,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.45,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.4,0.44,0.42,0.38,0.43,0.52,0.47,0.41,0.41,0.22,0.25,0.21,0.09,0.13,0
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 85, CHI 74	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.5,0.51,0.53,0.48,0.43,0.39,0.39,0.37,0.45,0.51,0.43,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.44,0.37,0.36,0.31,0.31,0.36,0.41,0.3,0.34,0.45,0.42,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.41,0.41,0.34,0.38,0.33,0.33,0.42,0.3,0.29,0.22,0.24,0.07,0.01,0,0	93.1%
HOU 83, DEN 74	0.5,0.49,0.44,0.43,0.43,0.44,0.46,0.39,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.35,0.4,0.36,0.32,0.35,0.39,0.37,0.39,0.44,0.44,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.4,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.41,0.44,0.37,0.48,0.38,0.34,0.38,0.57,0.53,0.47,0.4,0.39,0.11,0.16,0.03,0.01,0	92.7%
DAL 93, MIA 86	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.5,0.46,0.42,0.43,0.43,0.47,0.39,0.38,0.32,0.3,0.32,0.42,0.38,0.35,0.37,0.42,0.48,0.36,0.33,0.41,0.36,0.33,0.31,0.28,0.32,0.33,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.48,0.41,0.52,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.43,0.62,0.47,0.53,0.4,0.28,0.19,0.07,0.04,0,0	92.7%