NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Dallas Mavericks	93		Excitement	6.3 [533]		MVP	Dirk Nowitzki (DAL): +21.8%
Miami Heat	86		Comeback	1.9 [463]		LVP	Tim Hardaway (MIA): -18.5%

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dirk Nowitzki	0.22	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.22,0.22	0.15	0.07	0.01	16	76%	0.28	2	-0.06	6	67%	-0.02
Michael Finley	0.08	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.00	0.05	-0.02	13	62%	0.22	4	-0.15	0	0%	0.00
Juwan Howard	0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	-0.00	0.05	-0.01	14	57%	0.13	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Howard Eisley	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.02	0.00	5	50%	0.02	1	-0.03	4	75%	0.00
Shawn Bradley	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	2	67%	0.01	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Gary Trent	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steve Nash	-0.06	0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.01	-0.04	0.01	10	73%	0.12	5	-0.18	6	83%	0.00
Vernon Maxwell	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	5	20%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Miami Heat
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brian Grant	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.14,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09	0.09	-0.01	0.09	-0.01	21	52%	0.15	3	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01
Bruce Bowen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.08	-0.02	0.00	13	62%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
A.C. Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.03	0.00	5	62%	0.05	0	0.00	3	0%	-0.10
Eddie House	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	5	20%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Mason	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	0.01	-0.05	0.03	21	56%	0.02	3	-0.09	3	100%	0.01
Dan Majerle	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.05	-0.02	0.01	7	21%	-0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Carter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,-0.04,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	7	29%	-0.04	1	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Tim Hardaway	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.12	-0.08	-0.02	9	25%	-0.12	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.2	2.5	32.3	16.7	20.7	2.4	28.6	124.4
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +65.2%

DAL +9.7%

MIA -6.7%

MIA -21.5%

DAL +3.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	MIA	NBA	DAL	MIA	NBA
this game	15.8	16.2	15.5	103.3	95.6	100.9
season	15.2	16.3		104.6	98.4
opponent	16.1	15.3		96.9	101.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DAL	13.7	15.9	17.4	16.2	15.8
MIA	19.9	16.9	14.7	13.8	16.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shawn Bradley	76	78	0.71	-0.21	0.91	0.27	15	-8	23	16.1	14.2	1.86	16.7	13.0	3.71
Dirk Nowitzki	80	82	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.22	12	-5	17	16.0	14.1	1.90	16.5	13.1	3.39
Steve Nash	65	64	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.25	11	-4	15	15.5	16.4	-0.90	15.9	16.9	-0.95
Juwan Howard	84	84	0.54	-0.04	0.59	0.28	9	-2	11	15.7	16.8	-1.12	15.7	22.8	-7.10
Michael Finley	74	74	0.31	0.19	0.11	0.19	4	3	1	16.1	14.2	1.87	16.6	14.2	2.39
Howard Eisley	41	39	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.13	-1	8	-9	15.2	16.3	-1.09	15.9	16.4	-0.46
Vernon Maxwell	27	25	-0.15	0.65	-0.79	0.06	-7	14	-21	14.5	16.3	-1.81	14.8	16.8	-1.95
Gary Trent	3	4	-0.15	0.65	-0.80	0.08	-8	15	-23	21.7	15.6	6.08	18.2	16.1	2.13

Miami Heat
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Eddie House	21	24	0.13	-0.63	0.77	-0.01	5	-12	17	16.5	16.1	0.41	14.8	16.1	-1.30
A.C. Green	30	29	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	-0.08	-1	-6	5	16.1	16.3	-0.22	14.7	16.3	-1.67
Brian Grant	73	74	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	-0.30	3	-10	13	15.5	19.3	-3.80	16.6	12.1	4.53
Anthony Carter	46	47	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.23	0	-7	7	16.0	16.4	-0.39	15.7	15.8	-0.09
Tim Hardaway	64	62	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	-0.10	-6	-1	-5	15.2	18.8	-3.65	15.9	15.5	0.37
Dan Majerle	68	67	-0.59	0.09	-0.67	-0.29	-10	3	-13	15.9	17.1	-1.16	15.8	15.7	0.18
Bruce Bowen	73	73	-0.59	0.09	-0.68	-0.24	-12	5	-17	17.2	11.9	5.34	15.5	16.9	-1.42
Anthony Mason	75	74	-0.63	0.13	-0.76	-0.22	-14	7	-21	17.2	11.4	5.77	15.9	15.3	0.58

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.5,0.46,0.42,0.43,0.43,0.47,0.39,0.38,0.32,0.3,0.32,0.42,0.38,0.35,0.37,0.42,0.48,0.36,0.33,0.41,0.36,0.33,0.31,0.28,0.32,0.33,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.48,0.41,0.52,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.43,0.62,0.47,0.53,0.4,0.28,0.19,0.07,0.04,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 90, HOU 84	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.47,0.44,0.43,0.41,0.37,0.39,0.36,0.41,0.32,0.38,0.42,0.42,0.4,0.35,0.41,0.34,0.37,0.42,0.44,0.46,0.33,0.35,0.35,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.45,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.4,0.44,0.42,0.38,0.43,0.52,0.47,0.41,0.41,0.22,0.25,0.21,0.09,0.13,0	92.7%
WAS 109, MIL 97	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.5,0.5,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.4,0.38,0.32,0.3,0.34,0.38,0.36,0.38,0.39,0.37,0.36,0.34,0.36,0.39,0.33,0.37,0.26,0.31,0.22,0.36,0.33,0.32,0.39,0.25,0.41,0.44,0.4,0.26,0.3,0.43,0.58,0.53,0.59,0.24,0.14,0.11,0.04,0,0,0	92.7%
DEN 109, UTA 98	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.42,0.41,0.47,0.43,0.45,0.38,0.39,0.35,0.38,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.44,0.42,0.45,0.44,0.34,0.36,0.39,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.39,0.36,0.36,0.35,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.44,0.44,0.5,0.62,0.62,0.58,0.37,0.31,0.29,0.34,0.2,0.01,0,0,0	92.3%