inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Atlanta Hawks 85 Excitement6.6 [474] MVPMatt Maloney (ATL): +13.7%
Chicago Bulls 74 Comeback1.4 [558] LVPAlan Henderson (ATL): -23.2%


Atlanta Hawks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Matt Maloney0.140,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.140.090.070.02687%0.171-0.034100%0.00
Larry Robinson0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02-0.030.040.00540%0.061-0.0400%0.00
Dion Glover0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Anthony Johnson0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Hanno Mottola-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.000.00267%0.011-0.022100%0.01
DerMarr Johnson-0.040,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.01-0.00325%-0.0400.002100%0.01
Roshown McLeod-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.02-0.020.021050%0.012-0.0700%0.00
Dikembe Mutombo-0.070,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.10-0.01-0.041040%-0.051-0.021060%-0.01
Lorenzen Wright-0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.04,0.02,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.110.02-0.001236%-0.032-0.06450%-0.03
Jason Terry-0.220,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.17,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.14,-0.18,-0.18,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22-0.14-0.060.021840%-0.113-0.11771%0.01
Alan Henderson-0.230,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.2,-0.22,-0.26,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23-0.16-0.08-0.011337%-0.164-0.08667%-0.05

Chicago Bulls
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Metta World Peace0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.040.02-0.011041%0.011-0.022100%0.01
Dragan Tarlac0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.01-0.02-0.01333%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Corey Benjamin0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.02-0.01-0.011100%0.012-0.0300%0.00
Bryce Drew0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.02-0.010.0010%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Michael Ruffin0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.03-0.01-0.00125%-0.0300.00250%-0.02
Ron Mercer0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.11,0.12,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.01-0.06-0.022246%-0.0500.004100%0.04
Marcus Fizer0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.04-0.030.00430%-0.0700.00250%-0.02
Fred Hoiberg0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09-0.09-0.05-0.04-0.00533%-0.061-0.032100%0.00
Khalid El-Amin0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.11-0.09-0.03-0.001635%-0.091-0.022100%0.03
Jamal Crawford0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15-0.15-0.10-0.04-0.0040%-0.102-0.0500%0.00
Elton Brand0,0,0,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15-0.15-0.07-0.070.011456%0.025-0.17683%0.02
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game26.52.525.315.626.41.837.3135.3
league avg28.82.228.916.626.22.233.1139.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
ATL +36.9%
CHI -10.5%
ATL +36.9%
CHI -16.6%
ATL +3.3%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsATLCHINBAATLCHINBA
this game16.214.615.591.478.7100.9
season15.416.496.095.2
opponent15.115.1104.9101.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
ATL16.516.019.313.216.2
CHI14.814.612.916.214.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Roshown McLeod66660.490.010.490.20101916.216.10.0913.816.6-2.85
Jason Terry81820.460.040.410.16101916.414.61.8214.416.3-1.94
Matt Maloney71700.400.100.310.11101916.216.10.1115.312.82.42
Alan Henderson50520.330.170.150.1274317.514.72.8314.514.8-0.27
Hanno Mottola25250.320.180.130.0883516.116.2-0.1316.114.12.02
Dikembe Mutombo71700.310.190.120.1074316.216.2-0.0715.412.42.98
Larry Robinson34340.170.33-0.160.0547-313.417.8-4.3512.615.8-3.17
Dion Glover10100.070.43-0.370.07011-1116.116.2-0.0814.414.7-0.27
Lorenzen Wright35370.050.45-0.410.05011-1116.416.00.3713.115.6-2.52
Anthony Johnson56-0.030.53-0.550.03-213-1516.816.10.6617.714.43.23
DerMarr Johnson1718-0.060.56-0.62-0.09110-916.116.2-0.0717.913.94.02

Chicago Bulls
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Dragan Tarlac23260.12-0.620.74-0.035-162115.714.31.4019.714.84.83
Michael Ruffin25240.05-0.550.60-0.074-151916.414.02.4515.716.3-0.63
Corey Benjamin16150.02-0.520.54-0.011-12139.915.6-5.7414.516.5-2.03
Bryce Drew54-0.03-0.470.43-0.00-1-10910.414.9-4.4817.516.11.39
Khalid El-Amin6161-0.21-0.290.08-0.12-3-8514.814.40.4216.315.90.41
Marcus Fizer3431-0.22-0.280.06-0.08-5-6112.415.9-3.4414.517.0-2.48
Jamal Crawford2828-0.26-0.24-0.01-0.05-7-4-315.114.50.6215.716.4-0.71
Ron Mercer8786-0.42-0.08-0.33-0.15-9-2-714.714.00.6916.413.92.50
Metta World Peace6059-0.50-0.00-0.50-0.03-165-2115.912.43.4917.114.62.50
Elton Brand8786-0.520.02-0.54-0.17-121-1314.615.7-1.1616.216.00.19
Fred Hoiberg4445-0.540.04-0.57-0.18-121-1314.814.50.3814.517.7-3.17


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.5,0.5,0.51,0.53,0.48,0.43,0.39,0.39,0.37,0.45,0.51,0.43,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.44,0.37,0.36,0.31,0.31,0.36,0.41,0.3,0.34,0.45,0.42,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.41,0.41,0.34,0.38,0.33,0.33,0.42,0.3,0.29,0.22,0.24,0.07,0.01,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
SAS 95, HOU 850.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.45,0.41,0.44,0.37,0.39,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.38,0.52,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.44,0.35,0.3,0.41,0.34,0.42,0.44,0.41,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.39,0.46,0.45,0.48,0.55,0.59,0.53,0.59,0.52,0.46,0.34,0.29,0.38,0.47,0.31,0.24,0.22,0.19,0.07,0.11,0.01,093.4%
UTA 97, CLE 880.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.46,0.45,0.37,0.33,0.37,0.38,0.34,0.34,0.38,0.38,0.4,0.33,0.35,0.34,0.39,0.39,0.28,0.21,0.2,0.27,0.37,0.4,0.39,0.36,0.39,0.42,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.4,0.4,0.38,0.3,0.29,0.28,0.32,0.31,0.41,0.28,0.2,0.07,0.02,0,093.1%
UTA 90, HOU 840.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.47,0.44,0.43,0.41,0.37,0.39,0.36,0.41,0.32,0.38,0.42,0.42,0.4,0.35,0.41,0.34,0.37,0.42,0.44,0.46,0.33,0.35,0.35,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.45,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.4,0.44,0.42,0.38,0.43,0.52,0.47,0.41,0.41,0.22,0.25,0.21,0.09,0.13,093.1%