NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Detroit Pistons	102		Excitement	8.2 [215]		MVP	Peyton Siva (DET): +16.4%
Atlanta Hawks	95		Comeback	1.9 [286]		LVP	Kyle Singler (DET): -17.9%

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Peyton Siva	0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.08	0.08	-0.00	6	71%	0.16	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Andre Drummond	0.09	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09	0.07	0.04	0.02	9	66%	0.13	2	-0.04	11	45%	-0.11
Jonas Jerebko	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.03	0.04	-0.01	4	67%	0.10	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.00
Rodney Stuckey	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.12,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	0.01	17	60%	0.20	8	-0.25	14	86%	0.01
Greg Monroe	-0.06	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	24	43%	-0.01	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.01
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	10	30%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Jennings	-0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	10	35%	-0.02	1	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Singler	-0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.18,-0.18	-0.08	-0.10	0.00	6	17%	-0.15	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shelvin Mack	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.00	0.01	-0.01	7	56%	0.08	2	-0.06	4	75%	-0.01
Elton Brand	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	-0.00	-0.00	3	67%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Dennis Schroder	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike Scott	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	5	40%	0.02	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Teague	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03	-0.03	0.05	-0.04	0.05	9	68%	0.03	2	-0.06	4	100%	0.01
Cartier Martin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	4	37%	0.00	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Pero Antic	0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.13,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.04	-0.03	13	43%	-0.02	3	-0.05	4	75%	-0.01
DeMarre Carroll	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.11,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.07	-0.04	-0.01	10	33%	-0.07	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.02
Kyle Korver	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.09	-0.08	-0.02	16	37%	-0.07	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Paul Millsap	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.09,0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.16,-0.17	-0.17	0.04	-0.17	0.04	19	52%	-0.08	2	-0.10	8	50%	-0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.0	1.8	27.2	15.4	25.2	1.8	39.9	136.3
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DET +47.4%

ATL -5.0%

DET +11.4%

DET +0.2%

ATL -3.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DET	ATL	NBA	DET	ATL	NBA
this game	14.3	14.8	15.1	103.0	96.0	105.2
season	15.0	14.8		104.7	103.8
opponent	15.3	15.0		104.7	108.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DET	13.9	13.5	14.7	15.3	14.3
ATL	14.3	15.3	14.7	14.7	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rodney Stuckey	82	82	0.58	-0.08	0.67	0.20	13	-6	19	14.3	14.4	-0.02	14.4	16.6	-2.21
Brandon Jennings	73	72	0.43	0.07	0.35	0.16	9	-2	11	13.6	16.3	-2.73	13.9	17.0	-3.13
Greg Monroe	82	80	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.16	7	0	7	14.4	14.2	0.12	14.3	16.6	-2.25
Andre Drummond	61	64	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.31	1	6	-5	15.4	12.6	2.76	14.5	15.2	-0.64
Jonas Jerebko	51	51	0.27	0.23	0.05	0.16	4	3	1	14.1	14.6	-0.49	16.1	13.3	2.81
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	45	46	0.27	0.23	0.05	0.13	5	2	3	14.5	14.2	0.29	16.4	13.3	3.09
Kyle Singler	71	70	0.14	0.36	-0.21	0.26	-4	11	-15	14.2	14.6	-0.33	14.1	16.3	-2.20
Peyton Siva	30	30	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.09	0	7	-7	14.3	14.4	-0.10	16.1	14.2	1.97

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dennis Schroder	14	13	0.00	-0.50	0.51	-0.06	2	-9	11	15.2	14.7	0.53	15.4	14.2	1.21
Cartier Martin	27	28	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	0.01	-2	-5	3	14.4	14.9	-0.53	13.5	14.6	-1.11
Pero Antic	57	56	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.29	5	-12	17	14.4	15.2	-0.83	15.0	13.5	1.53
Paul Millsap	74	74	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	-0.31	4	-11	15	14.9	14.3	0.64	14.6	13.4	1.25
Shelvin Mack	35	34	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	0.06	-12	5	-17	16.2	14.0	2.23	14.6	14.2	0.48
Mike Scott	25	25	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	0.02	-11	4	-15	14.3	14.9	-0.64	13.4	14.6	-1.25
Kyle Korver	78	78	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	-0.34	0	-7	7	14.7	15.1	-0.49	14.8	12.7	2.12
DeMarre Carroll	72	72	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.25	-3	-4	1	14.9	14.4	0.43	14.2	14.8	-0.61
Elton Brand	42	43	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	-0.00	-12	5	-17	15.2	14.4	0.83	13.5	15.0	-1.53
Jeff Teague	71	73	-0.51	0.01	-0.51	-0.27	-8	1	-9	14.1	16.4	-2.33	13.8	15.8	-2.00

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.42,0.41,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.38,0.36,0.36,0.34,0.32,0.28,0.29,0.25,0.28,0.39,0.34,0.34,0.42,0.33,0.3,0.33,0.34,0.28,0.25,0.27,0.39,0.56,0.62,0.55,0.44,0.56,0.48,0.38,0.34,0.43,0.46,0.44,0.41,0.47,0.27,0.19,0.28,0.23,0.05,0
Game		Similarity Score
NJN 99, BOS 97	0.5,0.49,0.47,0.4,0.4,0.39,0.38,0.43,0.39,0.41,0.45,0.38,0.34,0.35,0.34,0.34,0.31,0.33,0.33,0.28,0.3,0.36,0.34,0.23,0.25,0.3,0.34,0.31,0.39,0.39,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.38,0.44,0.52,0.4,0.38,0.34,0.48,0.57,0.42,0.36,0.29,0.22,0.31,0.22,0.1,0.17,0	92.7%
HOU 69, OKC 65	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.39,0.42,0.41,0.38,0.39,0.43,0.45,0.38,0.37,0.34,0.38,0.42,0.33,0.31,0.32,0.34,0.39,0.33,0.33,0.28,0.25,0.26,0.28,0.33,0.33,0.36,0.38,0.41,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.5,0.52,0.48,0.42,0.42,0.53,0.35,0.28,0.38,0.36,0.24,0.1,0	92.1%
MEM 102, UTA 96	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.46,0.47,0.43,0.39,0.37,0.4,0.35,0.36,0.34,0.26,0.24,0.3,0.3,0.35,0.32,0.34,0.41,0.36,0.41,0.3,0.27,0.26,0.31,0.25,0.36,0.45,0.35,0.41,0.48,0.41,0.4,0.48,0.38,0.26,0.43,0.43,0.53,0.3,0.53,0.33,0.45,0.45,0.23,0.05,0	91.9%