NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Denver Nuggets	109		Excitement	7.2 [408]		MVP	Marcus Camby (DEN): +17.4%
Utah Jazz	98		Comeback	2.0 [408]		LVP	Keith McLeod (UTA): -25.2%

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Marcus Camby	0.17	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.13,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.08	0.09	-0.00	17	61%	0.17	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.05
Greg Buckner	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.00	0.00	3	87%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Andre Miller	0.04	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.02	10	77%	0.17	4	-0.13	11	91%	0.05
Carmelo Anthony	0.00	0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	16	59%	0.05	2	-0.05	7	71%	-0.02
Wesley Person	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	-0.02	0.00	6	64%	0.04	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.02
Francisco Elson	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bryon Russell	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eduardo Najera	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.02	-0.00	4	60%	0.02	2	-0.04	7	43%	-0.09
DerMarr Johnson	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	3	33%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Earl Boykins	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.06	-0.01	0.02	8	52%	0.00	3	-0.09	5	100%	0.02
Nene	-0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.14	-0.04	-0.00	3	12%	-0.07	4	-0.11	2	50%	-0.02

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ben Handlogten	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.08	0.04	0.00	4	92%	0.12	0	0.00	4	75%	0.01
Randy Livingston	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.04	0.06	0.00	5	83%	0.16	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Curtis Borchardt	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0.05,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.00	0.05	-0.00	9	60%	0.12	2	-0.07	2	0%	-0.03
Matt Harpring	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.03	0.01	17	47%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kris Humphries	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.00	4	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Jarron Collins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.05	0.01	3	60%	-0.04	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.01
Gordan Giricek	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.02	-0.04	0.01	10	48%	-0.06	1	-0.02	3	33%	-0.05
Howard Eisley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.06	-0.03	0.00	3	14%	-0.04	1	-0.05	1	100%	0.00
Mehmet Okur	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	0.02	-0.10	0.03	15	66%	0.01	4	-0.11	5	60%	-0.07
Keith McLeod	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.24,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25	-0.25	-0.21	-0.09	-0.05	11	12%	-0.16	3	-0.09	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.0	1.6	27.2	14.8	27.2	2.4	30.5	130.5
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DEN +15.8%

DEN +23.9%

DEN +16.6%

UTA -4.8%

UTA -1.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DEN	UTA	NBA	DEN	UTA	NBA
this game	13.2	16.8	15.5	113.5	102.1	104.0
season	14.8	16.7		103.8	102.3
opponent	15.1	15.6		106.7	102.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DEN	11.5	14.0	12.7	14.8	13.2
UTA	18.0	19.3	14.4	15.9	16.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Marcus Camby	77	75	0.78	-0.28	1.05	0.28	17	-6	23	12.7	15.4	-2.69	16.8	16.6	0.22
Andre Miller	73	72	0.75	-0.25	1.01	0.17	20	-9	29	12.4	15.7	-3.21	17.3	15.3	2.00
Carmelo Anthony	71	69	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.15	15	-4	19	12.7	14.7	-2.04	17.0	16.3	0.74
Earl Boykins	52	53	0.39	0.11	0.27	0.21	6	5	1	14.3	11.9	2.48	16.1	17.6	-1.51
Eduardo Najera	68	67	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.12	9	2	7	13.4	12.8	0.60	16.7	16.9	-0.15
DerMarr Johnson	24	25	0.13	0.37	-0.25	0.04	3	8	-5	12.5	13.4	-0.94	17.0	16.7	0.23
Greg Buckner	33	33	0.03	0.47	-0.43	0.00	1	10	-9	14.0	12.8	1.25	17.3	16.5	0.73
Bryon Russell	1	2	-0.07	0.57	-0.65	-0.05	-1	12	-13	16.0	13.2	2.82	22.0	16.7	5.32
Nene	45	48	-0.08	0.58	-0.65	0.01	-3	14	-17	14.0	12.5	1.45	16.6	17.0	-0.46
Francisco Elson	1	2	-0.08	0.58	-0.65	-0.02	-2	13	-15	16.0	13.2	2.82	22.0	16.7	5.32
Wesley Person	35	34	-0.32	0.81	-1.13	-0.02	-10	21	-31	13.6	13.0	0.62	15.5	17.5	-2.05

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ben Handlogten	22	21	0.12	-0.62	0.75	0.04	3	-14	17	15.4	17.2	-1.79	13.5	13.1	0.40
Kris Humphries	26	26	0.04	-0.54	0.59	-0.07	4	-15	19	15.9	17.1	-1.19	15.5	12.4	3.14
Jarron Collins	54	53	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	0.05	-5	-6	1	16.3	17.5	-1.17	11.8	15.0	-3.20
Howard Eisley	37	39	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.14	1	-12	13	17.0	16.7	0.30	13.4	13.1	0.30
Gordan Giricek	47	47	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	0.02	-8	-3	-5	14.9	18.6	-3.76	13.3	13.1	0.26
Randy Livingston	56	55	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.11	-5	-6	1	17.4	16.0	1.36	12.9	13.6	-0.74
Curtis Borchardt	42	43	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.23	-6	-5	-1	17.5	16.3	1.17	15.0	11.8	3.20
Keith McLeod	52	51	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	-0.12	-10	-1	-9	17.8	15.6	2.17	13.3	13.1	0.18
Mehmet Okur	76	76	-0.55	0.05	-0.60	-0.17	-13	2	-15	17.3	14.7	2.58	13.2	13.4	-0.24
Matt Harpring	68	69	-0.62	0.12	-0.74	-0.15	-16	5	-21	17.0	16.4	0.61	12.3	15.5	-3.21

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.42,0.41,0.47,0.43,0.45,0.38,0.39,0.35,0.38,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.44,0.42,0.45,0.44,0.34,0.36,0.39,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.39,0.36,0.36,0.35,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.44,0.44,0.5,0.62,0.62,0.58,0.37,0.31,0.29,0.34,0.2,0.01,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
DET 84, CLE 72	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.44,0.43,0.44,0.37,0.38,0.42,0.42,0.4,0.36,0.3,0.4,0.42,0.51,0.46,0.41,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.42,0.51,0.42,0.39,0.39,0.42,0.48,0.59,0.59,0.52,0.44,0.46,0.57,0.62,0.52,0.42,0.21,0.24,0.22,0.14,0.11,0.02,0,0	94.3%
ATL 84, DEN 76	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.41,0.43,0.49,0.47,0.4,0.4,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.42,0.42,0.37,0.36,0.41,0.44,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.57,0.55,0.45,0.36,0.38,0.48,0.52,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.57,0.48,0.42,0.27,0.21,0.15,0.2,0.14,0.01,0.01,0,0	93.0%
UTA 87, ORL 74	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.5,0.47,0.46,0.49,0.45,0.4,0.35,0.36,0.42,0.35,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.53,0.6,0.65,0.56,0.49,0.42,0.39,0.39,0.42,0.42,0.43,0.36,0.33,0.39,0.35,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.44,0.6,0.66,0.62,0.62,0.58,0.42,0.3,0.24,0.28,0.25,0.03,0,0,0	93.0%