NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	97		Excitement	6.4 [517]		MVP	Raja Bell (UTA): +20.2%
Cleveland Cavaliers	88		Comeback	1.3 [422]		LVP	LeBron James (CLE): -36.5%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Raja Bell	0.20	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.17,0.17,0.22,0.2,0.18,0.14,0.14,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.2,0.2	0.08	0.12	0.00	16	64%	0.22	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.00
Jarron Collins	0.07	0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.05	0.05	0.03	8	67%	0.07	0	0.00	5	40%	-0.03
Raul Lopez	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.01	0.04	-0.00	6	69%	0.13	3	-0.09	1	100%	0.01
Andrei Kirilenko	0.03	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.00	0.02	-0.00	8	78%	0.17	5	-0.14	11	100%	0.06
Carlos Arroyo	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.03	0.03	-0.03	14	47%	0.04	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.02
Michael Ruffin	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Greg Ostertag	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sasha Pavlovic	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mikki Moore	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tom Gugliotta	-0.07	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.02	-0.05	0.00	8	47%	-0.03	1	-0.04	1	0%	-0.01
Gordan Giricek	-0.15	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.13	-0.03	-0.02	8	25%	-0.09	2	-0.05	4	75%	-0.01

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.05	0.05	0.01	12	75%	0.19	4	-0.10	8	100%	0.06
Lee Nailon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.01	0.04	-0.02	12	42%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eric Williams	0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.01	-0.01	3	67%	0.03	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
DeSagana Diop	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Carlos Boozer	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.04	-0.03	0.01	10	70%	0.09	2	-0.09	10	90%	0.04
Tony Battie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ira Newble	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	4	25%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Ollie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.08	-0.00	-0.02	7	33%	-0.03	1	-0.03	4	50%	-0.01
Dajuan Wagner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.14,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.12	-0.01	-0.00	8	17%	-0.10	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
LeBron James	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.03,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.19,-0.24,-0.3,-0.36,-0.36,-0.36,-0.37	-0.37	-0.16	-0.20	0.01	14	37%	-0.26	2	-0.10	10	60%	-0.11

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.5	1.8	27.2	14.8	30.2	1.8	31.3	132.6
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +50.0%

UTA +6.7%

CLE -5.1%

CLE -1.3%

CLE -0.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	CLE	NBA	UTA	CLE	NBA
this game	17.4	16.1	15.7	112.8	102.3	100.5
season	17.2	15.7		99.4	99.8
opponent	15.5	15.2		102.3	100.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	18.1	15.0	19.9	17.1	17.4
CLE	16.1	15.0	17.1	16.4	16.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Raja Bell	57	56	0.65	-0.15	0.81	0.27	13	-4	17	16.3	19.6	-3.25	16.6	15.1	1.47
Jarron Collins	58	58	0.45	0.05	0.39	0.18	9	0	9	18.5	15.1	3.39	16.5	15.3	1.20
Andrei Kirilenko	80	81	0.44	0.06	0.37	0.17	9	0	9	17.2	19.5	-2.26	16.1	16.6	-0.54
Carlos Arroyo	53	53	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.15	9	0	9	18.4	15.8	2.61	16.1	16.2	-0.09
Tom Gugliotta	56	56	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.09	10	-1	11	17.8	16.7	1.12	15.8	16.6	-0.73
Greg Ostertag	32	32	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.08	3	6	-3	15.1	18.7	-3.62	15.7	16.4	-0.70
Raul Lopez	33	33	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.09	0	9	-9	15.8	18.4	-2.61	16.2	16.1	0.09
Michael Ruffin	10	10	0.05	0.45	-0.39	0.05	0	9	-9	17.4	17.4	0.01	20.2	15.6	4.65
Sasha Pavlovic	12	11	0.04	0.46	-0.41	0.07	-1	10	-11	19.0	17.1	1.86	14.4	16.3	-1.98
Mikki Moore	10	10	-0.03	0.53	-0.57	0.05	-3	12	-15	15.4	17.7	-2.26	14.7	16.3	-1.58
Gordan Giricek	29	30	-0.15	0.65	-0.81	-0.04	-4	13	-17	19.6	16.3	3.25	15.1	16.6	-1.47

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
DeSagana Diop	10	9	0.01	-0.51	0.53	-0.05	2	-11	13	13.4	16.4	-3.05	17.3	17.4	-0.07
Eric Williams	22	23	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	0.03	-2	-7	5	15.1	16.4	-1.35	18.6	17.0	1.60
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	66	68	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.03	-4	-5	1	16.5	14.8	1.62	17.2	18.1	-0.91
Ira Newble	42	39	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.14	-2	-7	5	17.1	15.2	1.91	16.3	18.3	-2.08
Dajuan Wagner	25	26	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.11	-3	-6	3	17.6	15.5	2.18	16.6	17.7	-1.12
LeBron James	62	63	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	-0.19	-2	-7	5	15.2	18.4	-3.22	17.7	16.7	0.96
Kevin Ollie	61	60	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.12	-6	-3	-3	15.5	17.6	-2.18	17.7	16.6	1.12
Tony Battie	25	25	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.15	-7	-2	-5	15.7	16.2	-0.53	18.8	16.8	1.92
Carlos Boozer	78	78	-0.50	-0.00	-0.49	-0.20	-10	1	-11	16.4	13.5	2.86	17.3	18.0	-0.67
Lee Nailon	39	39	-0.52	0.02	-0.55	-0.20	-11	2	-13	16.8	15.5	1.28	17.0	17.7	-0.68

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.46,0.45,0.37,0.33,0.37,0.38,0.34,0.34,0.38,0.38,0.4,0.33,0.35,0.34,0.39,0.39,0.28,0.21,0.2,0.27,0.37,0.4,0.39,0.36,0.39,0.42,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.4,0.4,0.38,0.3,0.29,0.28,0.32,0.31,0.41,0.28,0.2,0.07,0.02,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 98, MEM 88	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.43,0.39,0.39,0.35,0.36,0.29,0.33,0.36,0.38,0.4,0.38,0.34,0.32,0.39,0.33,0.34,0.31,0.29,0.31,0.19,0.25,0.33,0.31,0.4,0.45,0.48,0.42,0.42,0.55,0.52,0.48,0.44,0.32,0.38,0.3,0.38,0.28,0.23,0.17,0.24,0.17,0.11,0.07,0,0,0	93.4%
ATL 85, CHI 74	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.5,0.51,0.53,0.48,0.43,0.39,0.39,0.37,0.45,0.51,0.43,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.44,0.37,0.36,0.31,0.31,0.36,0.41,0.3,0.34,0.45,0.42,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.41,0.41,0.34,0.38,0.33,0.33,0.42,0.3,0.29,0.22,0.24,0.07,0.01,0,0	93.1%
PHI 109, ATL 104	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.48,0.44,0.39,0.35,0.32,0.33,0.34,0.38,0.32,0.38,0.32,0.21,0.23,0.22,0.25,0.29,0.31,0.34,0.26,0.33,0.37,0.34,0.37,0.36,0.48,0.45,0.46,0.48,0.45,0.48,0.44,0.48,0.38,0.38,0.29,0.33,0.47,0.36,0.54,0.33,0.32,0.11,0.06,0.01,0	93.1%