NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	109		Excitement	7.0 [389]		MVP	Andre Iguodala (PHI): +32.4%
Atlanta Hawks	104		Comeback	1.2 [621]		LVP	Mike Bibby (ATL): -19.8%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Andre Iguodala	0.32	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.2,0.2,0.3,0.32	0.19	0.17	0.03	15	71%	0.35	1	-0.03	12	92%	0.05
Andre Miller	0.16	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.09,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.01	0.11	-0.04	21	49%	0.22	2	-0.06	5	100%	0.05
Thaddeus Young	0.15	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.10	0.05	0.00	7	86%	0.15	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Willie Green	0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.06	0.03	0.01	11	58%	0.09	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Samuel Dalembert	0.08	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.05	0.03	0.01	10	65%	0.13	2	-0.05	3	100%	0.03
Rodney Carney	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.03	0.04	0.00	3	62%	0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jason Smith	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lou Williams	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	9	45%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.04
Reggie Evans	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.01	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	4	-0.10	0	0%	0.00

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Josh Childress	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.12,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.26,0.26,0.31,0.37,0.37,0.35,0.32,0.32,0.32	0.32	0.13	0.18	-0.01	10	80%	0.35	2	-0.03	5	80%	-0.02
Marvin Williams	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.09	0.03	0.01	10	73%	0.15	2	-0.04	6	83%	0.02
Joe Johnson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.05,0.05,0,0.01,0.05,0.06	0.06	0.11	-0.01	0.04	20	64%	0.18	4	-0.12	10	70%	-0.05
Al Horford	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.05	0.01	0.02	8	62%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Acie Law	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.01	3	33%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mario West	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Josh Smith	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	0.02	0.00	14	43%	0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Zaza Pachulia	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.04	0.00	5	60%	0.00	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Mike Bibby	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.20	-0.12	-0.08	0.00	11	14%	-0.20	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.8	2.5	28.6	17.8	28.0	2.5	38.4	142.6
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +21.3%

PHI +20.9%

ATL -7.4%

PHI +5.6%

PHI +9.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	ATL	NBA	PHI	ATL	NBA
this game	14.8	15.8	15.4	116.0	110.6	105.7
season	15.2	15.4		104.0	104.2
opponent	15.7	16.2		107.2	104.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	13.2	12.7	18.7	15.4	14.8
ATL	17.5	15.0	16.5	14.6	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Andre Iguodala	89	88	0.58	-0.08	0.67	0.29	10	-5	15	14.9	13.8	1.05	15.7	17.8	-2.13
Thaddeus Young	81	81	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.28	10	-5	15	14.9	14.1	0.84	15.2	19.8	-4.65
Lou Williams	54	54	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.39	3	2	1	13.8	16.2	-2.40	15.3	16.5	-1.24
Samuel Dalembert	81	81	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.32	4	1	3	15.2	12.0	3.25	16.0	14.5	1.51
Andre Miller	74	74	0.37	0.13	0.23	0.25	4	1	3	15.2	13.1	2.09	16.8	12.4	4.37
Rodney Carney	29	31	0.11	0.39	-0.27	0.17	-2	7	-9	13.7	15.3	-1.60	16.0	15.8	0.24
Jason Smith	5	5	0.04	0.46	-0.43	0.01	1	4	-3	10.2	15.1	-4.86	20.8	15.6	5.24
Reggie Evans	19	18	-0.05	0.55	-0.59	0.07	-4	9	-13	12.8	15.3	-2.45	15.1	16.0	-0.90
Willie Green	38	38	-0.05	0.55	-0.59	-0.02	-1	6	-7	16.5	13.7	2.81	15.6	16.0	-0.44

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mario West	1	0	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	0.00	-1	-4	3	0.0	16.0	-16.01	0.0	14.8	-14.80
Al Horford	58	56	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.05	-3	-2	-1	17.5	13.2	4.24	15.8	13.3	2.49
Acie Law	14	14	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.00	-6	1	-7	16.6	15.7	0.86	14.0	14.9	-0.94
Zaza Pachulia	34	35	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.16	-2	-3	1	15.7	15.9	-0.26	13.9	15.3	-1.41
Mike Bibby	78	78	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	-0.37	4	-9	13	15.9	15.4	0.49	14.8	14.7	0.06
Marvin Williams	77	76	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.25	-1	-4	3	15.6	16.8	-1.20	14.7	15.4	-0.73
Josh Smith	77	78	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	-0.32	1	-6	7	15.5	17.2	-1.63	15.1	13.5	1.56
Josh Childress	65	66	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.39	-4	-1	-3	14.4	19.0	-4.62	14.3	15.9	-1.51
Joe Johnson	66	67	-0.59	0.09	-0.68	-0.21	-13	8	-21	16.5	14.3	2.16	14.9	14.6	0.24

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.48,0.44,0.39,0.35,0.32,0.33,0.34,0.38,0.32,0.38,0.32,0.21,0.23,0.22,0.25,0.29,0.31,0.34,0.26,0.33,0.37,0.34,0.37,0.36,0.48,0.45,0.46,0.48,0.45,0.48,0.44,0.48,0.38,0.38,0.29,0.33,0.47,0.36,0.54,0.33,0.32,0.11,0.06,0.01,0
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 97, CLE 88	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.46,0.45,0.37,0.33,0.37,0.38,0.34,0.34,0.38,0.38,0.4,0.33,0.35,0.34,0.39,0.39,0.28,0.21,0.2,0.27,0.37,0.4,0.39,0.36,0.39,0.42,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.4,0.4,0.38,0.3,0.29,0.28,0.32,0.31,0.41,0.28,0.2,0.07,0.02,0,0	93.1%
BOS 85, POR 81	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.42,0.38,0.38,0.35,0.37,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.36,0.31,0.33,0.33,0.35,0.32,0.31,0.39,0.39,0.36,0.37,0.38,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.4,0.44,0.48,0.48,0.4,0.38,0.3,0.34,0.3,0.32,0.36,0.51,0.47,0.26,0.16,0.16,0.31,0	92.5%
DET 102, ATL 95	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.42,0.41,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.38,0.36,0.36,0.34,0.32,0.28,0.29,0.25,0.28,0.39,0.34,0.34,0.42,0.33,0.3,0.33,0.34,0.28,0.25,0.27,0.39,0.56,0.62,0.55,0.44,0.56,0.48,0.38,0.34,0.43,0.46,0.44,0.41,0.47,0.27,0.19,0.28,0.23,0.05,0	91.9%