NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	98		Excitement	6.5 [409]		MVP	Gordon Hayward (UTA): +23.5%
Memphis Grizzlies	88		Comeback	1.4 [329]		LVP	Tony Allen (MEM): -10.0%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Gordon Hayward	0.24	0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.24,0.24	0.20	0.08	0.05	12	79%	0.24	0	0.00	5	100%	0.01
Paul Millsap	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.05	0.04	-0.03	11	64%	0.20	2	-0.08	3	67%	-0.01
Raja Bell	0.05	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.00	0.02	-0.03	9	53%	0.07	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.01
Derrick Favors	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	-0.03	0.07	-0.01	6	50%	0.11	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Al Jefferson	0.03	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.06	-0.01	0.03	17	60%	0.08	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.00
CJ Miles	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.05,0,0,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.03	-0.00	6	50%	0.08	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Devin Harris	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.01	-0.01	0.02	7	64%	0.03	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Alec Burks	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Enes Kanter	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.05	0.02	-0.01	5	36%	0.02	2	-0.04	1	0%	-0.01
Earl Watson	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	3	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Josh Howard	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.02	-0.00	6	17%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mike Conley	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.02,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.08	0.03	0.00	11	63%	0.17	2	-0.06	5	100%	0.05
Dante Cunningham	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.06	0.00	0.00	4	82%	0.11	1	-0.05	3	100%	0.02
Marc Gasol	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.01	0.00	15	52%	0.08	1	-0.04	3	33%	-0.05
Marreese Speights	0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.09	0.05	-0.02	11	29%	0.00	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02
Hamed Haddadi	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Rudy Gay	0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.02	0.02	19	58%	0.08	5	-0.13	0	0%	0.00
Quincy Pondexter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
O.J. Mayo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	-0.00	3	25%	-0.04	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Jeremy Pargo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.02	-0.00	4	25%	-0.02	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Tony Allen	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.04	-0.06	0.01	9	46%	-0.02	2	-0.08	8	75%	-0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.2	3.5	32.3	17.8	25.8	2.8	30.0	135.4
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +52.7%

MEM -18.6%

MEM -8.8%

UTA +19.1%

UTA +5.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	MEM	NBA	UTA	MEM	NBA
this game	17.5	15.6	15.6	112.6	101.1	102.8
season	15.8	15.6		104.0	102.0
opponent	15.7	15.1		100.1	104.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	16.4	17.8	16.8	18.8	17.5
MEM	18.6	14.9	15.1	14.0	15.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Earl Watson	36	36	0.45	0.05	0.41	0.31	5	5	0	17.9	17.2	0.65	15.1	16.0	-0.92
Gordon Hayward	62	62	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.12	9	1	8	17.7	17.0	0.73	16.5	13.5	2.95
Paul Millsap	62	62	0.37	0.13	0.23	0.01	12	-2	14	17.4	17.8	-0.39	16.1	14.5	1.54
CJ Miles	30	30	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.19	4	6	-2	16.1	18.2	-2.11	14.3	16.3	-1.96
Derrick Favors	30	29	0.28	0.22	0.05	0.25	1	9	-8	17.4	17.5	-0.18	14.8	16.0	-1.24
Al Jefferson	59	58	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.02	8	2	6	18.3	15.8	2.45	16.3	14.3	1.91
Raja Bell	48	48	0.16	0.34	-0.18	-0.02	6	4	2	17.2	17.8	-0.57	15.6	15.7	-0.08
Josh Howard	29	28	0.13	0.37	-0.25	0.13	0	10	-10	17.6	17.4	0.16	13.7	16.5	-2.81
Enes Kanter	23	25	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.13	-1	11	-12	15.9	18.0	-2.13	14.0	16.3	-2.27
Devin Harris	51	51	0.05	0.45	-0.41	-0.10	5	5	0	17.2	17.9	-0.65	16.0	15.1	0.92
Alec Burks	5	6	0.02	0.48	-0.46	-0.01	1	9	-8	25.0	17.0	7.98	22.5	15.1	7.39

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Hamed Haddadi	9	9	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.03	-1	-9	8	14.4	15.8	-1.31	19.8	17.2	2.56
Quincy Pondexter	16	15	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.04	-1	-9	8	14.7	15.8	-1.07	16.9	17.6	-0.66
Jeremy Pargo	20	19	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	-0.10	-2	-8	6	14.0	16.1	-2.04	15.1	18.1	-3.04
Tony Allen	55	56	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.18	0	-10	10	16.1	14.9	1.18	18.2	16.2	2.05
Dante Cunningham	38	38	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.20	0	-10	10	14.2	16.7	-2.46	18.1	17.0	1.06
Mike Conley	64	64	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	-0.11	-6	-4	-2	16.1	14.4	1.67	17.6	17.3	0.30
O.J. Mayo	42	42	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	-0.08	-8	-2	-6	14.1	17.1	-3.00	18.3	16.7	1.64
Marc Gasol	73	73	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.12	-7	-3	-4	15.7	15.1	0.65	17.2	19.0	-1.81
Marreese Speights	50	50	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.01	-14	4	-18	17.2	13.5	3.67	16.5	18.8	-2.36
Rudy Gay	68	69	-0.49	-0.01	-0.49	-0.17	-11	1	-12	16.1	13.7	2.41	17.5	17.5	-0.02

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.43,0.39,0.39,0.35,0.36,0.29,0.33,0.36,0.38,0.4,0.38,0.34,0.32,0.39,0.33,0.34,0.31,0.29,0.31,0.19,0.25,0.33,0.31,0.4,0.45,0.48,0.42,0.42,0.55,0.52,0.48,0.44,0.32,0.38,0.3,0.38,0.28,0.23,0.17,0.24,0.17,0.11,0.07,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 99, WAS 92	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.42,0.43,0.44,0.38,0.39,0.33,0.35,0.4,0.36,0.32,0.29,0.24,0.27,0.33,0.35,0.39,0.29,0.29,0.34,0.41,0.36,0.33,0.29,0.37,0.39,0.36,0.42,0.35,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.4,0.44,0.3,0.28,0.43,0.31,0.32,0.26,0.11,0.09,0.05,0.1,0,0,0	93.6%
UTA 97, CLE 88	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.46,0.45,0.37,0.33,0.37,0.38,0.34,0.34,0.38,0.38,0.4,0.33,0.35,0.34,0.39,0.39,0.28,0.21,0.2,0.27,0.37,0.4,0.39,0.36,0.39,0.42,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.4,0.4,0.38,0.3,0.29,0.28,0.32,0.31,0.41,0.28,0.2,0.07,0.02,0,0	93.4%
TOR 111, LAL 102	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.43,0.41,0.34,0.32,0.26,0.3,0.37,0.33,0.32,0.32,0.3,0.34,0.32,0.41,0.4,0.39,0.36,0.34,0.3,0.33,0.35,0.33,0.35,0.34,0.41,0.33,0.29,0.42,0.55,0.56,0.56,0.52,0.4,0.42,0.3,0.38,0.21,0.12,0.08,0.03,0.07,0.2,0.07,0.1,0,0	93.0%